Leeds – Manchester United Tip Premier League, Matchday 20 on Sunday, 04.01.26 at 13:30 CET
For Sunday, I decided to use both a conventional odds boost and a Leeds Manchester United tip that I rarely use: “Draw no Bet”.
In fact, however, I consider the conditions prevailing on Sunday at Elland Road to be extremely favorable for this type of bet. Because while the Red Devils still don’t really get going, the host has a real chance of getting the full three points!
Leeds have lost only two Premier League games at home this season anyway and have also scored at least one goal in 16 of their last 17 home games.
Leeds vs. Manchester United AI Predictions:
The fact that the Whites keep the shop closed at the back at least until the change of sides seems to be an integral part of the Leeds Manchester United AI prediction I recently conducted.
By the way, I also endorse the selection “1st half: Man Utd doesn’t score a goal” at odds around 1.75 recommended by my digital bettor.
League-wide, only two other Premier League teams have conceded fewer goals at home in the first half than Leeds United (2).
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Leeds |
Draw |
Victory Man United |
| 32.6% |
24.7% |
42.7% |
The selection “Leeds: Over 1.5 goals” at odds around 2.27 is also based on solid data. Here, too, I can agree with the objective AI assessment without contradiction.
If only because Leeds have missed the opponent’s goal in just one of their last 17 Premier League home games. Not a bad starting point to score a brace against Red Devils, who have been mediocre for weeks, right?
Last but not least, Leeds United to win at odds around 2.65 is also recommended by our AI. Even though this tip is legitimate, I personally prefer to hedge my bets with the “Draw no Bet” option.
What you need to know about Leeds vs. Manchester United betting
- Leeds are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games. They have lost just two home games this season and have scored in 16 of their last 17 top-flight matches at home.
- Manchester United have conceded 16 goals in nine Premier League away games this season. The performance in the recent 1-1 draw at home against Wolves (who had previously lost twelve times in a row) was worse than that of their opponents in terms of performance (expected goals).
- The odds for the Leeds vs Manchester United match are almost even: Leeds is given an implied probability of winning 37%, United 38%.
- Leeds striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored seven times in his last seven league appearances. He was the player whose call-up to the England World Cup squad was the most bet on in Great Britain last month.
