Bundesliga 21st matchday, Saturday, 09/02/2025 at 3:30 pm
The 17th in the table welcomes the 18th. In this duel, only the three points count in order not to lose touch with the safe shore! However, neither of the two teams has scored a goal in the last three weeks.
When the two weakest defenses in the league meet, it’s not difficult for me to choose a Kiel Bochum betting tip. I confidently target the goal of both teams at NEO.bet.
I also asked the AI to give me an assessment as part of my preview. My analysis will show which bets it finds interesting.
The match was actually already decided when FC Bayern had to tremble again briefly. Steven Skrzybski scored twice in stoppage time to bring excitement back into the game. In the end, however, the record champions managed to save a 4-3 win.
Previously, Kiel had celebrated a lucky point win in Wolfsburg, lucky because VfL dominated the match, Kiel was able to score practically every time in the Lower Saxony goal to make it 2:2. What can we expect against the other VfL from Bochum?
The betting providers’ forecast
While we will see the absolute top teams of the AFC and NFC in the NFL in the Super Bowl on Sunday night, the Bundesliga will see the two currently weakest teams face each other.
According to the bookmakers, both games should be exciting. Kiel start the match as narrow 2.30 favorites, and there can be no question of an easy outsider role for the guests at odds of 3.00. The least likely outcome is a draw at 3.50.
The draw would definitely not be enough for the bottom-placed teams, but I can also well imagine a close 1-1 or 2-2.
KI prediction Bochum vs. Kiel: ChatGPT’s tip
ChatGPT, like me, prefers a goal bet, at least when it comes to not going for the really big odds. Over 2.5 goals would be the AI’s choice if it had to place a low-risk bet.
So similar to my goal of both teams, I had also considered adding the over 2.5 goals. Ultimately, however, I also want to cover myself for a not unlikely 1-1 in this pairing. Mixed together, the odds are 1.90.
And over 2.5 goals are anything but a rarity, especially for Kiel, who have scored the most goals with 81 in 20 games. At least three goals have been scored seven times in a row.
I went through the freshest results from Kiel. The only Bundesliga three in 2025 has so far been recorded against Dortmund, in the surprising 4-2 win. In addition, in the new calendar year we saw, among other things, a 2-3 against Freiburg and a 1-3 against Hoffenheim.
That makes a total of 14 goals conceded in just five games; the defense remains their Achilles’ heel and could ultimately cost them their place in the league. Bochum also took four points in 2025, beating St. Pauli 1-0 and drawing 3-3 with Leipzig.
But the form curve is currently pointing downwards. A deserved 0-3 in the top game against Gladbach was followed by a better performance against Freiburg (0-1), but without really being dangerous.
Except for Myron Boadu’s cream day against RBL, when he scored all three goals, the Bochum offense has been poor so far, scoring a total of four goals in five 2025 matches. Overall, only Union Berlin have scored fewer goals.
Nevertheless, I think Dieter Hecking’s team is capable of scoring at least one goal on Sunday in this important game and against the weakest defense in the league. A whopping 2.30 is already being offered for the Ruhr Valley side to score a brace, not bad!
Odds analysis
Given that Kiel concedes between two and three goals on average, not a bad selection. The disastrous value is rounded off with 337 chances that they have had to endure.
Bochum is at 298, which is also high. Incidentally, Kiel has kept a clean sheet in only one competitive game this season. Bochum’s goal difference of 1.26 at German betting providers is therefore the perfect selection for a combination ticket.
In addition, Marcel Rapp still has to fall back on a compressed defense. Colin Kleine-Beke, Carl Johansson, Patrick Erras and Marvin Schulz are not available.
Kiel vs. Bochum: VfL without Sissoko
Bochum are missing just one regular, but a very important one in the center. Ibrahima Sissoko saw his fifth yellow card against Freiburg and will have to watch the game from the stands on Sunday.
A bitter loss against the efficient Kielers, who have used 11.2 percent of their chances to be among the best teams in the Bundesliga in this ranking.
Bochum (5.2 percent) only uses half as many of its opportunities. Only Union comes off even worse in this statistic.
Balanced head2head after ten duels
Kiel v Bochum is not a new fixture. The first leg was the tenth meeting, the first in the Bundesliga, to end 2-2. The promoted team were the slightly better, although they only managed to equalize shortly before time.
The overall balance is even. Kiel have won four times, Bochum three times, and three times the points were shared in the second division. Incidentally, in 2017 we saw the only match in which neither team was able to score, with KSV winning 3-0.
At home, Kiel has only lost the premiere in the DFB Cup. In 2002, the storks were still at a much lower level and lost 2-1 to the then Bundesliga club.
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In view of the high goal average in Kiel’s games, you can get decent odds here with the right hunch!
My Kiel Bochum tip:
Kiel against Bochum, the stakes are high! I expect two teams playing to win, who will both increase the risk in the second half in particular to get the points on the board.
Since VfL have gone twice without scoring recently and have only managed to get three points away from home, I see the storks slightly ahead, but due to the weak defense I don’t dare to bet on the home win or the 1X.
Instead, I am covering a wide range of outcomes with the following bet. If you like, you can add over 2.5 goals, but ultimately I can also imagine a 1-1 that the teams actually didn’t want.
My Kiel Bochum tip: Both teams to score
