Premier League, Sunday, 12/22/2024 at 3:00 PM
Ruben Amorim is making progress with his new team and recently won the prestigious Manchester derby against the Citizens (2-1).
In defense, however, there is still room for improvement. Although the Portuguese immediately established his typical 3-4-3 system, he only got to see a league game without conceding a goal.
For my Manchester United Bournemouth betting tip, I am prepared to use the Happybet bonus and invest it in the odds of 2.70 for “Bournemouth Over 1.5 goals”.
Ruben Amorim is supposed to lead Manchester United back to the glory days that have been gone for years. Just how much the Red Devils’ status has suffered was evident last season.
Last year, Manchester United failed to beat the Cherries in either league clash, losing heavily at home (0-3) and only drawing (2-2) away.
Even the Premier League table puts Bournemouth (6th) much closer to the international places than Manchester United (13th).
However, under Ruben Amorim, the hosts have only lost two of seven competitive games, so the betting providers have also been carried away without taxes to win odds of a maximum of 1.83 for the Red Devils.
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Considering the season so far, I don’t want anything to do with this win rate for United for the time being. At Old Trafford, the Red Devils have only celebrated four wins in eight league games, while the Cherries have only lost three of eight PL away games.
Added to that is the phenomenal form of the guests, who have now not been beaten in four league games. That’s why I’m thinking of boosting the odds for the odds of around 1.93 for a “double chance X2”.
Where do I get the confidence for the guests? First and foremost, Andoni Iraola’s team impresses with maximum attacking power and the second-most expected goals (32.96 xG) in the English top flight.
Only Manchester City (282) have taken more shots on goal than the sixth-placed side (270).
In attack, the visitors like to use crosses as their preferred stylistic device (295). Only Spurs (311) and Manchester City (298) have sent more into the opposing box.
As a result, the Cherries have already scored five headed goals. Perhaps this approach will help the visitors against Manchester United too.
The Red Devils have already conceded seven headed goals – only Wolves have scored more after a header. Wolverhampton, as we know, lost their home game 4-2 to Bournemouth.
Furthermore, Ruben Amorim has only managed to finish one game without conceding a goal with Manchester United. The Red Devils have conceded at least one goal in each of the last four competitive games.
Two of Manchester United’s previous four games are likely to have annoyed the Portuguese in particular, as the Red Devils lost and conceded “Over 1.5 goals” in both matches.
The Cherries’ heading ability naturally also plays a major role in their own set pieces and is part of the explanation as to why they have already scored six goals from set pieces.
Another aspect is the outstanding shooting skills of Enes Ünal, who scored a direct free-kick against West Ham in the 90th minute.
The Red Devils defend set pieces with little effectiveness and have conceded the most standard goals (8) after Wolverhampton (14).
Somehow, it seems to me that there are surprisingly many similarities between Wolverhampton and Manchester United, especially in terms of the weaknesses of the two teams.
I expect an extremely exciting duel in which Bournemouth will put the Red Devils’ defense under massive pressure.
Manchester United are still in the development phase under Ruben Amorim. A duel against the second-best offensive force in the Premier League is rather undesirable.
My Manchester United Bournemouth betting tip is therefore: Bournemouth over 1.5 goals.