Lithuania – Netherlands Tip World Cup Qualification, Group G, Matchday 6, Sunday, 07.09.25 at 6:00 p.m.
Among many other World Cup qualifying matches for the 2026 finals, Thursday will see an uneven matchup between Lithuania and the Netherlands. In fact, the starting positions could hardly be more different. The Oranje, who only managed a 1-1 draw against Poland on Thursday, want to qualify for the World Cup as the undisputed group winners, while Lithuania is happy with every point it can get.
Accordingly, I won’t beat around the bush in my Lithuania vs. Netherlands prediction and expect a clear victory for the favorites. The expected offensive performance of the 1988 European champions is the basis for my bet on “Netherlands over 2.5 goals” at Bet365 at odds of approximately 1.60.
Those who want to play it a little safer can consider the alternative tip “Oranje leads at halftime.” The odds are close to 1.50. And it is simply unlikely that Lithuania will be able to hold its own against the overwhelming favorites until halftime.
My Lithuania Netherlands tip: NED over 2.5 goals
These are the arguments for my tip:
- NED has only lost once (after 90 minutes) in its last 11 games.
- The Dutch have started their World Cup qualifying campaign with 7 points.
- Lithuania has lost 9 of its last 12 international matches.
Lithuania vs. Netherlands AI predictions:
ChatGPT wouldn’t be ChatGPT if it didn’t follow up with the Lithuania Netherlands AI prediction – divided into three risk areas.
For low risk, the AI is targeting the “Netherlands to win to nil” bet. Although the odds are struggling to reach the 1.50 mark, the selection still makes sense at top bookmaker Bet365.
After all, Lithuania has not exactly been an offensive powerhouse lately. In their last twelve games, they have only scored more than one goal once.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Lithuania to win |
Draw |
Netherlands win |
| 3% |
8% |
89% |
“Over 3.5 goals” is rated by ChatGPT as a medium-risk tip. Assuming that Lithuania will not score, the Dutch would have to score four goals.
After their 8-0 win against Malta, which is ranked around 60 places behind Lithuania in the world rankings, this is of course not unrealistic. However, the odds of around 2.30 are not particularly generous.
The AI has a high-risk prediction up its sleeve. Even without an odds boost, “3-0 for the Oranje” brings odds of 5.80. For me, this is the most likely outcome.
What you need to know about betting on Lithuania vs. the Netherlands
- The Netherlands and Lithuania are meeting for the first time ever.
- Lithuania has not won a game since June 2024.
- Oranje has scored a total of 16 goals in its last five games.
- The Lithuanians have failed to score in four of their last six games.
- Since mid-2024, the Dutch have only lost to the top nations England, Germany, and Spain.
