Leverkusen – Newcastle Tip Champions League, Matchday 6 on Wednesday, 10.12.2025 at 21:00 CET
This is going to be a really exciting affair, and every bookie who offers tax-free betting is vying for your favor!
In the meantime, I looked at the betting program of all providers and finally decided on the most promising Leverkusen Newcastle tip: Both teams score.
The Werkself know how to score goals at home and the English are also always good for a goal – no matter where!
After all, this condition has been met in 7 of the Magpies’ last 8 competitive games – a good prerequisite for being able to dust off a BTS odds of around 1.56 today.
The chances of the Werkself winning this game are not so bad. In the last three Champions League games against English teams, Bayer Leverkusen have won twice, including a 2-0 away win at Manchester City on Matchday 5.
By comparison, in the first 17 meetings with English teams in the Champions League, the Werkself have only four draws and eleven defeats – the current record is much more positive in this respect.
Leverkusen – Newcastle Prediction & Betting
I looked at the Leverkusen Newcastle odds and also checked other betting options that could be worthwhile for football betting.
I found what I was looking for in the selection Over 2.5 goals, which is traded on the markets at around 1.70. In my eyes, this is a promising option, as I expect at least a 2-1 win here – possibly for the Werkself.
That’s why I’m tempted by 2+ goals: Leverkusen at odds around 2.27. The chances are good that the Magpies, who are weakened by replacements, will increasingly get into trouble at the back.
What you need to know about Leverkusen vs. Newcastle betting
- Leverkusen scored an average of 1.6 goals this Champions League season and conceded 2.0 goals per 90 minutes. However, with 49 shots on goal, they had the fourth fewest shots in the competition.
- Newcastle have played nine away games in all competitions this season, winning only two of them (three draws).
- Newcastle’s last games have been high-scoring: The bet “Both teams to score – Yes” won in seven of the last eight games. During this time, the Magpies have averaged 1.88 goals and conceded 1.63.
- Patrik Schick (Leverkusen) has the most shots on goal for his team in the CL with 1.68 shots on goal per 90 minutes. His two goals already exceed his value from last season (one goal in four starting eleven appearances).
Leverkusen – Newcastle: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
The Leverkusen Newcastle AI forecast of our data model has provided some interesting betting ideas, which I definitely follow and which I even classify as useful.
Goal within the first 15 minutes and 1st goal: Newcastle at odds of 2.92 and 1.85 respectively are based on the same statistically sound basis.
Across the competition, only FC Bayern (6) has scored more goals within the first 20 minutes of the game than the Magpies (3). So it’s quite possible that the English will let it ring early at the BayArena again this time.
Patrick Schick scores at odds around 2.35 is also a betting option recommended by our AI, which I can live with.
The Czech is no longer quite as accurate as in previous seasons, but within his team he has had the most Champions League shots on goal per game in 2025/26 – an average of 1.7 per match.
The best odds for Leverkusen vs. Newcastle
Let’s take a look at the Leverkusen Newcastle odds – a duel that seems balanced on paper, but in which the markets still show clear trends.
A home win for Bayer is rated 3.00. The bookmakers see the Werkself as outsiders but give them chances through home advantage, attacking creativity and set-pieces. The quota signals: success would be surprising, but by no means impossible.
The draw is 3.60. The markets are thus calculating a scenario in which both teams act cautiously, wait for the rhythm and lie in wait for mistakes by the opponent. Long phases without clear dominance are quite conceivable.
For an away win of Newcastle there is 2.25. The bookmakers see the English as slight favourites, based on individual quality, squad strength and international experience.
At the same time, the odds indicate that Newcastle are not expected to be a sure-fire success – Leverkusen can cause pinpricks with clever pressing or quick transition moments.
Overall, the Leverkusen Newcastle odds paint a picture in which Newcastle is ahead, but Bayer offers enough chances for value – especially in a game that could be decided by pace, set-pieces and efficiency.
Leverkusen vs Newcastle Match Analysis:
Newcastle have found their form after a slow start to the season and can certainly shape the game against Leverkusen.
In each of the last four Champions League games, the Magpies have had more possession than their opponents, while Leverkusen have had less possession in the last four games.
This points to a hard-fought midfield. Newcastle also brings physical presence to the centre, which could help them gain control in key areas.
Despite Leverkusen’s home advantage, the ball is often pushed back and forth between the two teams, with phases in which Newcastle set the pace.
Leverkusen allow an average of 34.2 touches of the ball in the penalty area per Champions League game, the fourth-highest figure in the league phase. Nick Woltemade as a target player could take advantage of this and keep the hosts’ defence busy.
Both teams are dangerous offensively: Leverkusen is at 3.6 goals per game, Newcastle also provides a lot of goal threat.
At the same time, the numbers show that Howe’s team is ready to be at the back in phases – 35 shots in two away games prove that. It will be an entertaining, open game with chances on both sides, in which small mistakes could be the deciding factor.
Leverkusen form check
Leverkusen suffered their second defeat in three games last weekend: 2-0 against Augsburg. Kasper Hjulmand’s team remains in fourth place in the Bundesliga, five points behind Dortmund.
Overall, it is only the fourth defeat from the last 19 games – apart from Bayern and PSG, they have only lost once.
Leverkusen continue to show stability away from home, but things haven’t always gone smoothly at home this year: Three home defeats have been recorded so far, including the opening defeat against Hoffenheim.
Positive: At least one goal has been scored in every home game, and the BayArena have only kept three clean sheets.
The figures show a mixed picture. According to our data model, Leverkusen are likely to finish the league stage in 16th place with at least 12.8 points, while expected points would predict only 5.4 points – an indication of their ability to score difficult goals.
In the Champions League, they are efficient despite few chances: only 49 shots, but eight goals with 16 shots on target, the fifth-best rate in the competition.
Leverkusen remains a team that scores with efficient finishing, while the defence still has weaknesses and provides excitement.
Newcastle Form Check
Newcastle are unbeaten in three games, but have never gone four consecutive games without defeat this season. The last defeat dates back to the 2-1 defeat against Marseille.
The away record in particular is causing problems: four defeats from the last five away games are offset by only two wins – 4-0 against Royal Union SG and 4-1 at Everton.
Things haven’t gone well away from home in the Champions League either, with Newcastle winning just one of five away games (D2 L2) since returning in 2023/24, despite scoring the first goal in three games.
According to our data model, they should certainly reach the playoffs and finish 14th with at least 13 points. Looking at the expected points, things have been unfortunate so far: Newcastle should currently be in seventh place with 9.7 points.
The form curve shows a team that takes chances early, but seeks stability away from home, and is therefore particularly dependent on home games and tactical cleverness.
