EFL Cup, semi-final, Thursday, 06/02/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
Will Tottenham finally win a title again? The Spurs have at least put themselves in a good position to reach the EFL Cup final with a 1-0 win in the first leg against Liverpool in the semi-final, with the EFL Cup final. Now it’s on to Anfield Road.
I expect a fairly one-sided story, also due to the numerous absences at the guests, who have been experiencing a pretty messed-up season so far.
In my Liverpool Tottenham betting tip, I therefore dare to take the -1 handicap for Liverpool from Interwetten.
The Spurs’ offense is quite thinned out due to many injuries. It’s a good thing that the Tel loan was approved at the last minute. The topic of the French attacking talent of FC Bayern has dragged on like chewing gum.
Did he get too few minutes of game time with the Munich team to be able to assert himself, or did he simply lack the last bit of quality? All the football experts are arguing about that. In the second half of the season, he is now storming for the Spurs with the shirt number eleven!
The betting providers’ forecast
The bookmakers have no doubt that Liverpool will turn the 0-1 deficit around, as the odds in the top sports betting apps make clear. The odds for the Premier League leaders to advance are 1.33.
Tottenham has odds of 3.20. In the 1X2 market of the second leg, Liverpool is clearly favored at 1.25, a draw is enough for Tottenham (7.00). Therefore, the 9.50 for the away win is uninteresting for me anyway. The match shouldn’t go in that direction anyway.
Analysis: Liverpool vs. Tottenham
The transition from Jürgen Klopp to Arne Slot worked out wonderfully, de facto “Kloppo” even caught the perfect time to jump off. After all, his former team is now competing for all titles under the Dutch leadership.
In the Champions League, they finished first in the new league system, and in the Premier League, the Reds are already six points ahead of Arsenal and have played a game less.
In addition to the EFL Cup semi-finals, the traditional team is also still in the running in the FA Cup. Before they can move forward in that competition, they will face Tottenham in the second leg of the other cup competition.
Liverpool have had a season of superlatives so far, scoring the most goals and conceding the fewest. We saw 56 goals in 23 league matches. That gives us an average of around 2.5 goals scored per game!
Only Nottingham was able to beat Liverpool. And Tottenham? The team with European Cup and Champions League ambitions is only in 14th place, has lost four of the last five games, and the London club has the third-best offense in terms of goals scored.
Odds Analysis
Tottenham’s offensive play has not been an issue in recent years, especially when Kane was still part of the team. The defense caused more and more problems. Based on the number of shots on target, Tottenham is not that far behind Liverpool.
But if we look at the defensive values, the difference is more serious. And a fragile defense at Anfield is likely to end badly. With Cristian Romero, Radu Dragusin and Destiny Udogie, three men in defense are missing.
There are also many names missing up front to provide relief. It is not unlikely that we will see Tel on the pitch, albeit only from the bench. Due to the absences, I expect Liverpool to score several goals again.
We are offering odds of 1.63 for over 2.5 LFC goals, and 2.55 for at least four goals by the hosts. However, I am also betting on both teams scoring, as Liverpool face the third most dangerous offense in England.
We get 1.60 for the bet at Betano, where you can get a 20-euro free bet after successful registration before the first deposit!
Many goals when Liverpool and Tottenham meet
In addition to the first leg, we also saw the league first leg between Liverpool and Tottenham. An end result in ice hockey format: LFC held their own with 6:3.
In general, there are many goals in this direct duel. In nine league games in a row, we saw one goal from each team, and eight times, the over 2.5 goals would have been the appropriate addition.
Liverpool usually came out on top. Besides the EFL Cup victory a month ago, the only other victory this decade was against the team from the city of the Beatles.
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Will Liverpool play with the A-team?
Another reason why we can expect a few goals is that Liverpool can’t call on the full A-team in defense either. Trent Alexander-Arnold is struggling with a thigh injury.
Joe Gomez will be back soon, but it won’t be ready for the second leg.
Bad news for Tottenham. Slot has a full squad to choose from up front. I don’t expect too many rotations due to the precarious starting position and the fact that they are playing at home.
Besides, there is no important league game at the weekend, but an FA Cup match against Plymouth. So there are likely to be a few more stars on the bench.
While Liverpool have recently won two comfortable league games and were already safely qualified in the Champions League as a team, they were able to send their B-squad out against PSV (2-3).
1:2 against Arsenal and Leicester City, and a 2:3 against Everton. Spurs also conceded two goals in their away win against Hoffenheim (3:2). Things went better afterwards against Elfsborg (3:0) in the Europa League, where they were the clear favorites.
In the Premier League, they finally managed to record their first win of the year against Brentford (2:0). But more than a mid-table finish is no longer possible this season.
On top of that, the first Premier League success in 2025 was a rather lucky one. With a whopping 20 shots and more clear-cut, but unused opportunities, the Bees were much stronger on the pitch.
My Liverpool Tottenham Tip:
Liverpool vs. Tottenham, we can expect another goal fest again! The 1-0 from the first leg was an exception in this matchup. Both defensive lines are not at full strength.
But the Reds are clearly the stronger team and in my opinion, they can completely turn around the 1-0 deficit in 90 minutes. The Londoners are too vulnerable and only managed to get through their last league game without conceding with a lot of luck.
I expect an uncomfortable evening for Tottenham at Anfield Road, with Tel possibly making his debut in the starting lineup.
My Liverpool Tottenham prediction: Liverpool win with handicap -1!
