Newcastle – Arsenal Prediction Premier League, Matchday 6 on Sunday, 09/28/25 at 5:30 p.m.
This is a matchup that Mikel Arteta will not like at all – and it’s taking place right before the second Champions League matchday! As the long-time coach of the Gunners, the Spaniard has lost more away games against the Magpies (4) than against any other team in England except for the Citizens (5).
On the Bwin app, as well as every other good sports betting app, the favorable odds catch my eye, making a Newcastle Arsenal tip on the hosts really appealing.
It won’t be easy for the Londoners to take home any points, that much is certain. Especially since the Magpies have the most stable defense in the entire Premier League up to this sixth matchday, with an opponent xG value of only 2.6.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal AI predictions:
Our digital betting friend’s Newcastle Arsenal AI prediction has already evaluated some interesting data and turned it into betting suggestions, all of which I would recommend to you.
In my opinion, a Newcastle win to nil justifies any risk, no matter how high, with betting odds averaging 5.70. Especially since the Magpies have already kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 league games this season.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Newcastle win |
Draw |
Arsenal win |
| 27.1% |
28.9% |
44% |
If a home win bet is too risky for you, our AI suggests the double chance 1X option as an alternative, which, despite lower odds of around 1.70, is certainly not to be sniffed at.
Even if I don’t expect the visitors to play their best game of the season, they still deserve a lot of respect. After all, Arteta’s team has lost only one of its last 16 Premier League away games (8 wins, 7 draws).
Statistically speaking, you can’t go far wrong with the Under 2.5 goals selection at odds of around 1.75. In fact, only one of the last eleven competitive matches between these two teams has exceeded this mark.
What you need to know when betting on Newcastle vs. Arsenal
- Newcastle have scored in the first 20 minutes of each of their last two home games.
- The Magpies have the lowest Against xG value in the Premier League at 2.6.
- Six of Arsenal’s ten league goals have come in the 15 minutes before or after halftime.
- As Arsenal coach, Arteta has lost more away games at Newcastle (4) than at any other club except Man City (5).
