Mainz – Augsburg Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 21 on Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 15:30 CET
On the last two matchdays of the Bundesliga, teams that currently belong to the second half of the table collected a total of five wins. Four of these victories are attributable to the two opponents of this pairing alone.
This shows you why both fan communities are in good spirits in the long term that they can also bet on a selected sports betting bonus on Bundesliga games of their favorite team in the coming season.
Meanwhile, my Mainz Augsburg tip still sees the zero-fivers ahead at odds around 2.07. Because yes, FCA may have beaten the record champions and the Kiezkicker within a week, but in both games the opponent recorded the higher xG value in each case.
I decided on my Mainz Augsburg tip because I like the playing style of the zero-fives better overall. However, this proposal also gets additional tailwind from the direct comparison.
Mainz 05 have only celebrated more wins in the Bundesliga against TSG Hoffenheim (15) than against FC Augsburg (14). In the first half of the season, the Rheinhessen team even managed their clearest win of the season so far with an outstanding 4-1 away win in Augsburg!
In front of their home crowd, Mainz also has a win rate of 64% against FCA – against no other opponent that the zero-fivers have hosted at least ten times in the top flight is higher.
Mainz – Augsburg Prediction & Betting
Urs Fischer has led FSV back on the road to victory, and that’s exactly why I have one or two additional Mainz Augsburg tips for you in my quiver, which should especially please the M05 fans among you.
The selection Mainz over 1.5 goals, for example, is worth serious consideration at odds around 1.95. Especially since the Rheinhessen have been playing better forward since the last change of coach. After all, this goal target has already been met in four of their last five competitive games.
At bet365 Germany, I also became aware of the option Asian-HC: Mainz (-1.0). For example, if FSV wins 3-1, they return three times the stake, while if they win 2-1 or 1-0, you will at least get your stake refunded. I like that!
What you need to know about Mainz vs. Augsburg betting
- Under Urs Fischer, Mainz continued its upward trend and picked up 12 points in seven games – twice as many as in the previous 13 games
- Augsburg’s attack weakens in 2026: With only 10 big chances, FCA is only ahead of Bremen and HSV this calendar year
- Duels between these teams promise goals: In three of the last five meetings, more than 2.5 goals have been scored and both teams have scored, as in the 4-1 win in the first leg
- Nadiem Amiri is the most dangerous player on the pitch with seven goals this season and has scored in four consecutive games for Mainz
Mainz – Augsburg: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our specially conducted Mainz Augsburg AI forecast gives me to understand with its prediction that it agrees with me to a certain extent. Because FSV should indeed be able to dish out on Saturday, but in return they should hardly keep a clean sheet!
The betting recommendation Both teams to score at odds of around 1.67 is based on the apt observation that despite an upward trend this season, the Rheinhessen have only kept one clean sheet in a total of 10 Bundesliga home games!
With the second computer-generated AI prediction, however, our data model also underlines at the same time that it has my back when it comes to the outcome of the game!
After all, the fact that the zero-fivers will be able to do more offensively in the end is also considered very plausible in expert circles at the latest since Urs Fischer’s arrival. Mainz have created 24 big chances so far in the calendar year 2026 – no one else in the league surpasses that!
It is quite possible that in the end it will actually be 2-1 or even 3-1 for the hosts.
The best odds for Mainz vs. Augsburg
The bookmakers have by no means gone unnoticed that both clubs are on the upswing – especially since Urs Fischer has visibly created new structures at the zero-fives.
The Mainz Augsburg odds are correspondingly balanced, even if the hosts receive a small bonus of trust.
A home win by Mainz is traded at 2.00. The markets reward the more stable playing system, more order against the ball and the newly gained resilience. Mainz is trusted to take the initiative and set the rhythm.
The draw is 3.60. This rating fits a game in which both teams show their progress, but could neutralize each other. A lot of fight in midfield and cautious phases of play are absolutely taken into account.
An away win for FCA is 3.35. The Fuggerstädter are considered an unpleasant opponent who can set pinpricks at any time with direct play and intensity – Augsburg is by no means underestimated here.
The Mainz Augsburg odds thus reflect a duel in which the host is slightly preferred, but FCA has enough tools to cause serious problems for the home side.
Mainz vs Augsburg Match Analysis:
I like the way FSV are performing at the moment, and Mainz should also try to force 1-on-1 situations against Augsburg with targeted passes to Silas.
Especially through quick shifts and direct passes into the depths, the Rheinhessen could try to pull the Augsburg defence apart and build up pressure early on.
Especially in midfield, I see Mainz currently more stable, which is why the Rheinhessen have a good chance of determining the tempo and rhythm of the game and clearly dictating the game at times.
However, Augsburg should not be underestimated. The Fuggerstädters are in strong form, are unbeaten in four games and have even recently won against Bayern and St. Pauli.
Nevertheless, there are some factors in Mainz’s favour, especially since a win would reduce the gap to Augsburg to just one point. The bookmakers also see slight advantages for FSV and do not give them a chance of victory of around 49 percent for nothing.
Augsburg will hold out physically and lie in wait for transition moments, but Mainz has the means to create scoring chances and actively shape the game.
Mainz Form Check
Mainz made a real statement last weekend. In the away win against Leipzig, Silas scored the decisive goal with a strong solo effort and led his team out of the direct relegation zone.
With now 18 points, Mainz is only one point behind the saving shore. Since Urs Fischer took over in December, the form curve has been clearly pointing upwards.
Twelve points from seven games is a clear step forward, after Mainz had previously only picked up six points from 13 games and hardly looked competitive for a long time.
Fischer now has additional options in terms of personnel. Dominik Kohr returns after serving a yellow ban and should bring stability back to midfield.
Anthony Caci is about to return to the squad after his injury, but probably still needs time to become a starting eleven candidate again. Sota Kawasaki could also be available again after his small problem.
Overall, Mainz currently looks much more solid, defensively more compact and with more self-confidence. If this positive trend continues, the chances of Rheinhessen to assert themselves in the relegation battle and collect important points in the final spurt of the season will increase considerably.
Augsburg Form Check
Augsburg are currently riding a small wave of success, which has received additional tailwind, especially from the surprising 2-1 away win at Bayern.
Last weekend, Manuel Baum’s team went one better and prevailed against St. Pauli thanks to a brace from Michael Gregoritsch.
This success was enormously important in the relegation battle and ensured that FCA – as already mentioned – remained unbeaten in four Bundesliga games in a rowfor the first time this season.
Two wins and two draws have visibly boosted self-confidence, even if the success against St. Pauli was partly due to the weak conversion of chances by the opponent, who came away empty-handed despite an xG value of 3.29.
In terms of personnel, however, Augsburg has to cope with some setbacks. Dimitris Giannoulis may be out after a torn muscle fibre in his thigh, even if he is likely to return in the foreseeable future.
Maxim Leitsch is already working on his comeback after his injury and could soon become an option. On the other hand, Kristian Jakic, who has been missing recently and is in danger of being sidelined again, is a cause for concern, which could weaken stability in midfield in particular.
