Serie A 32nd matchday, Sunday, 13.04.2025 at 8:45 PM
Derby della Capitale – not only the sparks fly, but also the emotions over the rooftops of Rome.
In the league, Roma are slightly better historically and currently and could actually win the derby for the third time in a row – that would be a first since 2016.
Lazio, on the other hand, seems shaky, both athletically and mentally! Roma, on the other hand, are coming into the game with their chests puffed out, have the better results in the bag and should finally cement their dominance of the city with a win.
My personal Lazio Rom AS Rom betting tip: The “Giallorossi” will get the upper hand this time too.
I have attached an odds boost to my Lazio Rom AS Rom betting tip in order to make an even bigger profit if it wins.
In my opinion, the advantage of the “Giallorossi” is that they have already been eliminated from the Europa League and therefore had a day off last Thursday.
This aspect, coupled with the generally slightly better form of the Ranieri team, leads me to believe that they will soon triumph over their city rivals in the legendary Olimpico.
The betting providers’ prediction?
The Lazio Rome AS Rome odds are again in almost exactly the same range as in many “Derbies della Capitale” before.
On average, there are 2.95 for a win by the nominal home team and a little less, around 2.65, for a win by Roma.
From a purely odds-based point of view, it’s a toss-up with three sides!
Analysis: Lazio vs AS Roma
Despite the 1-0 win against Atalanta last weekend, the “hosts’” form shows little upward potential.
The subsequent 2-0 defeat against Bodö/Glimt in the Europa League quarter-finals was in fact their fifth game without a win in their last six competitive games.
Although a derby victory over their city rivals represents an ideal opportunity for redemption, four home draws in a row raise justified doubts about this sky-blue dream scenario.
The “Giallorossi”, meanwhile, are feeling optimistic after recently beating teams from the bottom half of the table seven times in a row.
Roma have not been beaten in the league for 15 games (11 wins, 4 draws) – only PSG have a longer streak in Europe’s top leagues at the moment.
Five consecutive away wins in the league – the last four of which have all been 1-0 victories – further underpin this strong run. Meanwhile, AS fans have further hope from their coach Claudio Ranieri, who has won all four derbies he has coached as Roma manager.
Ratings analysis
“Draw at 3.05” – quite conceivable! Lazio have recently ended four home games in a row with a draw – this speaks for a certain balance, especially in close games. This quote definitely has value.
“More goals in the 1st half” at 3.20 is also a really interesting statistical tip. Since the first half was more goal-scoring in 6 of the last 10 games between the two teams, this bet is much more than just gut feeling. A real find for risk takers!
Lazio Rom vs. AS Rom: Interesting facts!
The “Derby della Capitale” has some interesting dynamics that shouldn’t really exist.
Olimpico remains Olimipico, but the nominal home team has only lost one of the last 18 joint competitive matches.
This will certainly please the Lazio fans, even if they lost the last two duels with Roma 0-1 and 0-2.
It is also interesting to note that in the last six capital city derbies, at least one side has come away empty-handed in terms of goals.
Consequently, the 2.5-goal mark has not been broken during this period, since November 2022 to be precise!
“Double chance 1X & Under 2.5 goals” would therefore be a Lazio Rome AS Rome tip that I would not endorse, but which, statistically speaking, would make sense.
Lazio – Roma: It’s going to be heated!
I instinctively tend to a better performance by the “Giallorossi”, even if the confirmed loss of Paulo Dybala will affect them on the way forward.
But you should also have a 1-1 result bet on your screen in any case. After all, this seems to be Lazio’s new favorite result.
Take note: 5 of their last 9 competitive matches at the Olimpico have ended with exactly this result – including the last three encounters against Udinese, Pilsen and Torino respectively.
By the way, be prepared for one or two rough entrances – because things could get heated on Sunday evening.
After all, there were at least seven yellow cards in 6 of the last 7 direct duels. It’s just annoying that so-called booking bets are no longer offered by most licensed betting providers.
Use the extremely positive Oddset ratings to place your Lazio Rom AS Rom tip with a trustworthy bookie!
The prestigious derby offers strong odds that will enable you to make a tidy profit – and the state provider in particular seems to have fully focused on this Serie A classic.
My Lazio Rome – AS Rome betting tip
It promises to be a close encounter, but if it weren’t for Paulo Dybala’s injury, I would be even more in favor of the “Giallorossi”.
But even so, I think the conditions are right for speculating with confidence on a narrow victory for Roma on Sunday.
Lazio are no longer performing as well as they did in the first half of the season and at the same time they have to prepare for the tricky quarter-final return leg against Bodö/Glimt.
Therefore, my Lazio Rome AS Roma betting tip is: Double Chance X2 & Under 3.5 goals.
