Serie A, Friday, 06.12.2024 at 18:30
No matter what the bookmakers with a German license would have you believe: This match will certainly not be as one-sided as the Inter Milan Parma odds recently traded on the betting markets suggest.
The promoted team would have been difficult to play against under normal circumstances.
In my Inter Milan Parma betting tip, however, I assume that just a few days after the terrible events in the Stadio Artemio Franchi, some of the “Nerazzurri” players are not really in the mood for soccer at the moment.
It is of course difficult to concentrate on soccer these days, especially for the “Nerazzurri” players. After all, they were up close and personal when Eduardo Bove collapsed on the pitch.
Such scenes leave no one untouched, and it is more than understandable that the team of the reigning defending champions is still struggling with the impressions of this incident.
Fortunately, however, Italian media have reported in recent days that the 22-year-old’s condition has since stabilized.
Meanwhile, the Gialloblu are in a very different mood.
Parma celebrated an impressive 3-1 win over Lazio Roma at the weekend, impressively showing that they are determined to do everything they can to avoid direct relegation from Serie A.
Nevertheless, the bookmakers seem to assume that this will be a no-brainer for Milan on Friday. The Inter Milan Parma odds for a home win are a very meagre 1.20 on average – far too low for my taste!
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Why do I see the balance of power differently? Parma have shown in recent weeks that they are by no means cannon fodder in this league.
Two wins from the last three games speak for themselves, and even in the 3-1 defeat against Atalanta in between, the team was able to impress in terms of play.
No wonder Atalanta coach Giampiero Gasperini lost his cool during the game. After all, it’s rare for the experienced coach to be so upset by his team’s performance that the referee has to banish him to the stands.
Parma will therefore travel to the Giuseppe Meazza with a good dose of confidence, while the Nerazzurri players may not yet be fully focused.
If you ask me, this is not a game that Inter will win by the skin of their teeth. What do you think – could this be a game for surprises?
However, I wouldn’t advise you to bet on a Gialloblu win straight away. The numbers are simply far too clear for that. After all, Parma have not won any of their last six matches against Milan
However, there is one interesting point: Milan have not won any of their last nine competitive matches against this opponent by more than one goal difference. This is where it gets exciting.
While the betting providers with PayPal suggest that Inter will win at home – like they did against Verona two weeks ago – I disagree completely.
So if you’re looking for smart betting opportunities, a general bet on Parma to lose narrowly could be a smart choice. For me, this remains one of the most exciting duels of the entire matchday.
I really like the selection on the Betano app that “Inter will not win both halves”. The odds for this are relatively generous at 1.60 and I rate them as extremely promising.
And do you know why? The 0:3 against Modena on 27 January – back then still in Serie B – was the last time the “Gialloblu” lost both halves against a team.
To expect Parma to win more than a maximum of one point on Friday – which would be pretty brave in my eyes – is still not something I would want to support.
Milan have not lost a single home game against a club outside their own city limits in the 2024 calendar year.
I am, of course, indirectly alluding to the 2-1 defeat to AC Milan on the 5th Serie A matchday of the current season, which was also extremely unlucky.
Conclusion: This match would have been challenging for Inter even if there had been no dramatic scenes during their visit to Florence on Sunday.
After all, the “Nerazzurri” have not beaten this opponent with a result that went beyond a meagre 1-0 or 2-1 for many years.
And if we also take into account that the promoted team has just celebrated its biggest success of the season, then it’s not far off an Inter Milan Parma betting tip.
What does this look like? Parma will win with a handicap of +3, but there is of course still plenty of scope for more aggressive bets aimed at a possible surprise:
My tip: Parma to win with a handicap of +3
