Liverpool – PSV Tip Champions League, Matchday 5 on Wednesday, 26.11.2025 at 21:00 CET
In my following Liverpool PSV tip, I will explain to you why I expect some goals in this Champions League match.
Furthermore, you get additional betting options with the support of our AI tool and of course the current betting odds. Both the Reds and Eindhoven have more than two goals scored per CL game to offer.
Therefore, I assume in my Liverpool PSV prediction of over 3.5 goals in the match and get odds of 1.87 for this Champions League bet at Merkur Bets, one of the best German betting providers.
In the Champions League table, both Liverpool FC and PSV Eindhoven occupy places after the first half that would mean progression.
The Reds are holding on to three wins (nine points), while PSV have one three points and two draws (seven points).
Liverpool – PSV Prediction & Betting
The Reds’ duel with Eindhoven is eagerly awaited, because things have not gone according to plan for Liverpool in particular. Therefore, a sense of achievement in the CL would do the slot squad a lot of good.
With three wins and one defeat, the English are in eighth place after half of the league phase and would be directly in the round of 16. A stumble against PSV and this place would probably be gone.
Eindhoven have recovered from the bitter 3-1 home defeat against Royale Union and are unbeaten in three CL games (draws in Leverkusen and Piraeus, 6-2 home win over Napoli).
What you need to know about Liverpool vs. PSV betting
- Liverpool have won five of their previous seven meetings with Eindhoven (D1 L1).
- PSV won the last duel with the Reds 3-2 in January 2025.
- With nine goals each scored in four games, Liverpool and PSV are among the top 10 fans in the Champions League.
- The xG values for this duel are 1.8 xG for the Reds and 1.7 xG for PSV. The xG value for this game is thus 3.5 expected goals.
- Liverpool have suffered two competitive defeats with a difference of three or more goals in a row. The last time this happened was in 1965.
- In the Champions League, the Reds lost at Galatasaray in Istanbul, won in Frankfurt and defeated Real and Atletico Madrid at home.
- Only five teams have conceded fewer goals than Liverpool (4) in the Champions League, PSV have conceded an average of 1.75 goals per game (7).
Liverpool – PSV: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Of course, I also consulted our AI tool for this game and their prediction is aimed in particular at goals. No wonder, because both the Reds and PSV have their strengths above all in attack and have scored nine goals each in four games.
For example, the betting market “Both teams to score” at Bet365 not only delivers odds of 1.54, but you can also use a Bet365 odds boost for this and many other games with our test winner.
Our AI tool has spat out a 73 percent probability that both teams can look forward to a hit. This brings us to a value bet.
An AI forecast with a little more risk brings the bet “Liverpool win to zero”, which Interwetten achieves with odds of 2.55. This is too risky for me, as I think the Dutch are strong enough for at least one goal.
A look at the statistics also makes me refrain from this prediction, because the last three duels have always brought goals on both sides.
The AI tip on some goals in the game is again far more likely. I don’t see any value in the classic over 2.5 goal bet, because with values around 1.30, the betting odds are simply too low for me.
The best odds for Liverpool vs. PSV
Despite the last two nasty defeats, the Reds are completely in the role of favorites on Wednesday. A home win only brings betting odds of around 1.30, so it is only recommended with an additional combination.
Far more lucrative are bets on a point win by the Dutch. A draw brings Liverpool PSV odds of around 6.00, should Eindhoven even manage the sensation, the 9.00 times bet beckons.
The Double Chance Bet x2 also brings correspondingly high betting odds, reaching a remarkable 3.30 even without an odds boost. The problem: I don’t really think that the English won’t win on Wednesday.
The Reds lost the last duel in January 2025 against PSV 3-2, but that was their only defeat in seven meetings (D1 L5) and the Reds were already in the round of 16 at that time.
Liverpool vs PSV Match Analysis:
In what is now the eighth CL duel between Liverpool and PSV, the prediction of a home win seems to be the safe option. For the slot eleven, there is a lot at stake. Above all, there would be redemption for the most recent two defeats in the Premier League.
However, the English also need more points in the Champions League to avoid the play-off before the round of 16 or to avoid even worse.
At home, things went according to plan in the Champions League. Both Real (1-0) and Atletico Madrid (3-2) were defeated at Anfield. Why shouldn’t that succeed against PSV on Wednesday?
However, the Dutch are on a run and are unbeaten in the CL for three games. While the opener went badly wrong with a 3-1 defeat against Royale Union, there were two draws and a win afterwards.
Above all, the two draws away at Olympiacos Piraeus and Leverkusen are remarkable, even if a completely different obstacle is now building up with the reigning German champions.
Both teams will go to work offensively, Liverpool because they simply owe it to their fans, Eindhoven because they need points in the fight to advance. In view of nine goals each in the four CL games so far, both opponents are capable of scoring goals.
Liverpool Form Check
In the Champions League, things are going quite well for Liverpool, the English can have high hopes of reaching the round of 16 directly. However, the slot eleven is far from the dominance of last year.
While in the premiere season of the new CL the first point was only lost in the last game (excitingly a 2:3 against PSV), this year the first bankruptcy was already on the 2nd matchday.
In general, the Reds now have big problems after their brilliant start to the season with seven wins in a row. Eight competitive defeats in eleven games are not Liverpool’s claim at all. However, two of the last three wins have come in the CL.
The most recent two defeats in particular were heavy. The 3-0 defeat against Manchester City, which can happen away from home, was followed by a 3-0 home embarrassment against Nottingham, which simply must not happen.
The Reds are only in twelfth place in the Premier League and are eleven points behind leader Arsenal.
PSV Form Check
PSV Eindhoven are currently in impressive form and have been unbeaten since mid-September. In the last eleven competitive games, there have been eight wins and three draws.
From the latest results, PSV is in much better shape. However, the calibers that Liverpool usually have to deal with are far greater than the national competition in the Netherlands.
PSV lead the Eredivisie confidently and have a six-point lead over pursuers Feyenoord after 13 matchdays.
