Liverpool – Barnsley Tip FA Cup, 3rd round on Monday, 12.01.2026 at 20:45
With a gap of 14 points to leader Arsenal, the Gunners can probably write off the title defense in the Premier League, but that has no effect on my Liverpool Barnsley tip.
After all, on Monday (20:45 CEST) in the 3rd round of the FA Cup, there will be a duel between David and Goliath or the current English champions against a medium-sized team from the third-tier League One.
I expect some goals, for which the host will be responsible for the most part. For the Over 3.5 Goals bet, Betano provides you with odds of 1.70. You can also get a Betano odds boost for this game. For the bet Liverpool over 1.5 goals in half time 1 you can get an improved odd of 4.55.
Liverpool vs. Barnsley AI Predictions:
Nevertheless, anything but a home win for the Reds seems to me to be unthinkable, even if Arne Slot’s troops have fallen far short of expectations this year. Nationally, the Reds can probably only win the FA Cup.
In the duel with a third-division team, even a relatively weak Liverpool at home should not let anything go to waste. Our AI’s suggestion for a low-risk Liverpool Barnsley bet naturally involves a win for the visitors, but with the addition that there are over 2.5 goals to watch.
From my point of view, this is also within the realm of possibility, but the odds just below 1.50 are a bit too low for me. My personal Liverpool Barnsley tip, an Over 3.5 goals bet, is a bit riskier, but offers me odds of 1.75.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Liverpool |
Draw |
Victory Barnsley |
| 88% |
9% |
3% |
With a medium risk, ChatGPT has provided a Liverpool home win with an Asian Handicap -2.5. Bookmaker Interwetten has odds of 1.95 ready for this. I think that’s also possible, although coach Slot will probably rotate.
Barnsley, as a third-division team, is simply too weak to really challenge the Reds. Head coach Conor Hourihane’s team is in the midfield of League One (but only two points away from the first relegation spot) and has been waiting for a win in four games (1 draw, 3 defeats).
What you need to know about Liverpool – Barnsley betting
- Liverpool FC lost the last game against Barnsley in the FA Cup almost 18 years ago with 1:2.
- In total (since 1895), Liverpool have won 14 of the 23 duels with Barnsley and lost five (4 draws).
- Liverpool are unbeaten in ten competitive games (5 wins, 5 draws).
- Barnsley have won just two of their last nine competitive games (D2 L5).
- According to the xG forecast, at least three goals from Liverpool are to be expected, a goal from Barnsley is extremely unlikely (xG value between 0.15 and 0.40).
