Liverpool – Leeds Tip Premier League 2025/26, Matchday 19 on Thursday, 01/01/26 at 18:30 CET
It’s the first Premier League game of the new year, and I don’t know about you, but I want to start 2026 with the most successful Liverpool Leeds tip.
However, my chosen betting option only becomes really interesting through the available boosts from Oddset in combination with the promising data situation, which makes this football bet particularly attractive overall.
Yes, it’s hard to believe, but the Reds actually made it through the whole month of December without defeat. A victory over the promoted team is therefore quite possible, especially at Anfield.
But after the crisp 3-3 draw against the Whites not even 30 full days ago, I don’t think LFC keeper Alisson will be able to look forward to a clean sheet that is rather rare for him this season.
Liverpool vs. Leeds AI Predictions:
Reds games have recently followed an unwritten football law, which our Liverpool Leeds AI prediction seems to have recognized and tries to convert into a promising football bet, which, by the way, enjoys my full support.
1. Goal & Match: Liverpool certainly does not promise a monster payout without an additional odds boost at values around 1.72. But did you know that 16 of the last 18 Premier League games in which LFC has been involved have ended up going to the team that scored the 1-0?
Especially in view of their December upswing, I see the defending champions winning at New Year’s according to exactly this pattern.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Liverpool | Draw |
Victory Leeds |
| 59.1% |
21.6% |
19.3% |
I personally estimate the probability of success of the handicap bet Liverpool to win with HC -1 at odds of around 2.40 at around 70% – and this is also worth considering for you for another promising reason.
Leeds United have won only one of their last 16 Premier League games at a club that won what is probably the toughest league competition in the world last season (5 draws, 10 defeats).
Cody Gakpo hits odds around 3.00 is for me at the end a really fine suggestion for a player bet in the practical Bet365 app.
The Dutchman returns after a short injury break and should be played more in attack due to Salah’s current absence from AFCON.
What you need to know about Liverpool vs. Leeds betting
- Liverpool have scored 30 goals and conceded 26 so far this season. In the last nine seasons, they had always scored more goals and conceded fewer after 18 games.
- Leeds have only picked up five of their 20 Premier League points away from home. Only Brentford have scored a lower percentage of their total points on the road this season.
- In six of the last seven meetings between the two teams, more than 2.5 goals have been scored. The average of these seven games is 4.85 goals. The current goal line is set at 2.75.
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in each of Leeds’ last six Premier League games. This is the longest such streak by a Leeds player.
