Man City – Aston Villa Tip, Prediction & Odds 22.04.2025

Premier League, Tuesday, 22.04.2025 at 21:00

After the Premier League’s strong performances in this year’s European competitions, England’s top flight will be rewarded with five places in next season’s Champions League.

This promises an exciting race for the CL tickets in the final stretch of the 2024/25 season. Behind Liverpool and Arsenal, five teams are still fighting for three places. These include the Skyblues and the Villans, who face each other directly in Tuesday’s Manchester City vs. Aston Villa betting tip.

The winner of this match will collect important points on the road to the Champions League. I’m going for the Manchester City vs. Aston Villa betting tip “Double Chance 1X & Over 1.5 Goals” with odds of 1.47 at Betano.

When it comes to the Manchester City vs. Aston Villa odds, the home advantage naturally favors the Citizens. In addition, the Skyblues go into the match in fourth place, three places and one point ahead of their upcoming opponents.

However, the odds for a home win are climbing to a high of 1.86 with German-licensed betting providers. That speaks for the status and form of the visitors.

For a win for the visitors, you can get Manchester City Aston Villa betting odds between 3.75 and 3.90. Still looking for your Manchester City Aston Villa tip?

Then take a look at our betting bonus comparison or our overview of free bets!

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Manchester City FC has suffered an unusually high number of setbacks this season. After 33 match days, coach Pep Guardiola’s men have already suffered nine defeats in the Premier League.

That’s more losses than in the previous two seasons combined (8). But the Skyblues have found their footing again at the end of the season. In the final stretch, the team is focusing on things like willingness to run, cohesion, team spirit, and tackling.

As a result, they have suffered just one defeat (6W, 2D) in their last nine competitive games, including a 1-0 loss in Nottingham. The Citizens have also regained some of their defensive stability.

They have kept three clean sheets in their last four games. After disappointments in the League Cup (knocked out in the round of 16) and the Champions League (knocked out in the playoff knockout round), the club still has hope of winning a title.

That’s because they will face Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup semi-finals next Sunday. Manchester have conceded 21 goals at their home ground, the Etihad Stadium. That is their worst record since 2015/16.

However, Man City have only lost at home to Liverpool and Real Madrid in the current calendar year. The Sky Blues have scored 36 goals in 11 competitive home games in 2025. They have scored two or more goals in ten of those games.

The best player was Omar Marmoush, who has scored six goals in six matches in front of his home fans. In general, the team feels very comfortable at home in April.

The last nine home games in the fourth month of the year were all won with a goal difference of 35:8. The last home defeat in April was a 1-2 loss to Leeds United in 2021.

After the first half of the current PL season, Aston Villa was only in ninth place. But in the second half of the season, coach Unai Emery’s team has improved steadily and can now hope for a Champions League spot again.

Only Liverpool (33) has more points than the Villans (28) in the second half of the season. The Birmingham club is unbeaten in five Premier League games, picking up 15 out of a possible 15 points.

The Lions are particularly strong at home. Their last defeat here came in August 2024, when they lost 2-0 to Arsenal. With 16 unbeaten PL home games in a row, AVFC is the third-best home team in the English top flight.

However, Villa are only tenth in the away table with seven wins and seven defeats. But the Lions have won their last three away games in the English top flight.

Thanks to their good form, the team also reached the quarter-finals of the Champions League, where they put up a great fight against the in-form French serial champions Paris St. Germain.

After a 1-3 defeat in the first leg at PSG, Aston Villa were also trailing 0-2 after 27 minutes in the return leg at their own stadium. But the home side turned the game around to win 3-2 and narrowly missed out on extra time.

The team now has to climb into the top five in the final sprint of the season to qualify for the Champions League again. Currently, they are only missing out on a place due to their inferior goal difference.

In the domestic league, the Villans have not conceded a goal in their last three away games. The Birmingham-based side have also won two of their last three matches against reigning Premier League champions.

Manchester City have lost their last two away games at Villa Park, including the first leg of this season (1-2). However, the Citizens have an excellent home record against the Villans.

The last 14 PL home games between these two sides at the Etihad have all gone to the hosts. The last home defeat against the men from Birmingham came in April 2007 with a 0-2 loss.

This matchup naturally provides us with some Manchester City Aston Villa tips. Eight of City’s last ten home games against Villa have seen more goals scored in the second half.

If this trend continues, Bet365 is offering odds of 1.87 for a “More goals in the second half” bet. New customers should not miss out on the Bet365 betting bonus. And when it comes to goalscorers, we should keep an eye on Omar Marmoush.

The Citizens need to be warned. Villa are having a great second half of the season and have even picked up one more point than the Skyblues in the second half of the season. But Guardiola’s men have also found their form in time for the final sprint.

The team currently looks much more stable. And the visitors from Birmingham haven’t taken all three points at the Etihad for a long time. In addition, AVFC have not won both league games against City in a single season since 1962/63.

And in my opinion, that will not change this season. The Villans will not get more than one point. My Manchester City Aston Villa tip is therefore: Double chance 1X & Over 1.5 goals!

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