Lille – Aston Villa Tip Europa League, Round of 16, first leg on Thursday, 12.03.26 at 18:45 CET
For today’s Lille Aston Villa tip, I took a close look at the first leg of the round of 16 in the Europa League. It will be an exciting battle between the French top club and the team from the Premier League.
My main tip is aimed at a combination: I bet on the “Double Chance X2 & Under 3.5 Goals in the Match”. Oddset offers a strong odd of 1.80 for this, which I think is very playable if you look at the current situation of both teams.
Why do I think so? Lille are currently extremely strong defensively and their games are notoriously low-scoring. At the same time, Aston Villa would be absolutely satisfied with a draw in the away game to make everything clear in the second leg at home.
Lille vs. Aston Villa AI Predictions:
Of course, our AI model is also at the start of the Europa League round of 16 and provides you with further betting options in its Lille Aston Villa AI prediction.
If you want to take a little more risk, you could think about a pure win bet on Aston Villa. The English have shown their best performances in the Europa League so far and the squad had the weekend off to prepare. The odds are estimated by the online bookmakers at around 2.40.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Lille |
Draw |
Victory Aston Villa |
| 31.6% |
29.2% |
39.2% |
An interesting alternative is the “Asian Handicap Line from -0.25 on Villa”. If the game ends in a draw, you will get half of your stake back.
In view of Lille’s low-scoring games, the bet “Under 2.5 goals” is also worth considering. In the last nine games of the French, this tip would always have gone through. The Lille Aston Villa betting odds are also attractive at around 2.00.
What you need to know about Lille vs. Aston Villa betting
- Lille’s offensive power is weak: The last three games had xG values of only 0.70, 0.63 and 0.48.
- Aston Villa is strong on the road and has lost only five of 20 competitive games away from home this season.
- Lille’s last nine games have all ended with less than 2.5 goals.
- Aston Villa’s top scorers from the group stage were loaned out in January, which could weaken the offense.
- Lille barely survived the play-offs against Red Star Belgrade (2-0 a.e.t. in the second leg).
