Leverkusen – Olympiacos Piraeus Tip Champions League, play-offs second leg on Tuesday, 24/02/2026 at 21:00 CET
Despite the slip-up against Union at the weekend, I am willing to accept the odds of about 1.80 that German bookmakers offer on average for a Leverkusen Olympiacos Piraeus tip on the home side in the second leg.
The Rhinelanders were already the clear leading team in the first leg – and a 2-0 is not yet a lead where you can put your feet up in a relaxed way.
On top of that, the Greeks have won just 8 of their last 24 European matches since the start of the 2022/23 season, despite having also competed in weaker competitions such as the Europa League and Conference League during that period.
A trip to the BayArena is therefore one of the tougher tests of recent years, but I don’t think the team from Piraeus will pass it successfully …
What also speaks for my Leverkusen Olympiacos Piraeus tip is not only the already quite one-sided course of the first leg, but also the record of the Greeks against Bundesliga teams so far.
Olympiakos have won only one of their eleven away games against German teams in European competition (D1 L9).
The Greeks scored only five goals, but conceded 24 goals – and did not concede a goal in any of these eleven games. A statistic that is quite encouraging from the hosts’ point of view.
Leverkusen – Olympiacos Prediction & Betting
The approximately 3.20 that top bookmakers like Winamax Germany offer you for the victory Leverkusen to nil contain a positive expected value in my eyes.
Of course, the bookmakers expect the Greeks to dare more going forward after going 2-0 down, but that doesn’t mean they can actually break through against the disciplined Werkself defending.
After all, B04 is looking forward to its potentially fifth home win without conceding a goal …
The selection 2nd half: Leverkusen scores, on the other hand, promises betting odds of about 1.50 and for me represents a quite safe pick for a longer combination betting slip, as the Bundesliga team has a clear tendency to significantly increase the number of shots after the break.
Bayer have scored 10 of their 15 Champions League goals this season after the break.
What you need to know about Leverkusen vs. Olympiacos Piraeus betting
- Bayer fortress BayArena: Leverkusen are aiming for a fifth home win in a row – Kasper Hjulmand’s team have won four of their last four competitive games in front of their own crowd with an impressive 11-0 goal record
- Away weakness of the Greeks: Olympiakos revealed significant defensive gaps against favourites in the Champions League, which is underlined by the clear defeats in Barcelona (1-6) and at Arsenal (0-2)
- Bayer 04’s Champions League home games are a guarantee for entertainment – with an average of 4.5 goals per game in their own stadium, the figure is well above the competition average
- Schick in goal mood: After his brace in the 2-0 first-leg win in Greece, Patrik Schick is the top favourite to score; on the other side, hopes rest on Ayoub El Kaabi, who is still looking for his form internationally despite 13 league goals
Leverkusen – Olympiacos Piraeus: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
The one who has more reason to smile since the early change of coach at Bayer this season is definitely Patrik Schick. Because the Czech has blossomed again since Kasper Hjulmand has been wielding the scepter.
Since his appointment, the Czech has scored four goals in seven Champions League appearances, which is why I can definitely agree with the first Leverkusen Olympiacos Piraeus AI prediction submitted to me.
Our digital betting brain recommends that I make the bet Schick trifft at odds of around 2.10 on any good sports betting app. Especially after his brace in the first leg almost a must!
While my gut feeling suggests to me that the Greeks could lose to nil, our calculation model justifies its combination selection Over 2.5 goals & both teams score primarily with data.
After all, it has not happened since the 2012/13 season that Olympiakos have played both the first and second legs in a knockout phase at European level without scoring a single goal.
Meanwhile, the odds for the success of this bet on the betting markets of about 2.02 are at least justifiable in my eyes, if this statistic has impressed you a bit more than me.
The best odds for Leverkusen vs. Olympiacos Piraeus
With a view to the second leg, the Leverkusen Olympiacos Piraeus odds are taking a clear, but not arrogant direction. The Werkself are favourites, but there can be no question of a foregone conclusion.
A home win for Bayer 04 is priced at 1.74. The markets rely on the pace of play, technical superiority and structured possession. Leverkusen are trusted to dictate the action again and to exercise control over longer phases.
The draw is 4.00. This scenario would mean the end for the guests, but measured against the rather generous odds, the risk-reward ratio for betting enthusiasts is not exactly miserable …
An away win by Olympiakos, on the other hand, is 4.10. The Greeks travel with outsider status, but have international experience and tactical compactness – a coup would be surprising, but is by no means out of the question.
The Leverkusen Olympiacos Piraeus odds of the bookies thus convey a duel with clear home advantage, but enough substance on both sides to ensure an intense, hard-fought second leg.
Leverkusen vs Olympiacos Piraeus Match Analysis:
As far as the possible course of the game is concerned, I am convinced that the Greek defence will also offer a lot of attacking surface in the second leg.
Piraeus have already wobbled several times in the Champions League season and have only managed three clean sheets in nine games – two of them against offensively harmless teams such as Kairat Almaty and Paphos.
Against stronger opponents, however, the distances between the lines became too large, the rest of the defense looked unclean and the team was vulnerable, especially over the half-spaces. This is exactly where one of Bayer Leverkusen’s greatest strengths lies.
With their clean positional play, a lot of movement between the lines and consistent advancement in the centre, the home side should be able to build up pressure early on. I expect B04 to take control of the ball from the start and press their guests deep into their own half.
As far as the chances of the Greeks scoring themselves are concerned, I am much more skeptical. I would put the probability at around 40 percent.
Leverkusen should be even more dominant at home than in the first leg, force more phases of possession and create permanent danger with quick combinations through the middle. If they pull off their counter-pressing cleanly, transition moments will remain rare for Olympiakos.
The decisive factor will be whether the Werkself take an early lead – then the game could quickly take a one-sided direction. If it stays open longer, the guests may get their one phase. Overall, however, there is a lot to be said for a controlled home game with clear advantages for Leverkusen.
Leverkusen form check
Leverkusen set the course early on about a week ago with two goals within just three minutes and thus created an excellent starting position for a place in the Champions League round of 16.
After the 2-0 defeat in Piraeus on 20 January, the Werkself managed to find the right answer – and with a calm, mature performance. In the second leg of the play-offs, Leverkusen now go into the game with a reassuring lead.
Above all, the much more stable defense and better game control were the key to the deserved success in Greece. And even the recent 1-0 defeat in the Bundesliga against Union should not stop them from setting the tone on Tuesday as well.
In terms of personnel, the situation remains manageable, but not completely worry-free. Regular goalkeeper Mark Flekken is still missing, but is strongly replaced by Janis Blaswich, who has so far made a very confident impression between the posts.
Offensively, Leverkusen still have to do without Eliesse Ben Seghir, who is not expected to return until March. Nathan Tella is also working on his comeback after a long break and should also be an option again in March.
Nevertheless, the squad looks broad enough to bring the lead to the finish line in a controlled manner – provided Leverkusen stays focused and plays the thing down seriously.
Olympiacos Piraeus Form Check
After the 2-0 home defeat on Wednesday, Olympiakos faces a real mammoth task. The deficit against Bayer Leverkusen is clear, but the Greeks are clinging to the memory of the 2-0 victory in the same duel a few weeks ago in the league phase.
Back then, they showed that they can hurt Leverkusen – and that’s exactly the feeling they’re building on now when they dream of a historic comeback.
But it is also clear that it takes an almost perfect evening, tactical discipline and much more penetration in the final third.
Especially in the Champions League, Olympiakos has rarely been convincing offensively. This is also confirmed by a look at the numbers: With an xG value of only 1.15 per game, they are one of the six weakest teams in the competition in terms of quality and number of chances.
Meanwhile, there are also question marks in terms of personnel: Lorenzo Pirola had to leave the first game with a head injury and his participation is still on the brink.
Theofanis Bakoulas, on the other hand, is definitely missing due to ligament problems. Piraeus therefore needs not only courage, but also personnel stability to realistically approach this comeback.
