Champions League, Tuesday, 10/22/2024 at 6:45 PM
The Champions League is calling, and on matchday 3, AS Monaco will face Red Star Belgrade. Both teams have different ambitions going into this game.
Monaco would like to prove themselves internationally after a great start to the Ligue 1 season and keep their own fans happy with a home win.
In my Monaco Red Star Belgrade betting tip, I will highlight various betting opportunities and analyze how the playing styles of both teams could affect the outcome of the game.
Can ASM live up to its role as favorite or will Red Star actually cause an upset at the Stade Louis? It promises to be an exciting duel in which each team wants to show that it is ready to gain a foothold in the premier class.
The goalless draw against Lille last weekend, meanwhile, will not have pleased AS Monaco fans, that’s for sure! Even the first-class Merkur Bet bonus offers little consolation!
But at least that game took place on Friday, giving their boys an extra day to prepare for the clash against the Serbs.
In my Monaco Red Star Belgrade betting tip, I will try to answer the question of whether this gives the French the decisive advantage.
Do you know what is definitely interesting? RS Belgrade has conceded at least two goals in all eight away games against French opponents!
This sheds a clear light on the historical difficulties they usually face against Ligue 1 clubs.
In their current form and with the Monaco offense, the Balkan kickers could once again find it difficult to keep their own defense stable.
The bookmakers’ forecast
The upcoming game is being followed with great interest in the German-speaking betting community.
The betting providers, meanwhile, see the French Ligue 1 club as the clear favorite, which is clearly reflected in the current Monaco Red Star Belgrade odds.
The odds for a home win for the Monegasques are 1.38 on average, while a draw is rated at 5.25 and an away win for Red Star is even rated at 7.75.
Incidentally, various first-class sports betting apps offer you the opportunity to quickly compare these odds and place your bets in a targeted manner.
KI prediction Monaco vs Red Star Belgrade: That’s what ChatGPT tips
The Monaco Red Star Belgrade AI prediction I got from ChatGPT recommends a high-risk bet on a draw and over 3.5 goals, but I rejected it as a bad suggestion.
While the idea of this encounter offering plenty of goals has good chances of success, I have doubts that the Belgrade team will be able to get anywhere near scoring.
Their shaky defense should not be enough to survive in the Principality. But it is also clear that the monster odds of 13.00 on average could be enough for one or two daring sports betting fans to take action here anyway.
The medium-risk tip for over 3.5 goals, on the other hand, is rated by me as very good. A result of 3:1 or 4:1 would really suit this game, as both teams can show offensive qualities.
The probability of a goal-rich game is therefore high, which also makes this tip so promising.
I also rate the supposedly safe risk tip for a Monaco win as very good. ASM is truly the better of the two teams and often puts in strong performances.
This tip offers a solid opportunity for tipsters who believe in Monaco’s victory, as they are clearly favored in the direct duel.
Analysis: Monaco vs Red Star Belgrade
If we look at Monaco’s current form, it quickly becomes clear that Adi Hütter’s team is just getting going. With six wins and two draws in Ligue 1, the Monegasques are still unbeaten.
They have also done well in the UEFA Champions League so far, with one win and one draw.
Their latest comeback, coming back from 2-0 down against Zagreb, shows that they have what it takes to compete at the European level.
In contrast, Red Star Belgrade have not had much luck in recent encounters against French teams. The last five duels against teams from France all ended in defeats.
In the Europa League 2022/23, they had to play Monaco twice and failed to get any points. Furthermore, they have not yet found their rhythm in the Champions League, having lost their first two games.
Although they are comfortably leading the Serbian Super Liga, “Red Star” can draw little hope from this. Their weak performances at the international level show that the quality gap compared to Central Europe is enormous.
Rating Analysis
The Monaco Red Star Belgrade odds for this group game are attractively varied.
The home win rate of 1.38, for example, offers little value, which is why I would not recommend this bet.
The odds of 1.70 for “both to score”, on the other hand, are much more interesting, since Red Star Belgrade is often good for a goal, even against strong opponents.
In addition, the bet on halftime/final score 1/1 with odds of 1.95 also seems promising, as Monaco often dominates in the first half.
Overall, the betting offers on both teams scoring and halftime/final score 1/1 offer the best chances for a worthwhile combination bet that would almost triple your stake.
The Serbs will concede several goals again this time!
If we look at the head-to-head between Red Star and French clubs, the record against Monaco stands out. I already touched on this in the analysis section, but now let’s take a closer look!
Last season, the two teams met in the UEFA Europa League, and Monaco won both games: 4-1 at home and 1-0 away.
The away record of the Belgrade team in France is also modest. They have not won a single one in a total of eight games (2 draws, 6 defeats) and, as already mentioned in the introduction, have always conceded at least two goals.
In total, they have conceded 26 goals in these games. This clearly shows that the Belgrade team often have little chance of keeping a clean sheet in France.
Can Belgrade fight back?
Now, Red Star may not be the most glamorous team in the premier class, but I can assure you that the game has a few hot tips in store for the betting enthusiasts among you, especially when it comes to goals.
If you look at the statistics, it quickly becomes clear that both teams will score.
It’s not for nothing that the two UCL group matches each of the two teams have already broken the 2.5-goal mark this season.
First of all, Red Star have had a tough time in their last 11 away games in the Champions League. They have conceded 37 goals and scored only six of their own – that’s a miserable record.
But now let’s take a look at Monaco. They have not kept a clean sheet in 22 Champions League games.
Their defense is wide open, and the last team to manage to go even longer without conceding was Shakhtar Donetsk, who went 23 games without a clean sheet.
So if that doesn’t sound like an invitation for goals, I don’t know what does.
And hey, Belgrade hasn’t played a single game without conceding a goal since November 2018, even against the supposedly weakest teams in this competition.
On average, they have conceded three goals per game since then, which adds up to 48 goals in 16 games. You can be sure that Monaco will also get something on the scoreboard.
So if you are looking for a hot Monaco Red Star Belgrade tip, be sure to check out the odds for all bets that expect several goals.
That could really be the key to clearing up here!
My Monaco Red Star Belgrade Tip:
In my Monaco Red Star Belgrade prediction, I deliberately bet on the scenario that the host scores in both halves.
History and the dynamics that could unfold between the two teams also suggest that goals on both sides are highly likely.
Red Star has consistently conceded goals in recent Champions League games and has shown particular vulnerability in defense.
Thus, the prospects of being able to place a successful both teams bet are excellent.
My tip: Monaco scores in both periods!
