Serie A, Saturday, 15/02/2025 at 6:00 PM
There is one team that could really spoil the 2024/25 season for the Neapolitans – and that is the upcoming opponent.
If the SSC doesn’t win a title by the end of the season, it will be because the “Biancocelesti” have already inflicted several painful defeats on them.
With odds boosted, I have already set my sights on a very specific Lazio Roma Naples tip.
The capital city team hardly ever lose at home anyway – and, as we all know, third time’s the charm…
Naples have lost only four competitive matches all season, a solid record. However, two of those defeats have come against Lazio, showing just how challenging it is for SSC to get the better of the capital city side.
The 3-1 loss in the Coppa Italia and the 1-0 defeat at the Diego Maradona Stadium a few days later were both significant setbacks. Even though SSC fielded a B-team in the first game, the second defeat in Serie A with a full squad was a clear message.
So it will be hard for Naples to convince me of their role as favorites, even if they continue to top the table!
In theory, you would give Naples a clear advantage under normal circumstances. After all, teams with European commitments like Lazio are known to have to play twice almost every week – once nationally and once internationally.
But this is precisely where Lazio have the advantage. Having finished top of the league, they can focus entirely on the Serie A and the upcoming clash with Napoli, without the hassle of a Europa League play-off.
The hosts have no international commitments to worry about in February and have also built up a reputation as a difficult opponent over the season – especially at home, where they have only lost a single league game since April 2024.
Another factor that speaks against Naples is the injury luck on the left wing. Mario Rui is no longer part of the squad and due to the injuries of Spinazzola and Olivera, two important players are missing on the left back position.
Mazzocchi, who usually plays as a right back, has been forced to play more on the left side as a result.
But this change did not really work, especially in the disappointing 1-1 draw against Udinese Calcio, in which Mazzocchi in particular was one of the weaker players on the pitch.
For those of you who want to take a bit more risk, a bet on a home win at odds of around 2.80 could also be very attractive.
Despite Napoli being favorites in the betting markets, Lazio are definitely the challengers here, and they can make it extremely exciting in this heated duel.
And why not? As they say, third time’s the charm, right?
However, it has not happened since 1996 that Napoli lost three consecutive matches against the “Biancocelesti” in all competitions.
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Conclusion: If the capital club were to take part in the Europa League play-offs, I would have recommended a different Lazio-Naples tip.
The fact that they will be able to play a whole season without European competition appearances is usually a huge advantage that SSC will be able to benefit from in 2024/25.
But Lazio were also able to fully concentrate on this match and with the extremely positive impressions from the 5-1 win over Monza in the back of my mind, I find it hard to believe that the Romans will come away empty-handed a week later.
My Lazio Rome v Naples betting tip: Double chance 1X.
