Leverkusen – Stuttgart Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 16 on Saturday, 10/01/2026 at 18:30 CET
The Leverkusen Stuttgart tip, which I have selected for you with a view to the current Bundesliga schedule and especially after evaluating the best offers of the leading betting providers with PayPal, could also convince you.
Although two conditions must be met at the same time, one of them – over 2.5 goals – has so far been met without any problems in each of the Swabians’ eight Bundesliga away games in the 2025/26 season.
On the other hand, I’m not worried that the Werkself will get stuck on the opposing keeper.
Bayer 04 are the Bundesliga club with the third most home goals (18) and basically you don’t have to worry about the entertainment value of this game anyway.
Both teams are among the most prolific in the league – Leverkusen with 14.47 per 90 minutes and the Swabians with 15.53 shots!
Do you want to hear a statistic that could instantly spoil even die-hard VfB fans’ desire for their beloved Swabian ravioli?
Look at this: Stuttgart have won just one of their last 29 competitive games against Bayer 04 – a 1-0 away win in April 2018.
Since then, the Swabians have been waiting for a win against the Werkself for 15 long competitive games, longer than against any other club currently in the Bundesliga.
Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Betting
After the statistics just mentioned, you might think that I would give preference to a Leverkusen Stuttgart tip that sees the Werkself bag the three points.
But in fact, I rate the reward-risk ratio of a simple draw bet as more attractive. The corresponding odds of 4.10 are comparatively high and by no means hopeless.
Both Score & Draw promises an even higher 4.75 as a combined betting option. With so much offensive potential, it is worthwhile in my eyes to speculate on a possible 1:1, 2:2 or 3:3.
Interesting in this context: Four of the last five joint Bundesliga duels ended in a draw, but only once in the context of a goalless nil.
What you need to know about Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart betting
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored an average of 2.75 goals per home match so far in the 2025/2026 season, keeping a clean sheet in 50% of home matches.
- With 26 points from the first 15 games, VfB Stuttgart are experiencing their second-best Bundesliga season since winning the title in 2007.
- The head-to-head duels between Leverkusen and Stuttgart point to many goals: the last game ended 4-3 and both teams have scored in six of the last seven meetings.
- The favourites for a goal are Leverkusen’s Christian Kofane and Patrik Schick as well as Stuttgart’s Deniz Undav.
- Strikers Undav (8 goals) and Schick (6 goals) have scored a combined 14 goals this Bundesliga season.
Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Goals should not be stingy on Saturday at the BayArena – fittingly, the Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart AI prediction of our digital betting brain is all about goal celebrations.
In detail, my fact-fed bettor recommends the selection “Leverkusen scores in both halves” at odds around 2.37 at almost every new bookmaker with a valid license.
And you know what? Bayer 04 are only one of two Bundesliga clubs that have managed to score in both halves of the same game in more than half of their league games – in 8 out of 15 matches.
1st goal: Leverkusen at odds around 1.70 is another betting suggestion recommended by the AI that could be worth pursuing.
Bayer clearly feel comfortable at home and are also the club that strikes the earliest. On average, it has only taken 41 minutes so far this Bundesliga season for the Rhinelanders to put the ball into the net.
After all, I also like Patrick Schick very well as a player bet – on the one hand because of the attractive betting odds of around 1.75, and on the other hand because of the Czech’s goal record: After all, he has already netted five times against VfB in his career.
The best odds for Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart
Even a cursory glance at the Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart odds reveals a market that is surprisingly balanced and gives the home side only a moderate lead. The bookmakers seem to deliberately not want to commit themselves here.
A home win for Bayer Leverkusen is offered at 1.92. The betting markets are signalling confidence in game control, individual quality and home advantage – but without assigning the Werkself the clear role of favourites.
The draw is 4.00. This rate indicates that a tough, tactical game is definitely taken into account. If both teams neutralize each other or miss their chances, a points sharing scenario is by no means absurd for the bookmakers.
After all, an away win for VfB is rated 3.50. The bookmakers trust the Swabians to cause problems for Leverkusen with speed, aggressiveness and courageous appearance. Stuttgart goes into the race as an outsider, but not without a chance.
Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Match Analysis:
Leverkusen go into the game in third place, three places ahead of Stuttgart, but with only a three-point gap, this duel has a massive influence on the race for the Champions League places.
The game is likely to be correspondingly intense. Since Kasper Hjulmand took over, Leverkusen have looked much sharper offensively and have scored 2.2 goals per league game. Stuttgart are hardly inferior, which clearly speaks for a game with many chances.
VfB games alone bring an average of 27.4 shots, the fourth-highest figure in the Bundesliga – the guests will definitely not wait here.
Both teams are also among the most active offensive teams in the league and occupy third and fourth place in the statistics of total shots on goal. So it will be an intense evening for the goalkeepers.
Hardly any speed is taken out against the ball either: Stuttgart allows the second fewest passes per defensive action, Leverkusen the fourth. High pressing on both sides automatically opens up spaces for quick transition moments.
In addition, “card potential” is in the air: B04 games see the most cards in the league, and Felix Zwayer is also one of the stricter referees. An intense, fast-paced top game is practically pre-programmed.
Leverkusen form check
With the 3-1 home win against Leipzig, Leverkusen went on a short holiday before the winter break in good shape. In their own stadium, they even score an average of 1.75 points per game and are currently in third place.
The view is realistically towards second place, while an attack on the championship remains difficult in view of Bayern’s dominance.
The gap to Dortmund is three points and can be traced back to two slip-ups: the 2-1 home defeat against BVB at the end of November and the surprising blunder against Augsburg.
Apart from that, the balance sheet has been strong since the end of August. Since Kasper Hjulmand took over, Leverkusen have collected 28 points from 13 Bundesliga games (9 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats) – only surpassed by Bayern in the league.
The Werkself also underlined their quality on the international stage with victories such as the 2-0 win at Manchester City and the 3-1 win in the Bundesliga in Leipzig.
Offensively, Leverkusen have the second-best top-flight attack and are also one of the best teams in the German top flight in terms of expected goals.
At home, they score an average of 2.75 goals and concede only 1.00 goals, with a clean sheet rate of almost exactly 50 percent.
With 60 per cent possession and an average of 620 passes per game, Leverkusen also often control the action – the best conditions for a successful second half of the season and another Champions League qualification.
VfB Stuttgart Form Check
VfB Stuttgart are experiencing their second-best Bundesliga season since winning the league title in 2007 and have already collected 26 points after 15 matchdays.
Overall, the Swabians are very consistent and have only suffered two defeats in the last ten league games.
These came about in the clear 5-0 defeat against Bayern and the late 2-1 defeat against HSV – setbacks that can be explained in the context of an otherwise strong season.
Stuttgart are currently in sixth place and only three points behind fourth place, which means that the fight for the Champions League places is still open.
At the same time, VfB is also well positioned in the cup competitions: In the Europa League, there is a chance of reaching the round of 16 directly, and they are also in the quarter-finals of the DFB Cup.
However, January is likely to be trend-setting, as Leverkusen and then Frankfurt are two direct competitors for the European Cup places.
Stuttgart is particularly strong in the home games, where an average of 2.29 points per game are scored. Away from home, on the other hand, there is a clear difference in performance, with an average of 1.25 points and only two clean sheets.
Despite having the third-most shots on target in the league, there is still a lack of efficiency in attack, which is reflected in only the seventh-best offense.
In terms of play, VfB is very aggressive, ranks fourth in the league for passes into the final third and is the leader in crosses per game.
Defensively, however, the Swabians are particularly convincing at set-pieces: No goal conceded from headers or set-pieces and a league-wide outstanding xGA value underline the physical strength of the team.
