Midtjylland Sturm Graz Prediction Europa League, Matchday 1 on Wednesday, 09/24/2025 at 6:45 p.m.
Some cheered, others lamented! FC Midtjylland qualified for the league phase of Europe’s second most important club competition, while for the Austrians, this competition is a consolation prize after missing out on the Champions League.
The odds for the classic 1×2 bet in the Midtjylland Sturm Graz tip are clearly in favor of the Danes. However, I’m going for an over/under bet of under 2.5 goals in the game anyway, as both opponents have been particularly strong defensively recently.
For this Midtjylland Sturm Graz prediction that we will see a maximum of two goals on Wednesday, NEO.bet is offering odds of around 2.60.
You don’t necessarily have to open the best betting app to get an idea of the starting position. Midtjylland is clearly the favorite with odds of 1.70.
A draw is only slightly lower than a win for the Austrians, which would bring odds of around 4.40.
If you think the Austrians will win a point, then a double chance x2 would give you odds of around 2.00, for example in combination with the Interwetten betting bonus.
Midtjylland vs. Sturm Graz AI predictions:
Our AI tool expects a few goals, with the probability of less than 2.5 goals in the game at around 52 percent. That’s only a narrow margin, but it supports my Midtjylland Sturm Graz tip for this match.
I base this bet primarily on the fact that both the Danes and the visitors have conceded few goals recently. In the Europa League qualifiers, Midtjylland recently played two home games without conceding a goal.
Sturm Graz has not conceded a goal in its last four competitive games in a row, winning 2-0 at runners-up Salzburg over the weekend.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Midtjylland win |
Draw |
Sturm Graz win |
| 59% |
25% |
16% |
The least risky bet is “Both teams to score,” but the odds in the Bwin app are 1.53.
If you are interested in a higher profit, our AI tool recommends betting on a 2-0 win for Midtjylland. However, with odds of 10.0, the risk is also very high.
At this point, it should be noted that the last competitive match between Midtjylland and Sturm ended in a 2-0 win for the Danes.
What you need to consider when betting on Midtjylland vs. Sturm Graz
- Midtjylland is very strong at home, having not lost in 12 competitive games at home (9W, 3D).
- Sturm Graz has won four of its last five competitive games (1L), three of them without conceding a goal.
- The two previous meetings in competitive games in the 2022/23 season both ended in home wins (2-0 for Midtjylland, 1-0 for Sturm).
- Midtjylland has not conceded a goal in its last three EL qualifying matches.
- Sturm Graz has lost only one of its last seven competitive away games, but that was a 5-0 debacle at Bodö/Glimt in the CL qualifiers.
