Europa League Qualifier, Thursday, 22.08.2024 at 20:30
Both sides in my Lugano Besiktas prediction obviously have a weakness for the color combination black and white and also know each other very well from the previous European Cup season 2023/24.
In my Lugano Besiktas betting tip, you can find out whether the visiting team will be able to prevail in this fixture for the third time in a row. In my opinion, the chances of this are not bad at all.
After all, BJK have pulled off a real coup with Ciro Immobile, which has already paid off in full. The satisfaction of their own fans at having beaten Galatasaray 5-0 in the Super Cup with the help of the Italian is priceless
On Thursday, FC Lugano will once again have to switch to FC Thun’s venue. The Stockhorn Arena is simply bigger and also fulfills UEFA’s requirements for a European Cup-worthy venue.
While we are on the subject of “requirements”, I can inform you straight away that the Betano Bonus, with whose bookmaker I also intend to place my Lugano Besiktas bet, meets all of our strict quality criteria
The bookmaker forecast
The bookmakers have sided with the Turks in their respective Lugano Besiktas odds.
Although BJK is actually favored, with odds of around 2.05, the odds are such that a simple away win bet could already satisfy you completely.
A Ticino win, on the other hand, promises an even higher payout of currently around 325% of your stake, but after their performance against Partizan Belgrade in the second leg at the latest, I would personally want to distance myself from this offer
Analysis: Lugano vs Besiktas
BJK fans can hardly believe their luck. They can actually enjoy great transfers every year, but this season they seem to be delivering on the pitch straight away.
The purchase of Moatasem Al-Musrati for 11 million from Braga was an excellent decision, and I even dedicated an entire section to the signing of Ciro Immobile in my Lugano Besiktas tip.
The supporters will definitely want to frame the start of the 2024/25 season.
In the Super Cup final against Galatasaray, they celebrated a historic 5:0 victory, followed by two Super League wins over Samsunspor (2:0) and Antalyaspor (4:2), who also felt the full brunt of BJK’s immense attacking potential.
Lugano certainly gained some confidence from their 7-1 win over Brühl in the Swiss Cup after a difficult week, but nothing more.
A victory over an amateur team is not enough to forget the painful memory of the 3:2 defeat against Lucerne.
The subsequent 2:1 home defeat in the Europa League qualifiers against a team in decline like Partizan Belgrade also failed to satisfy the fans.
At least Mahmoud Mohammed Belhadj was able to end the nightmare with his goal in the 111th minute of extra time to make the final score 2:2.
Otherwise, the Serbs would now be looking forward to the “final match for group entry” against Besiktas Istanbul
Odds analysis
Booking at Bet365 also makes sense because the bookmaker giant is presenting you with an excellent opportunity to bet on a brace from Ciro Immobile in the match between Lugano and Besiktas at odds of 10.
The Italian striker is currently in impressive form and is capable of proving his goalscoring prowess.
A bet on over 2.5 goals in this match could also be worthwhile, as both teams are usually characterized by a lot of offensive action
Ciro Immobile: Veni, vidi, vici
Ciro Immobile’s rocket start at BJK Istanbul can be described in much the same way as the above headline.
The Italian initially played three goalless test matches for his new club without making a decisive impact.
However, he scored twice against Galatasaray in the Super Cup and also bagged a brace against Antalyaspor last weekend.
Four goals in three competitive games – this is definitely a player you should have at the top of your list for a goal bet on Thursday
FCL – BJK: And so we meet again!
It will not have escaped the attention of die-hard soccer fans that the two clubs already faced each other on the international stage last season.
In my Lugano Besiktas betting tip, it’s now time to take a closer look at these two games and explain why Besiktas should win away against FCL “again”
Lugano won the first of two showdowns in the 2023/24 Conference League group stage 3:2 on their visit to the Bosphorus – and deservedly so.
It’s still a mystery to me how the Turks were actually able to squeeze two goals out of an xG value of just 0.29, giving the impression that it was a close game.
Vincent Aboubakar scored both goals for Besiktas on this occasion, but has not featured for the club in the new season’s preparations or the league opener.
In their second group game together on the final matchday, however, the Turks came out on top this time with a 2-0 victory.
Judging by the course of the game, however, the victory was somewhat flattering. The question also arises as to how much effort FC Lugano really showed in this duel.
At the time of this clash, it was already clear that neither the Ticino side nor Besiktas would be promoted
My tip:
In the previous season, the two teams were still on an equal footing in terms of performance, with the pendulum swinging slightly in favor of the Swiss.
This season, however, things look different, as Besiktas have improved significantly thanks to numerous good new signings and a coach with a clear concept.
It would therefore not surprise me in the slightest if Ciro Immobile were to score his next brace for BJK at FC Thun’s stadium on Thursday.
Accordingly, my Lugano Besiktas tip is: BJK to score at least two goals
