Newcastle – Chelsea Tip Premier League, Matchday 17 on Saturday, 20.12.25 at 13:30 CET
For the Blues, this is a real fateful day on Saturday. If they want to be in the title race in the long term, a victory at St. James Park is almost mandatory.
Meanwhile, I took a closer look at the offer of the best German betting providers and discovered a Newcastle Chelsea tip whose risk-reward ratio really convinced me.
We’re talking about 2+ goals from Chelsea at strong odds around 2.07 – and even without an extra bet-at-home odds boost.
Chelsea’s offensive quality is argument enough, but one statistical aspect weighs almost more heavily – and how!
Although the last direct duel went 2-0 to Newcastle, it would be the first time since 1933 that the Blues would not score at least one goal in two consecutive games against the Magpies.
Newcastle vs. Chelsea AI Predictions:
With my Newcastle Chelsea tip suggested at the beginning, I deliberately leave open who will win in the end. But I probably also let myself be influenced by our data model.
Because its very own Newcastle Chelsea AI prediction vehemently suggests to me to consider the options Double Chance 1X or even Win NUFC at odds of 1.55 and 2.70 respectively.
The statistical evidence impressively supports these proposals. Because 37 of the 60 joint Premier League duels went to the respective home team.
That’s the highest number of home wins of any possible pairing in this competition ever.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Newcastle |
Draw |
Win Chelsea |
| 35.5% |
26.9% |
37.6% |
Over 3.5 goals & both score at odds around 2.77 is the final suggestion of our AI. And this one in particular sounds so conclusive to my ears.
On the one hand, the Magpies have not kept a clean sheet in nine consecutive games, but on the other hand, they have always scored 2+ goals in each of their last five Premier League home games.
Perfect conditions for a thrilling 2-2 draw at St. James’ Park – don’t you think so?
What you need to know about Newcastle vs. Chelsea betting
- Newcastle have the lowest averages under Eddie Howe for shots (12.2 per game) and shots on target (4.31 per game) this Premier League season.
- Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five Premier League away games (the exception being a 3-1 defeat to Leeds). Previously, they had only managed five clean sheets in 38 away games.
- Newcastle have scored exactly two goals in each of their last five Premier League home games. Under Eddie Howe, the average at St James’ Park is exactly two goals per game – only Kevin Keegan has a higher average.
- Anthony Gordon and Bruno Guimaraes scored in Newcastle’s last two Premier League home games.
