Champions League qualifier, Tuesday, 06.08.2024 at 20:30
He was looking for a new job, and was for one! Jose Mourinho has signed on in Turkey and is the new coach of Fenerbahce. His goal: to win titles, what else? Of course, this also includes a place in the Champions League, with the 3rd round of qualifying currently awaiting them.
The Canaries have already put in two spectacular performances, which were particularly pleasing to the neutral spectator. Ten goals in two games? It will be interesting to see how the match against Lille on Tuesday will turn out.
The game will be played on French soil, so will that be a disadvantage for Fenerbahce? Of course, it’s too early to judge either team, as league action only starts in a few weeks’ time
Since there is logically also a second leg, it could well be that the two teams won’t go all out on Tuesday. Or would someone like to get ahead quickly, put the other under pressure and get a leg up on the play-offs?
In my Lille Fenerbahce betting tip, I will try to answer this question and also examine how strong the two teams already are. I’ll give you my prediction right now: I think the visitors from Turkey are just ahead!
The bookmakers’ prediction
The bookmakers can’t really agree on who has the edge in this duel. This is particularly evident in the odds, which focus purely on who will progress: 1.85 for both teams equally!
As far as the win on Tuesday is concerned, the bookmakers are taking the classic route and are mainly focusing on the home advantage. As a result, a win for Lille comes in at an average of 2.10, while a win for Fenerbahce averages 3.50.
A draw would increase the tension ahead of the second leg. The draw does not seem unlikely, as the odds are slightly below average at 3.45.
Analysis: Lille vs Fenerbahce
99 points, 99 goals – and no, no championship title! Fenerbahce have had a very strange season, one in which Galatasaray just had a very small lead on their side.
Of course, the question now is: how can this past season actually be improved upon? Fener just have to do everything the same way they did back then and hope that their arch-rivals don’t pull off another masterpiece like that
The new season in Turkey begins next weekend. But before that happens, Fenerbahce have a big task ahead of them in international competition: The Champions League!
As Turkish runners-up, Fenerbahce started in the 2nd round of qualifying against Lugano. A quick glance at the results of 4:3 and 2:1 shows that boredom was not at all the order of the day here:
Quota analysis
I can’t really make up my mind about the 1×2 bets, so I’m going with the draw. Fenerbahce’s performances were very close in the 2nd round, so the draw seems quite realistic to me.
At the same time, the Canaries are naturally synonymous with spectacle, both offensively and defensively. In my opinion, this means that we could do well with an “over 2.5 goals”, the odds for which are 2.00 at Betano – Betano bonus code on top!
In addition, I can’t imagine that either team will get away with a clean sheet. This means that both teams will score, at least in my estimation. The corresponding odds come to an average of 1.80.
Fener’s offense already in early form
Four goals from Edin Dzeko, three assists from Dusan Tadic, the two who already caused a real sensation in 2023/24 seem to be in wonderful form again. Has Jose Mourinho been able to sign any other powerful players?
They lost Michy Batshuayi to Galatasaray on a free transfer, but were able to sign former Freiburg player Caglar Söyüncü on a permanent deal. The same applies to Rade Krunic. The king transfer is one for the offense: Youssef En-Nesyri from FC Sevilla!
With Oguz Aydin, Allan Saint-Maximin and Cenk Tosun, Fenerbahce have further strengthened their squad, spending almost 50 million euros. It’s clear that this season will be all about winning titles
Is Lille already in rhythm?
One downer in terms of personnel: Fred will be sidelined for a few weeks after suffering an inner ligament injury. Fenerbahce, however, should have enough stars to cover this loss.
Incidentally, they have already faced their current opponents from Lille twice in the 2009/10 season. The Turks lost 2-1 in the Europa League once and drew 1-1 in the second game.
Of course, this sparse history is not enough to suggest a trend. Lille are even more difficult to analyze than Fenerbahce, as there have been no results to assess
Ligue 1 starts again on August 18 (from Lille’s point of view), and as fourth in the previous season, the Great Danes will only start their qualifying campaign in the current 3rd round. So how do you rate their chances?
Bruno Genesio is a new coach, who naturally needs the right personnel. Manchester United paid a whopping 62 million euros for central defender Leny Yoro, so the budget was there.
But the Great Danes didn’t really go shopping. Osame Sahraoui came from Heerenveen, Ngal’ayel Mukau from Mechelen. The other new arrivals cost nothing, and the name Thomas Meunier is of course a household name
Ethan Mbappe, Kylian’s youngest brother, came through the youth ranks at Paris St. Germain. Admittedly, at first glance the new pros don’t read quite as strong as those I was able to list at Fenerbahce.
The test matches we played at the end of July were not exactly strong enough for me to say now: This will definitely be something with the win against Fenerbahce. They lost 1-0 to Wolfsburg and drew 2-2 against Genk
My tip:
Admittedly, it wasn’t easy for me to name a clear favorite in the match between Fenerbahce and Lille. Of course, this is mainly due to the fact that the French side haven’t even started the season yet.
For the Canaries, the results against Lugano naturally caused a stir. Whether it was Hull City or Strasbourg, the last two test matches were also really strong and high-scoring.
In my eyes, Jose Mourinho’s team is in slightly better form, especially in attack. I therefore see them as having a slight advantage and can only bet on them:
Fenerbahce will not lose in Lille!
