Premier League, Thursday, 26.12.2024 at 21:00
It’s much more than just a matchday, much more than just a duel, much more than just a game between a frontrunner! With Boxing Day looming large on the island, the Reds will of course be hoping to turn Anfield into a spectacle once again.
Kick-off is at 21:00 on Thursday evening, with their opponents deep in the relegation battle. The odds? They couldn’t be more different! And so, in my Liverpool Leicester betting tip, I’ll tell you why I think there’s a good chance of a home win with over 3.5 goals.
It’s actually quite simple these days when we look at Premier League championship bets: Liverpool are running away at the front, with a few teams gathering behind them who have a good job to do with the chase.
Before Boxing Day, they have a four-point lead in the table – although their closest rivals, Chelsea FC, have played one game more. So everything is in order for the Reds, who are aiming to win the title in Jürgen Klopp’s first season in charge.
After a more mixed run of results recently, with only draws against Newcastle (3-3) and Fulham (2-2), Liverpool bounced back with a bang and a brilliant 6-3 win over Tottenham!
Mo Salah has 15 goals and 11 assists after this game, so once again the Egyptian has given his team a brutal boost. Offensively, of course, I can’t fault the Reds anyway, with 37 goals, the second-best tally in the league along with Chelsea.
However… Before that 6-3 win, they had scored a treble four times this season, so it’s not as if the Reds are shooting every opponent out of the stadium with several goals. At the same time, however, there have only been two games in which there have been fewer than two goals.
Nine times, which is very interesting given the total of 16 matches, they have scored exactly twice. It’s a good thing that bookmaker Interwetten has the perfect bet for this:
If Liverpool were to score exactly two goals on Thursday, the odds would be 4.40. Interestingly, the Reds’ home games are less spectacular than away games, so let’s compare the statistics.
15:5 at home – the average is exactly 2.5. 22:11 away? Here we are at a 4.1! In fact, the recent 2-2 draw against Fulham was the first result at Anfield to score more than 3.5 goals.
Home games against Leicester, have they gone well in recent years? Ten wins and two draws, they haven’t lost since 2000. But: Four times 2:1, three times 1:0, plus one 2:0, one 3:0 and one 4:1, most of the wins were very close!
For our tax-free bookmakers, there is no doubt who will come out on top on Thursday. Average odds of 1.10 to 21.0 are called, so we are clearly in the David vs Goliath category.
Leicester are unlikely to travel to Liverpool with the broadest of chests, with three wins on aggregate calling for a relegation battle. West Ham, Southampton and Bournemouth have been beaten and this trio are also at the bottom.
The Foxes lost 4-0 to Newcastle and then 3-0 to Wolverhampton. No goals twice in a row, something the team had never done before this season.
The defensive impressions have never been particularly good, with only one clean sheet in the 1-0 win against Bournemouth at the beginning of October. Leicester have conceded 37 goals, only Wolves can top that.
0:3 against Manchester United, 1:4 at Brentford and 0:4 against Newcastle? The last three away games ended in sobering fashion! Only the 3-2 win at Southampton was won away from home, and the decisive goal came in the eighth minute of stoppage time after trailing 2-0!
Does Liverpool FC have everything under control on Boxing Day? The Reds are top of the table without any pressure, with nothing to suggest that they could slip up against a relegation candidate – and Leicester are exactly that, without any ifs or buts.
The visitors have done particularly badly away from home of late, are among the worst defensively and their only win away from home came in injury time.
Therefore, I can only come to the conclusion that the favorites will prevail here and decide on their own how many goals they want to score. So my tip is:
Liverpool win by over 3.5 goals!
