Lille – Freiburg Tip Europa League, Matchday 8 on Thursday, 29/01/26 at 21:00 CET
Apart from Ferencvaros, only Freiburger Sport-Club has so far made it through the league phase of the Europa League without losing a game. The third in the table should hardly be able to take away the coveted top 8 position on the last matchday, which leads directly to the round of sixteen.
The current opponent, on the other hand, is still fighting for a place in the playoffs. However, one point should also be enough for Lille on Thursday evening to avoid an immediate elimination with a probability bordering on certainty.
Since the pressure on the part of OSC Lille is nevertheless quite a bit greater, the French hosts were chosen by the old and new bookmakers as the surprisingly clear favorites from my point of view.
I’m trying to make the best of this supposed misjudgement – and I believe that the Bundesliga club will be able to score at least one point again at the end of the preliminary round in the result of my Lille Freiburg prediction.
Lille vs. Freiburg AI predictions:
Above all, the current lack of form of the home side makes me suspect that the sports club remains completely unbeaten against French opponents: In the Europa League alone, Lille had four defeats on the occasion of the last five home games.
Nevertheless, our AI tool has rated the OSC’s chances of success so high that the bet on a home win seems almost unavoidable.
Of course, it cannot be ruled out that the greater pressure will actually give Lille a leg up in the last group game. At odds of not even quite 2.00, however, this variant would not even come into question for me with a betting provider bonus.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Lille |
Draw |
Victory Freiburg |
| 50.2% |
24.1% |
25.7% |
On the other hand, I can rather warm up to the Lille Freiburg KI prediction that both teams will score at least one goal at the Stade Pierre Mauroy – odds of around 1.72.
Freiburg’s notorious set-piece strength alone should ultimately ensure that it will once again not be a clean sheet from the point of view of the home side, who will probably also be pouring in.
From the “BTS” it is of course not far to the over 2.5 goals. If the game in Lille is lively, the best bookies will return around 1.9 times the stake.
What you need to consider when betting on Lille vs. Freiburg
- Lille have never met SC Freiburg before – Lille have won
- only one of eleven European competitive matches against German teams (5 draws, 5 defeats), namely 3-1 against Wolfsburg in the UEFA Champions League in December 2021.
- Freiburg have won four of their five UEFA Europa League games against French sides (D1), including a 3-1 win over Nice
- earlier this season.
- Lille have won nine of their last 13 home games in European competition (D2 L2) and have scored at least one goal in each of their last 15 home games since the 0-0 draw with Sevilla in October 2021.
- SC Freiburg have failed to score in seven of their 15 away matches in the UEFA Europa League, but have never lost away from home (W6 D2).
