Marseille – PSG Tip Ligue 1, Matchday 5 on Sunday, 09/21/25 at 8:45 p.m.
Want to hear something crazy? Marseille may have lost only one Ligue 1 home game in the 2025 calendar year, but they haven’t scored a single goal in their last six games of this kind against PSG.
Nevertheless, both old and new sports betting providers are very confident that there will be plenty of goals at the Stade Velodrome on Sunday – on both sides.
However, I am taking a different approach with my Marseille PSG tip. This is because Paris have stood out this season almost exclusively with narrow 1-0 or 2-0 victories. The flood of goals in the game against Toulouse a few weeks ago is a glaring exception.
Marseille vs. PSG AI predictions:
Our Marseille PSG AI prediction generated some useful suggestions on request, which I will now evaluate and put through their paces for you!
Marseille under 0.5 goals at odds of around 3.30 would surprise most German betting providers, but as mentioned at the beginning, the numbers speak for themselves!
After all, a team that hasn’t scored a single goal against PSG in 450 Ligue 1 minutes at home could easily add another 90 to that tally.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Marseille win |
Draw |
PSG win |
| 76.2% |
15.9% |
7.9% |
Under 1.5 goals at halftime is an AI suggestion from the “small but mighty” category at odds of around 1.60. I firmly believe that both sides will be sizing each other up, at least in the first half.
After the intense Champions League matches during the week, I wouldn’t be surprised if that were the case.
Double chance X2 & under 2.5 goals will ultimately triple your stake if successful and convinces me across the board. This combination bet covers the most likely final scores – 0:0, 1:1, 0:1, and 0:2.
What you need to know about Marseille vs. PSG betting
- The conditions PSG win & Under 3.5 goals occurred in 6 of the last 7 league games between these two teams.
- With Tuesday’s defeat, Marseille’s last six games have alternated between wins and losses.
- Marseille has scored in both halves of its last six Ligue 1 home games.
- PSG has already scored four league goals in the first 15 minutes this season – no other team had scored more than one before this matchday.
- PSG has collected only two yellow cards so far this season – the lowest in the league.
