Manchester City vs Nottingham Tip Premier League, Matchday 29 on Wednesday, 04/03/26 at 20:30 CET
The fact that the Citizens under Guardiola have won 24 of their last 26 Premier League home games on a Wednesday is in my eyes a nice statistical number crunch without any real meaning.
On the other hand, their current hussar ride had a much bigger influence on my Manchester City Nottingham tip!
Because their haul in the last 19 matchdays is absolutely phenomenal with 50 points and impressively testifies to their current enormous self-confidence (16 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat).
Consequently, I like both the Betano promo code, which is also available to you, and the selection ManCity/ManCity at odds of about 2.00.
On the one hand, I don’t expect too much resistance from Nottingham, and on the other hand, no league rival has won more home games according to this pattern in 2025/26 than Pep Guardiola’s team (9).
Manchester City vs Nottingham AI Predictions:
Our Manchester City Nottingham AI forecast confronted me with several promising betting scenarios within a few fractions of a second, each of which I pursued individually.
First of all, something really subtle in Winamax’s offer: Win Man City with one goal difference to odds, which would almost quadruple your stake if successful.
In principle, this would not be an atypical result for the Citizens. They have won 39% of their Premier League games this season in this way, including the most recent two appearances against Newcastle (2-1) and Leeds (1-0). But of course there is still a “gamble” somewhere.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Man City |
Draw |
Win Nottingham |
| 68.6% |
17.9% |
13.5% |
Since Erling Haaland is injured and has already missed the game against Leeds, I can get excited about the AI player bet Rayan Cherki meets at odds of currently 1.80.
Admittedly, the Frenchman hasn’t scored for exactly a month, but continues to play strongly and could now be more in the spotlight again in the absence of the Norwegian. In addition, he scored a goal against the “Garbialdi Reds” in the joint first half of the season.
Incidentally, Winamax also has the choice of multiscore: 2-3 goals at odds of around 2.10. I particularly like this offer because, apart from a 1-0, it covers a large part of all outcomes that I also think are likely – for example, a 2-0, 2-1 or 3-0.
What you need to know about Manchester City vs. Nottingham betting
- Since promotion in 2022, Nottingham have lost all three away games at Manchester City without scoring a goal of their own (goal difference 0:11).
- City’s fortress: Pep Guardiola’s team have won 16 of their last 19 home games in the Premier League (D2 L1) and thus have the strongest home record of all top English clubs since April 2025.
- Despite the dominance, City is acting minimalistically more often than usual this season; 39% of the wins (7 out of 18) have come by just one goal – the highest percentage of narrow wins for the “Citizens” since the 2012/13 season.
- While City are worried about the use of top scorer Erling Haaland (22 goals this season), Vitor Pereira celebrates his away debut as the fourth Forest coach of the season; he must try to end the series of eight winless guest appearances at City since 1989.
