Bundesliga Matchday 32, Saturday, 03.05.2025 at 15:30
Theoretically, TSG still has a chance of avoiding relegation this coming weekend. With three matchdays left in the season, the Kraichgauers are in 15th place, five points ahead of Heidenheim.
The Foals are in a much better position in the table (9th). However, the mood in the Borussia camp is worse than it has been at any point this season.
For the first time this season, the hosts have been waiting for three points for four games, and their quiet dream of Europe is barely audible. Even a hearing aid won’t help in the Gladbach Hoffenheim tip.
There has been little sign of team unity in the final stages of the season. Nor has there been much defensive stability.
According to my Gladbach Hoffenheim tips, the visitors from Kraichgau will politely decline and put several goals in their suitcases for the journey home. At Bet365, I’m going for odds of 2.10 for “Hoffenheim to score over 1.5 goals.”
The bookmakers’ prediction?
From the bookmakers’ odds comparison, you can already guess that neither team is in the best form going into matchday 32.
On the Winamax homepage, you can get odds of 2.10 for a Gladbach win, which gives you a good idea of how they are rated.
In the recent past, Gladbach have performed quite well against Hoffenheim, winning five of the six previous encounters. The fact is that TSG are the underdogs with odds of around 3.20.
AI prediction Gladbach vs. Hoffenheim: ChatGPT’s prediction
Chat GPT doesn’t trust either defense in its Gladbach vs. Hoffenheim prediction. I agree, but odds of 1.40 at VBET aren’t enough for me to bet on “both teams to score.”
I was somewhat surprised by the second AI prediction, which considers a bet on “under 3.5 goals” to be a great idea (odds: 1.68). However, four of the last six direct duels have contained at least four goals, which is why I tend to lean in the other direction at Oddset.
The third suggestion, which is about the first goal scorer of the match, seems pretty risky. The artificial intelligence would recommend “Alassane Plea scores the first goal” with odds of 7.50 at Interwetten. The Frenchman scored his eleventh goal of the season on the last matchday and is at least an option. I don’t see any clear evidence for this bet.
Analysis: Gladbach vs. Hoffenheim
Jonas Omlin is still guarding the Foals’ goal and is Borussia’s captain. However, his recent performances justify questioning the goalkeeper’s standing.
Behind a recently unsettled defense, the goalkeeper himself has not necessarily looked confident. Omlin has only saved 61.2 percent of the shots on his goal this season.
In addition, the 31-year-old has conceded 1.32 more goals than expected and has only kept one clean sheet. BMG has already conceded 50 goals in total (12th).
The performances in recent weeks suggest that Gerardo Seoane’s team will concede more goals.
Odds analysis
Both teams have produced plenty of chances in recent games. Hoffenheim lost their last two matches against Dortmund and Freiburg 2-3.
Gladbach lost their last home game 1-2 to Freiburg and then showed little desire to defend against Dortmund (2-3) and Kiel (3-4).
Therefore, I would not be surprised if this match once again ends with a result of “over 3.5 goals.” With this Bwin voucher, I’m going for odds of 2.05.
Gladbach vs. Hoffenheim: Plain speaking
Tim Kleindienst doesn’t hold back in interviews and lets the outside world share his emotional reactions immediately after the game. A pleasant change in today’s world.
The DFB striker summed up the recent 3-4 defeat against Kiel aptly. “You just can’t concede four goals in Kiel, that’s not what we’re about. It’s really sickening right now.”
Criticism that is justified. The Foals are without a win for the first time this season after four games and have won only one of their previous five home games, losing three of their last four.
Individual mistakes, such as Fabio Chiarodia’s before the 0-2, are making life difficult for Seoane’s team and dashing their European dreams.
The 19-year-old center back is by no means the only one to have made mistakes, but he is the only center back in the Foals’ squad who was able to train on Tuesday. There is a question mark over the rest of the central defensive players for the coming weekend. It’s a difficult situation for a team that has completely lost its momentum.
Same story every year
Andrej Kramaric could put his feet up until the end of the season and still score double digits. The Croatian attacking player has become a club legend at Hoffenheim, always striving to ensure a conciliatory end to the season.
The 33-year-old is currently in his tenth season with TSG in the German top flight. He has scored double digits in eight of those ten seasons.
In the last five games, Kramaric has rediscovered his appetite for goals, scoring four times. It’s a pattern that has often been seen in his career.
Last year, the striker scored six goals in the final four games. A year earlier, he scored three goals, and in 2021/22, he found the net twice in his last three appearances. In 2020/21, he also impressed with six goals in the final five games.
This finishing quality has recently helped TSG to score at least two goals in three consecutive league games.
My Gladbach Hoffenheim tip:
The Foals have not conceded fewer than two goals in any of their last three Bundesliga matches (nine in total).
In addition, you won’t find a team in the league that allows its opponents more shots on goal per game than Gladbach (16.7). Furthermore, Seoane’s side have conceded “over 1.5 goals” in three of their previous four home games.
My Gladbach Hoffenheim tip: Hoffenheim will score at least two goals!