Premier League, Saturday, 09.11.2024 at 21:00
In a way, it’s always Champions League in the Premier League. Because teams that could have a say in the top flight meet almost every weekend.
In my Liverpool Aston Villa betting tip, this statement is particularly true next Saturday, as these are in fact two current CL contenders. Personally, I strongly expect the “Reds” to come out on top.
What a soccer thriller we’re in for! It’s hard not to look forward to the exciting clash between the Reds and Aston Villa, especially when we look at the terrific soccer we’ve seen in recent weeks.
Liverpool in particular have boosted their confidence during the week. The Reds beat Leverkusen 4-0 on a dramatic Champions League evening.
In my eyes, that was the heaviest defeat Xabi Alonso has ever suffered in his time with the Rhinelanders. That makes England’s current form all the more impressive.
Anyone who follows the Premier League will know that Liverpool have been on a real run of late. The Reds have not been guilty of anything for several weeks now. And the upcoming opponent also suits them!
With five wins from their last six home games in the Premier League against Aston Villa, they will go into this match with plenty of confidence. Who wouldn’t expect that?
After all, they have always been strong at home against the Villans in the past. And if you look at this and some other data, there’s little to argue against another win.
Aston Villa historically have a big problem against the top teams in the Premier League. It’s as if they are in really good form against the “lesser” teams, but often falter against the big names.
In a way, this tendency makes them something like the SC Freiburg of the English Premier League, who usually pick up few points against the top four of the Bundesliga.
Want some figures? In their last 18 away games against teams at the top of the table, they have lost 16 and drawn just two.
When you consider that the Reds have conceded the fewest goals in the Premier League with just six, it becomes all the clearer why even Leverkusen have failed to score.
This defense is currently the best in Europe and therefore I can well imagine that Aston Villa will end up having to travel back to Birmingham with a 0:1, 0:2 or even 0:3 score.
Another big topic is of course Mohamed Salah. The man is unstoppable this season! The Egyptian has already collected 12 scoring points in the Premier League (7 goals and 5 assists).
And it’s not just the sheer number that impresses, but also the way Salah plays.
No one has more touches in the opposition penalty area this season (96), and of all the players who have taken more than 20 shots, no other player has more of them on target – an impressive 67%.
The Egyptian is world class at the moment! Anyone watching the Reds this season will quickly realize that Salah is a decisive factor in their strength. As long as the pacey dribbler stays in this form, Liverpool will be dangerous against any opponent.
His goal odds in the Admiralbet app are around 2.05 for Saturday and even take the form of 4.75 if you opt for him to score the first goal of the game.
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Conclusion: Liverpool’s defense is a feast for the eyes. Only Manchester City have conceded fewer shots on goal than Liverpool this season, which shows how solid and compact the defense around Virgil van Dijk and Co. is.
In fact, I see the last Champions League matchday as pointing the way for the long-term events in the Premier League.
The Citizens went down with man and mouse, while the “Reds” outclassed Alonso’s Bayer. Accordingly, I expect nothing less than a win against Aston Villa, in which Mohamed Salah will play a decisive role.
My Liverpool Aston Villa tip: Salah scores