Champions League Quali, Playoffs, First leg, Tuesday, 20.08.2024 at 21:00
In my Lille Slavia Prague betting tip, I’m now facing two teams who both advanced somewhat surprisingly in the last round. The French are favored for the direct duel. Rightly so? Perhaps. I’ll tell you why I’m betting on few goals in this match and why I expect a tight game now!
Some have beaten Fenerbahce, others have beaten the Royale Union – and not everyone was necessarily expecting it! When the first leg between Lille and Slavia Prague kicks off on Tuesday, excitement is guaranteed.
I’ll start my analysis with a look at the odds. In terms of a win, Lille are at an average of 1.67 to 4.75, which is clear. At the same time, I think this is certainly also due to the home advantage
How do you assess the situation if it’s purely about qualifying for the next round? Anyone signing up to Bet365 is now being offered 1.50 to 2.50, which sounds a bit tighter.
The Great Danes kicked off the new Ligue 1 season a few days ago. In the away game against Reims, they managed a 2:0 win. On the one hand, yes, but on the other, a little lucky
The goals were scored in stoppage time, more precisely in minutes 45+30 and 90+3. 45+30?! Indeed, because in this game the result was almost a minor matter in the end.
Amadou Kone of Stade Reims literally crashed into Angel Gomes, who received lengthy treatment and was eventually taken straight to hospital. The long stoppage time resulted from this action, which of course made it all the more impressive how Lille reacted in sporting terms
Gomes is already on the mend, but of course he’s not an option for Tuesday. That is of course a weakening, as he played a key role in Lille’s progress against Fenerbahce.
Lille won 2-1 at home, thanks to an own goal and a goal in stoppage time. It was not much different later in Istanbul. Shortly before the end, a goal from Bafode Diakite took Fener into extra time, but a penalty from Jonathan David in minute 118 put the lid on it
Two goals in stoppage time, one own goal each and a penalty – it certainly wasn’t boring here. At the same time, however, it is also striking: Without this stoppage time, not many goals would have been scored.
It was definitely different in the two previous head-to-head duels against Slavia Prague, which ended 5:1 and 3:1 in the Europa League group stage in 2009. However, I wouldn’t use these results as a yardstick, as they were a long time ago.
I already mentioned at the beginning that Slavia will have to cope with the role of underdog on Tuesday. That shouldn’t bother the Czechs, after all, that’s exactly why they have nothing to lose
The club from the Golden City have only made it to the competition twice, in 2019/20 and 2007/28, and now they are not far away from a third time. Will it be the same as against the Royale Union?
In the 3rd qualifying round, the home game was won 3:1 against the Belgians, followed by another 1:0. Slavia also scored the one goal they conceded themselves, so defensively there is nothing to complain about
This also applies to the domestic league, which resumed on July 21 and already has five rounds under its belt. The result? First a 0-0 draw, then four wins and only one goal conceded!
There’s no question that Slavia are in very good shape. The signing of striker Tomas Chory from Pilsen paid off in full with two goals against Union, so coach Jindrich Trpisovsky, who has been in Prague since January 2018, seems to have a good mix
Lille or Slavia Prague, who goes first in the playoffs? Both have made a strong impression on me, one against Fenerbahce, the other against the Royale Union. In any case, I only partially share the opinion of the bookmakers.
They clearly see the French ahead. Slavia’s start to the season has really impressed me, especially defensively. It should be quite difficult for Lille to break through this bulwark.
That’s why I’ve decided to bet more defensively, as Lille’s 2-0 win against Reims was hard-fought. And for these reasons, my betting tip is now:
The 2.5 goals will not be scored!
