Bundesliga Matchday 2, Sunday, 01.09.2024 at 15:30
Historic things continue to happen in little Heidenheim: The European Cup is calling! On Thursday, Frank Schmidt’s team actually managed to qualify for the Conference League and naturally celebrated this success in style.
Some might almost forget that everyday life is calling again on Sunday in the form of the Heidenheim Augsburg tip-off in the Bundesliga. The Swabians head into their first home game after their successful start, with their opponents traveling from the Fuggerstadt.
In 2023/24, they lost twice to the Bavarian Swabians, and that shouldn’t happen again this time. I’ll give you my prediction right away, which has little to do with the outcome of the game: Boredom or few goals – I don’t see that here!
The Heidenheim Augsburg odds see the hosts as the slight favorites, but at 2.40 to 2.85 I really can’t speak of a clear favorite. It is now well known that FCA have been waiting a very, very long time for a three-pointer…
This fact will of course influence my Heidenheim Augsburg prediction, and I will also take into account the two previous duels and the double burden of the home side. And all in all, the result is the bet already mentioned: Over 2.5 goals!
The oddsmakers’ forecast?
The bookmakers have not identified any major differences between the two teams in terms of odds. Heidenheim are slightly ahead, certainly also due to their home advantage.
You can secure an average of 2.40 for bet 1, while a success for Augsburg is estimated at 2.85. Knowing that the Fuggerstädter have only won one of their last nine matches in the Bundesliga.
So should you go straight for a share of the points? The odds of 3.45 show that a draw is anything but unrealistic, as FCA promptly started with a draw last weekend
KI prediction Heidenheim vs Augsburg: This is what ChatGPT predicts
What does our AI prediction for this match bring? First, I’ll show you the low-risk bet, which is the double chance 1X. My opinion on this: Definitely justifiable!
FCA have picked up a single point from their last six games, while Heidenheim have only lost one of their last ten matches. And then there’s the international euphoria.
The BTS tip is a little more risky. Trustworthy? Absolutely! I think Heidenheim’s defense is a little more susceptible due to the double burden, plus the impressions of last year’s 2:5. And Augsburg’s 2:2 against Bremen on matchday one also fits in perfectly
What does the Heidenheim Augsburg prediction look like with a draw with over 2.5 goals, i.e. a result of 2:2 or more? I would risk this bet, which has odds of 9.00 at Bwin.
I’m betting on a lot of goals anyway and the draw also seems appropriate to me. Heidenheim hardly ever lose, FCA don’t win, plus the Conference League qualification – a point for both could be the logical consequence
Analysis: Heidenheim vs Augsburg
1. FC Heidenheim will take their place on the international stage in 2024/25! The team actually managed to qualify for the Conference League, which led to a big party on the Alb.
After winning the first leg against Häcken 1:0, the second leg ended 3:2, with the Swabians showing nerves of steel as the score was suddenly 2:1 despite leading 1:0.
Paul Wanner and Mathias Honsak turned the game around and then it was time to celebrate. All the more so because the opening game in the 1st Bundesliga also went well, with a 2:0 win at FC St. Pauli.
Stable conditions in my Heidenheim Augsburg betting tip?
One defeat from the last ten games, despite painful departures, it doesn’t look as if the team will be among the relegation candidates in 2024/25. Just a year ago, they had lost six of their first nine matches
Quota analysis
The match between Heidenheim and Augsburg still offers one or two tips. The Swabian Swabians like to start a match briskly, which often results in them taking the lead. So if you bet on the first goal of the match, you can secure odds of 1.83 at Betano.
At the same time, this is exactly why I think a half-time lead makes sense, which was the case last season. Augsburg also regularly score after trailing. The tip 1 after 45 minutes gives you odds of 3.00.
As a potential final result, I see good chances for a 2:2, which fits both my tips and the Heidenheim Augsburg predictions of the AI.
Heidenheim vs Augsburg odds: Bet on a lead right away?
Two home defeats up to mid-February were the hallmark of Heidenheim. These defeats came against Hoffenheim and Augsburg, their upcoming opponents.
Interesting to note: Last season, the team’s nerves were not in particularly good shape, as they squandered a 2-0 lead in both the 2:3 loss to Hoffenheim and the 2:5 loss to Augsburg.
The team has long since consolidated, so I would be cautious about betting that Augsburg will win on Sunday after falling behind. If you still want to take full risk, you can pick up odds of 8.00 for this special bet at Betano:
Is FCA finally sliding into a crisis?
The Swabians have lost exactly one match in the league since the beginning of March, and a 1:2 against RB Leipzig is not really a disaster. Leipzig, Frankfurt, Leverkusen, Augsburg and Hoffenheim were the five teams FCH lost to at home in 2023/24.
They only failed to score twice. I also find the fact that ten of the last eleven home games have featured goals on both sides interesting, so the AI is not relying on BTS against Augsburg for nothing.
The team is of course also benefiting from the fact that they seem to be managing the training load ideally, as there are almost never any injuries. Although Jan-Niklas Beste and Tim Kleindienst are no longer there, the reinforcements are making a big impact
Paul Wanner and Maximilian Breuning already have three goals to their name, while Mathias Honsak, Leo Scienza and Sirlord Conteh have also netted. A glance at Bet365 reveals that Marvin Pierunger and Maximilian Breuning are the first contenders for a goal, with odds of 3.25.
At FC Augsburg, the jubilation at the start of the season was somewhat more restrained. After the 4:1 in the cup against Viktoria Berlin, they drew 2:2 against Werder Bremen. Again no win, but at least no defeat.
The previous season ended with five defeats and 14 goals conceded during this period. Now two more have been added, and the problem in defense has apparently not yet been solved.
There were exactly three white vests in 2023/24, at least one of which was collected in the 1-0 home win against Heidenheim. Scoring zero away from home? Only the bottom team from Darmstadt managed that
About 3.5 goals were scored in Augsburg’s away games, and a similar number in Heidenheim’s home games (just under 3.3). After all, the opponents should know that a 0:1 doesn’t knock the Bavarian Swabians out of their minds.
Since the start of the 2023/24 season, a whopping 24 points have been snatched after trailing, including against Bremen when the score was initially 0-1. At the same time, however, I would like to point out that FCH have kept 17 points after taking the lead themselves.
A year ago, the FCA started with two points but conceded twelve goals, which is now absolutely realistic. Incidentally, there were some changes to the squad shortly before the end of the transfer period.
Felix Uduokhai moved to Besiktas, Arne Engels moved to Celtic Glasgow. We are still looking for a replacement for Niklas Dorsch, but this transfer should be completed by the time we travel to Heidenheim
My Heidenheim Augsburg prediction:
This season started as desired for Heidenheim. Wins in all competitions, the international euphoria, very convincing new additions, everything is simply working out on the Swabian Alb.
Defeats are becoming increasingly rare, which is not the case for the upcoming opponents from Augsburg. Wins are in short supply at FCA, in addition to the defensive weakness that has been a feature of their games for more than a year.
At least they manage to score goals very regularly, including in the 5:2 win in Heidenheim last season. Ultimately, in my opinion, everything points to an entertaining match. My Heidenheim Augsburg betting tip is therefore:
We’ll see more than 2.5 goals!
