NFL 2024/25: Lions – Viking
It’s the clash of superlatives that deserves 100 headlines! It’s also the first time in NFL history that two teams with more than 14 regular-season wins each have met. What a magnificent way to end the final day of league play!
In my Lions Vikings prediction, however, I advise you to view some tempting offers with the necessary suspicion.
Because while the Oddset free bet remains a first-class offer, the “points target” has been set a little too high in my eyes.
The NFL regular season ends on Sunday evening with a real showdown: the Detroit Lions host the Minnesota Vikings at Ford Field. This duel has it all, as nothing less than the coveted No. 1 seed in the NFC is at stake.
Both teams have strong form and you can look forward to a real highlight. Let’s take a closer look! The hosts from “Motor City” have built up an impressive record under Head Coach Dan Campbell.
Watch out: In the last eight head-to-head meetings with Minnesota, the Lions have never lost to the spread and have even won all of the last four encounters – impressive, right?
Especially strong: The Lions’ 37-16 record “against the spread” since the start of the 2022 season. This makes it clear that even when DET loses, the deficit is usually minimal.
Even though the defense is currently plagued by injuries – Aidan Hutchinson, Alim McNeil, Alex Anzalone and Carlton Davis are missing – the offense remains dangerous on the last day of the regular season.
Jared Goff, the hosts’ playmaker, shines in particular against the blitz and is one of the best in the NFL in this category. With a passer rating of 113.6 and one of the best O-lines in the country, he certainly won’t make it easy for the Vikings’ blitz-happy defense.
However, you’ll have it easy with the new customer bonus from Oddset. How does it work? It’s simple: click on the graphic, reveal the bonus code and use it when registering to claim up to €100 for your bets in addition to a €10 free bet.
Minnesota, on the other hand, are also traveling with a powerful tailwind. The “Purple People Eater” are currently on a run of nine wins in a row, which underlines their overall strength.
A small drop of bitterness: In Week 7, they were beaten 29:31 at home by their upcoming opponents.
A sticking point could once again be their defense, which has the highest blitz rate in the league but is often susceptible to big plays. If the Lions are able to exploit their dominance in passing and rushing EPA again, it will be difficult for the Vikings to keep up.
But don’t underestimate the visitors: Sam Darnold is in the form of his life, while All-Pro receiver Justin Jefferson has excelled against the Lions’ secondary on several occasions.
This duel has the potential to be a real points festival. Detroit leads the league with 33.3 points per game, a true touchdown factory in the heart of Michigan!
But Minnesota also knows how to put points on the board: They’ve scored 27 or more points in five of their last six games. Given the injury concerns in Detroit’s defense and the explosiveness of both offenses, everything points to a high-scoring game.
What do you think – can the Lions prove their home strength again, or will the Vikings surprise away from home?
A few weeks ago, I was still of the opinion that the Vikings would win the NFC North – and I don’t think this scenario is unrealistic on the last day of the regular season.
However, the Lions Vikings odds of the German bookmakers have now become so balanced that I feel the temptation to side with the slightly stronger home side.
Lions odds of around 1.68 in any decent betting app would be high enough to take a chance on the team that has already won 13 of its last 14 regular-season games.
Alternatively, I would throw an “over-under bet” into the room, which assumes more than half a dozen touchdowns. But I just don’t like the Lions Vikings odds being traded in the markets on this one.
The bookmakers’ over-under line is 58.5 points, which is a huge value in itself.
There’s no question that touchdowns shouldn’t be a concern on Monday, but given that four of the last five head-to-head matchups have been below that mark, I’d be reluctant to place a bet in rather difficult weather conditions.
Conclusion: The Lions are missing some key players here and there who will also be missing in the NFL playoffs.
Nevertheless, I see a little more “value” in a simple home win bet than in an over-58.5 bet praised by many experts.
Sure, the conditions for a high-scoring game are good, but that’s a huge number of points that have been priced at 1.87 odds.
And with rather difficult weather conditions, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if it ends up being less.
My Lions Vikings betting tip therefore prefers the bookmaker offer with the highest added value: Victory Detroit.
