Heidenheim – Freiburg Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 13 on Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 15:30 CET
Are you planning to place a Heidenheim Freiburg bet on a three-pointer by the Breisgau team? Then it’s best to secure an attractive Oddset odds boost beforehand and listen carefully to my words.
Because I would do the same if I were you! Freiburg finally showed perhaps its best performance of the season against Mainz!
Heidenheim, on the other hand, has the weakest defense in the league, so that more goals could well be scored by the sports club on Saturday at the Brenz.
Because the aforementioned defensive problems remain at FCH even after the most recent victory over Union: 2.25 goals conceded on average and the second-worst xGA in the Bundesliga speak for a clear advantage of the Breisgau team.
If everything goes according to plan, Freiburg will use its momentum and promote Red-Blue to a direct relegation place!
Your Heidenheim Freiburg tip on the guests gets from with support in the form of promising figures.
Because FCH have won only one of the previous six competitive duels against SC Freiburg – a 3-2 home win in December 2023, in the first Bundesliga meeting.
The last two Bundesliga duels, on the other hand, were lost without scoring a goal of their own – 0-3 at home and 0-1 away.
In addition, Freiburg have interestingly lost only two of their last 28 Bundesliga games against teams from the bottom three places in the table, while Heidenheim are currently in 16th place.
Heidenheim – Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips
Freiburg: Over 1.5 goals at odds around 1.95 is one of my favorite Freiburg Heidenheim bets, which I already made last Tuesday.
Let it melt in your mouth: The Breisgau team recently showed perhaps their best performance of the season against Mainz, won 4-0, had 23 shots on goal and an xG of 4.6 – and now face the weakest defense in the league.
Half-time/full-time score 2/2 at odds around 3.10 is also an exciting suggestion – the guests often start strongly in the first half, while after the change of sides they usually only manage.
In the last seven away games, Freiburg only managed one goal in the second half anyway, which further underlines the chances of another victory for the sports club according to exactly this pattern.
What you need to consider when betting on Heidenheim vs. Freiburg
- Heidenheim, who saved themselves from relegation last season, have only 8 points after 12 games this Bundesliga season. That is two points less than at the same time in 2024/25 (10 points).
- Freiburg probably showed their best performance of the season last week in the 4-0 win against Mainz, with 23 shots on goal and an expected goals value (xG) of 4.6.
- Heidenheim (67%) and Freiburg (67%) have the sixth-highest rate of games in the league this season with over 2.5 goals. For both teams, 16 of 24 games this season ended with three or more goals.
- Vincenzo Grifo (69 goals in 248 Bundesliga games for Freiburg) is now the club’s Bundesliga record goalscorer together with Nils Petersen (69 goals in 216 games).
Heidenheim – Freiburg: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Due to the statistically favorable starting position, our Heidenheim Freiburg AI prediction has apparently fallen in love with football bets that tend to be few goals.
The selection of 1st goal: Vincenzo Grifo scores at odds of around 5.30 is recommended because the in-form Italian recently scored his fourth Bundesliga goal of the season and then also scored in the cup match against Darmstadt.
Incidentally, he even scored twice against Heidenheim in September 2024 in his team’s 3-0 victory.
Meanwhile, you can use our AI’s reference to the solid defense of the Breisgau team for other betting options with different risk levels!
Freiburg wins to nil to 3.35 and Under 3.5 goals to 1.40 are two equally sensible suggestions, there is no question about that!
The sports club has already played four clean sheets this Bundesliga season, while Heidenheim has scored only ten goals so far and has the fewest shots per game in the league (10.3).
Both options are interesting depending on your personal risk appetite. In terms of expectations, I personally oscillate strongly between a 1-0 and a 2-0 for the Breisgau team.
The best odds for Heidenheim vs. Freiburg
The bookmakers have drawn a clear picture of the Heidenheim Freiburg odds, but at the same time it leaves enough nuances open to think about tactical scenarios.
A home win for FCH is rated 3.90. The bookmakers see the hosts as outsiders, but give them chances, especially when they press aggressively and disrupt Freiburg’s build-up.
The quota signals that a surprise success is possible, but not expected.
The draw is 3.50. The bookmakers are therefore expecting a close, hard-fought game in which Heidenheim could hold out for a long time and Freiburg will have difficulty forcing clear advantages.
For an away win of Freiburg there is 1.95. The markets see the Breisgau team as slight favourites – the combination of stable defence, individual quality and experience makes them the team that is likely to control the game.
The Heidenheim Freiburg odds thus result in a market picture that sees Freiburg in the lead, but leaves Red-Blue enough value for bold bets!
Heidenheim vs Freiburg Match Analysis:
Heidenheim will again be at the back for the most part this time. With only 41.5% possession and the most passes allowed per defensive action, it is clear: Freiburg will have the ball and make the game.
Frank Schmidt will prepare his boys for counterattacks, but Freiburg’s ball security in midfield shows that the guests will hardly come out of their own half.
Heidenheim will try to stay compact, but you can already tell that they often let themselves be pushed in at the back – it will be a game of patience for the home side, who hope for quick transition moments.
Problems for Heidenheim are the many shots they allow on average – 15.83 per game. Freiburg uses this cleverly, especially set pieces are a real weapon: seven goals from corners and free kicks speak volumes.
Your target players in the penalty area will love this because the Heidenheim defence often looks sleepy. Nevertheless, Freiburg has to defend a lot, because their field tilt is only 38.56, so they don’t dominate the game permanently.
It could be a game with many chances on both sides, in which Freiburg scores early, but Heidenheim can also counterattack.
Heidenheim Form Check
Heidenheim finally ended their longest Bundesliga negative streak (six games) last Saturday and won 2-1 at Union Berlin – the second Bundesliga three points of the season.
The goals came spectacularly late: 0-1 behind in the 90th minute, then Stefan Schimmer and Jan Schöppner in injury time, the latter in the 95th minute.
Heidenheim climbed out of the relegation zone. Schimmer scored his third Bundesliga goal – all in the last five matchdays as a joker. After 327 minutes without a goal, that was a real liberation.
The team shows that they can fight and have to give everything until the end of the season to avoid relegation again.
Despite the victory, the situation remains tense. According to our data model, Heidenheim is threatening to finish at the bottom of the table with less than 28 points. Two home wins since March, most recently 3-1 against Holstein Kiel and 2-1 against Augsburg, show that stability is missing.
There have not been two wins in a row since March 2025. According to expected points, they should have a little more points, but the ground in the Bundesliga is currently hard.
The late goals against Union and the fighting attitude give hope – if they keep this mentality, they might be able to stay in the league after all.
Freiburg Form Check
Freiburg are currently in good form and remain unbeaten in their last three competitive games. With the 2-0 win against Darmstadt a few days ago, they are even in the quarter-finals of the DFB Cup.
In the league, they have 16 points after 12 matchdays, four less than at the same time last year.
However, they have lost only two of their last ten Bundesliga games, plus four wins and four draws.
However, the away record remains a small problem child: four Bundesliga games without a win, including two defeats and two draws.
Nevertheless, Freiburg stands out for its efficiency in set-pieces – six goals from corners, the best expected goals result from stationary balls in the league. Vincenzo Grifo has now equalled Nils Petersen’s club record with 69 Bundesliga goals.
The defense also does solid work with three clean sheets in a row. Freiburg shows that they are clever, dangerous and stable overall, and thus continue to be an unpleasant opponent for any team.
