Serie A, Sunday, 29.12.2024 at 18:00
In Italy as well as in England, football will continue mercilessly into the new year. But Bundesliga fans can also rejoice, as it won’t be long before matches resume in this country too.
Meanwhile, I have a Juventus Fiorentina betting tip for Sunday with clear expectations. It should be a sluggish game between these two teams, which will produce fewer than two total goals for the fourth time in a row.
The “Old Lady” from Turin has put together an impressive run without defeat in its last 13 competitive games.
However, the statistics also reveal that Juventus have only managed five wins in that time, which points to the Bianconeri’s ongoing problems this season.
Despite the many draws – ten in total this season – they can at least be pleased with the fact that they are the only club from one of Europe’s top five leagues not to have lost a league game this season.
However, it is no coincidence that Juventus are currently only in sixth place in Serie A.
Attention, truism: championships are ultimately won with victories, and that was the case even before the introduction of the 3-point rule.
The difficulty of turning a draw into three points therefore remains a key problem for the Turin side. However, the upcoming clash against Fiorentina could provide a good opportunity to change that.
Juventus have won their last three matches against Fiorentina all by 1-0, which should give them extra confidence for this game.
The “Old Lady’s” strong defense in particular, which has gone numerous games this season without conceding a goal, gives reason to hope that they will also keep another clean sheet against Florence.
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Fiorentina will by no means travel to Turin without ambitions, however. The “Viola” are currently in fifth place, just one goal ahead of Juventus, but have one game less and will be doing everything they can to maintain their top spot.
However, a certain uncertainty has crept in over the last few weeks, as Fiorentina have lost two Serie A games in a row for the first time since February.
These defeats have seen Lazio overtake them and now they must fend off pressure from Juventus, Bologna and AC Milan, who are all hot on their heels. Despite these setbacks, Fiorentina’s form away from home remains respectable.
In particular, their defensive stability has distinguished them several times away from home this season. With just five goals conceded this season, they share the league’s best defense on foreign soil with Inter Milan.
My Juventus Fiorentina betting tip is also based on this strong defensive trend.
Another interesting point is the fact that Fiorentina’s last six away games have been largely unspectacular.
Apart from an impressive 6-0 win, Fiorentina’s away games have otherwise often been tight, low-scoring affairs, with their opponents often unable to score themselves!
This defensive approach could also stand them in good stead in Turin, especially as Juventus have repeatedly struggled to beat their opponents this season when they have played deep at the back.
The possibility of Florence keeping the game tight again on Sunday by playing to their defensive strengths is therefore a realistic one.
In any case, it will be an interesting and hard-fought match in Turin.
My personal Juventus Florence gut prediction? The first goal will decide the game
The last encounters between Juve and Fiorentina were often hard-fought and rather low-scoring. Less than three goals have been scored in each of the last nine meetings.
Another indication that we can possibly expect an exciting, but rather defensive game. A bet on “Under 2.5 goals” therefore seems to be a very solid option at odds of 1.70.
The match should also be low-scoring because the player with the best form in both teams – three goals and one assist in the last five matchdays – is usually out of form against his former employers.
Dusan Vlahovic has not scored a single goal in his last six appearances against Florence! A goal bet on the Serbian? Not recommended!
Conclusion: It should be a very tough game in which the tension remains the interesting aspect.
If I were you, I wouldn’t shy away from seriously considering a 0:0 result bet at the fantastic odds of around 8.50.
However, my suggested Juventus Fiorentina tip does not take the full risk: Under 1.5 goals