Champions League, Wednesday, 18.09.2024 at 21:00
The Anglo-Italian clash between Manchester City and Inter Milan promises to be a real Champions League highlight this Wednesday.
The two teams already know each other from the 2023 final, when the Citizens won the coveted trophy for the first time in their club history thanks to a goal from Rodri.
With a mixture of Milan’s desire for revenge and City’s desire to win the title again, this clash will be a real cracker.
In my Manchester City Inter Milan betting tip, I analyze with you what makes this match so exciting and which bets seem particularly promising. Goals are not necessarily guaranteed here!
According to the Opta-Tracker, Manchester City are the favorites to win this year’s UEFA Champions League with a probability of 24.9%. In fact, they have more than a 50% chance of reaching at least the semi-finals in this edition (55.9%).
In my Manchester City Inter Milan betting tip, however, I expect some resistance from the Italians, who could even prevent the 2024/25 UCL top favorites from an opening three in the worst case.
Shortly before the international break, the “Nerazzurri” dispatched Atalanta 4-0 in a manner that left a lasting impression on me. If they can summon up soccer similar to that of around three weeks ago, it won’t be a walk in the park even for the Citizens.
The bookmakers’ prediction
When we look at the Manchester City Inter Milan betting odds for the upcoming match on the various betting apps, it clearly looks like an advantage for City.
The bookmakers have priced the home side’s victory at odds of around 1.50. That makes the Citizens the clear favorites for this match.
On the other hand, the odds for an Inter Milan three-goal win are an impressive 5.50, which corresponds to a probability of around 18%. These high odds reflect the fact that the bookmakers don’t think the Italians have much of a chance in this duel
KI prediction Man City vs Inter: That’s what ChatGPT is betting on.
A tip on a brace from Haaland is certainly not completely absurd, especially since the Norwegian has a crazy goal rate in the Champions League. However, it remains a high-risk bet because you never know how the game will go.
And especially against a strong defense like Milan’s, I would probably demand even higher odds than the currently estimated 4.60.
I’m also skeptical about the half-time/final score 1/1 tip. The odds of around 2.20 are tempting, but Inter could put up a good fight in the first half.
Especially with an experienced keeper like Sommer in goal, it won’t be easy for City to take the lead straight away. So rather another tip with high than medium risk
The bet on over 2.5 goals, on the other hand, sounds like a classic for City games. But beware: If Inter are well positioned defensively and successfully execute their plan, we could see fewer goals here than you might initially expect.
Especially this last supposedly low-risk Man City Inter Milan AI prediction would therefore be taken with extreme caution
Analysis: Manchester City vs Inter Milan
Manchester City are a real machine at the moment, or what do you think? Four wins to start the Premier League season speaks for itself, and when we look at their Champions League record, it only gets more impressive.
Keep in mind: City are unbeaten in the top flight for 23 games under Pep Guardiola (16 wins, 7 draws).
Imagine that – two more games without defeat and they will equal Manchester United’s legendary record of 25 unbeaten games. It will be hard for any team to match that
But before you write Inter off prematurely, don’t forget their man in goal. Yann Sommer, the current Inter Milan keeper, achieved the highest save percentage of all Champions League goalkeepers last season with 86%.
With 25 shots on goal saved, it will definitely not be easy for City strikers to overcome the Swiss. Sommer could therefore be a decisive factor for Milan.
The question is, will that alone be enough? City’s form and strength in the Champions League is simply brutal, and stopping them will be a tough task.
But with Sommer between the posts and Inter’s usual combative mentality, in the best-case scenario and with a bit of luck, they could actually pull off the “miracle at the Etihad.”
Odds analysis
If, like me, you’re looking for value bets, then you shouldn’t ignore the 0:0 half-time score. With odds of 3.25, this is a really great offer.
Given the starting position and the performances of both teams so far, it could well be a goalless first half. The risk is manageable, while the odds are really tempting.
If you are successful with this 0:0 half-time bet, you can also consider the under 3.5 goals bet based on this. The odds of around 1.50 seem pretty fair to me here.
If the first half remains goalless, it is very likely that the game will not offer too many offensive spectacles until the end.
So both tips together could give you a nice plus if you bring a bit of courage and share my assessment
Manchester City vs Inter Milan odds: Will Haaland score?
Erling Haaland is such a popular name on the betting markets for a goal bet because he has an outstanding record in the UEFA Champions League.
With 41 goals in 39 games, the Norwegian has scored at a remarkable rate of over one goal per game – 1.05 goals per game to be precise.
This is unique among players with at least five Champions League games. This consistent performance sets him apart from other players and makes him a desirable candidate on the betting markets.
Nevertheless, I’m convinced that Milan’s “catenaccio” could put the Norwegian in chains on Wednesday.
Inter can surprise us all!
Milan could indeed spring a surprise on Wednesday when they face Manchester City.
Their 4-0 win over Atalanta before the international break was an impressive display of power.
In the form they are currently in, no opponent, not even Manchester City, would have achieved a better result against Bergamo.
As I said, you can’t write off Milan for me
The Italians also have a remarkable record in the Champions League. Inter have already beaten four different English teams in this competition, including Newcastle, Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool.
A win at Manchester City would make them only the fourth team to win against five or more English teams. Proof of their class on the international stage, even against established teams from the best league in the world!
In addition, Inter have only lost three of their last 20 UCL games (11 wins, 6 draws).
Although they have historically only won one of their last nine opening games in the UCL, their current form is still promising.
With a solid performance and the necessary self-confidence, Inter Milan could indeed surprise the Citizens and thus significantly exceed the bookmakers’ expectations.
My Man City Inter Milan tip:
When thinking about this game, you should also focus on possible difficulties for the English side.
Man City could get bogged down in this first Champions League game of the season, which could lead to a rather low-scoring opener. In any case, the chances of a draw, which would not be disastrous for the English side, are not close to zero.
Precisely because it is the first match of the new UCL season, a close game with a surprising result is a distinct possibility.
The bookmakers seem to underestimate the possibility of Milan successfully countering the Citizens’ attacking power.
In my opinion, this makes the Man City Inter Milan betting tip on under 1.5 goals in the first half particularly attractive
My tip: Under 1.5 goals in the first half!
