Hull – Chelsea Tip FA Cup, 4th round on Thursday, 13.02.26 at 20:45
In the past, I would have advised you against a Hull Chelsea tip, as I now have in mind, in any case. Because with the many signings and more important tasks of the Londoners, a rather weaker B-eleven would have been sent onto the field in an FA Cup game like this.
But I’m hardly worried about that this season. Consequently, I stay with Chelsea wins both halves of the game at odds of around 1.85 at a recommendable German betting provider, because the Blues are known to have enormous quality and depth in the squad.
The second division club is also busy with other things. Apart from the fact that Hull can hardly keep up in terms of play, the full attention is primarily on the race for the playoff ranks.
The home side will certainly not give away this game, but the dominance of the guests should be difficult to overlook. Especially since Liam Rosenior took over the helm at Stamford Bridge, the Blues are bursting with self-confidence!
Hull vs. Chelsea AI Predictions:
Don’t be blinded by the fact that the second division team is playing for promotion! Because our Hull Chelsea AI prediction rightly points out to me that the Chelsea over 2.5 goals option should definitely be taken into account – especially at odds around 2.12.
The Tigers have the second-worst value in the championship with an xGA of 1.77 per 90 minutes. This means that even against teams that play one division below the Blues, they concede an average of almost two goals per league game.
Consequently, I’m quite confident that – if the Londoners are serious from the start – it could become clear quite early in the game.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Hull |
Draw |
Win Chelsea |
| 12.7% |
16.8% |
70.5% |
Both hit at odds around 1.90 as well as win Chelsea & both score at around 2.80 at Winamax are two promising computer-generated betting suggestions with of course differently weighted risk.
However, a goal by the home side seems to me personally very likely in both cases! Chelsea is likely to rotate and thus probably not be able to send a fully rehearsed defense onto the field.
At the same time, however, the Londoners’ enormous offensive quality should be enough to cause more damage up front than is allowed at the back.
Especially since Hull looked defensively vulnerable again in the recent 3-2 defeat in the league against Bristol City. That’s why I don’t exactly have the impression that the Premier League club will meet insurmountable resistance at the MKM Stadium a few days later …
What you need to know about Hull vs. Chelsea betting
- Hull City are the “spectacle team” of the Championship: more than 2.5 goals have been scored in 20 of 31 league games, with the strong offense (1.61 xG) often having to conceal the vulnerable defense (second-worst xGA in the league)
- Chelsea have recently shown themselves to be defensively vulnerable against lower-league opponents and conceded a total of six goals in the most recent duels against Cardiff and Charlton with a worrying xG average
- The “Over 2.5” bet seems to be historically grounded: over 60% of Hull’s games this season have ended in high goals, with both teams scoring in 18 games and breaking the 2.5-goal mark
- The focus is on Hull’s top scorers: Oliver McBurnie (12 goals) and Joe Gelhardt (10 goals) have already scored in double figures this season and, along with Kyle Joseph, are the hottest tips on the scorer market
