Premier League, Sunday, 02/23/2025 at 3:00 PM
There is a lot at stake here! Newcastle can move within three points of Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. But to do that, they need to get a win on Sunday. After the last away games of the surprise third, I believe United can do it.
However, the visitors will do everything they can to keep their opponents at bay. The clean sheet was a rarity for the men in the zebra look in the past few weeks. Therefore, I am choosing the goal of both teams from Winamax in my Newcastle Nottingham betting tip.
The mission for Newcastle is clear: to qualify for the Champions League next season. To achieve that, the three points are mandatory in the home game against Nottingham.
Recently, however, a few points have fallen by the wayside. To be precise, Newcastle has lost three of its last four games, 1-4 to Bournemouth, 1-2 to Fulham and 0-4 to Manchester City.
In between, they only managed to beat bottom-of-the-table Southampton. Like the bookmakers, however, I still see the team at home in St. James Park as slightly ahead. Before the kick-off, the win rate is around 1.80.
Winamax offers 4.20 for an away win and 4.00 for a draw. Therefore, the double chance X2 (2.00) is also quite high. However, I don’t find any selection particularly interesting here.
In my opinion, United’s recent performances have not been strong enough and Nottingham have been too inconsistent. They suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat against Bournemouth, followed by a spectacular 7-0 win against Brighton, before they failed to score again against Fulham (1-2).
The hosts on Sunday have only kept a clean sheet in their last five matches. A nice stat in itself, indicating that both teams will score.
In any case, I expect a fairly even game, with Newcastle having a slight advantage. After all, it is the team in seventh place that needs the three points more. Nottingham should definitely count a point as a success.
How it turns out doesn’t matter in the end when it comes to my bet, as long as both teams score at least one goal. It’s very convenient for me that Nottingham concedes twice as many goals away from home as they do at home.
Incidentally, the two opponents are among the teams that do not exactly have the most solid defenses, ranking in the unpopular top half of the table in terms of the most chances allowed.
They are also among the leaders in the scoring efficiency stakes. With averages of 9.8 and 9.0 percent, they are very well placed in a league comparison.
Defensive failures are also always a good argument for me to place a goal bet.
The Magpies are finally waiting for the return of Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles.
Apart from the absence of ex-Union star Taiwo Awoniyi for the visitors, the offensive departments can draw on unlimited resources.
If you are still looking for a suitable free bet for this match, you should definitely take a closer look at the new customer bonus from Winamax. Your first deposit will be doubled in the form of a freebet budget of up to 100 euros.
All odds are free of betting taxes and your deposited real money is also directly withdrawable after a one-time conversion to a minimum odds of 1.05. What’s more, you can see the distribution of the community in every betting market. Incidentally, both teams scored in the first leg, as they did in the three previous duels. Newcastle held their own with a 3-1 win. And the last game at St. James Park? Nottingham won 3-1.
Overall, many of the recent encounters were exciting for a long time and this time, too, there are a number of factors that point to a close game and, due to the hosts being required to take some risks, there should be a few goals again.
Conclusion: Newcastle have scored in 23 of their last 24 matches, while Nottingham have only failed to score in their last 13 matches once. As reliable as the attacking departments are, the defense is often fragile.
United will throw everything into taking the three points in the second half at the latest. However, the Tricky Trees’ transition play is something else. I expect a gripping fight with a few chances on both sides!
My Newcastle Nottingham tip: Both teams to score.
