Newcastle – PSV Tip Champions League, Matchday 7 on Wednesday, 21/01/2026 at 21:00 CET
The starting position for the match on Matchday 7 of the Champions League between Newcastle United and PSV Eindhoven is clear. While the Magpies need a win to be able to target the top eight, the Dutch are primarily concerned with not slipping out of the playoff places.
In my Newcastle PSV tip, I expect a high-scoring exchange of blows with the better end for the English. “Win Newcastle & Both Teams Score” brings Merkur Bets to a handsome odds of around 2.30.
Of course, the focus is not least on the playing style of the Dutch. On the one hand, PSV has scored 15 goals, but on the other hand, it has also conceded 11 goals. It is therefore unlikely that Eindhoven will hold back against Newcastle.
In any case, a walk by the Magpies is unrealistic. PSV has won the last six games and scored at least three goals four times. The fact that the last defeat to date was also rather spectacular (3-2 against Atletico) naturally fits into the picture.
Newcastle is likely to prove to be simply too strong at home for Eindhoven in the end. In the Champions League, they only lost to FC Barcelona (1-2) in front of their home crowd and are also one of the strongest home teams in the Premier League with only two defeats after eleven home games.
Newcastle – PSV Prediction & Betting
Of course, I have picked out other tip alternatives for you that fit the starting point. And in fact, you can easily play “Both Teams Score” as a single bet at odds of around 1.55. This would also cover a realistic 2:2.
Since I don’t assume that the decision will be made before the change of ends, I also set my sights on the “draw at half-time”. The odds around 2.70 certainly justify the risk.
If you want to take full risk, you can bet on an outcome right away. I was particularly taken with the “3-1 for Newcastle”. The odds are around 11.0 and could be something for a Winamax Freebet.
What you need to know about Newcastle vs. PSV betting
- Newcastle have scored 39 goals in 19 home games this year, an average of 2.05 goals per game. Last week’s 2-0 defeat to Manchester City in the first leg of the EFL Cup semi-final was the first game at St James’ Park since 25 May 2025 in which Newcastle failed to score a goal of their own as they lost 1-0 to Everton.
- In the Dutch league, PSV averages 3.10 goals per game this season, plus 15 goals from six Champions League games, which corresponds to a strong average of 2.5 goals per game.
- “Both teams to score – yes” has been a successful bet in all six of PSV’s Champions League games this season. “Over 2.5 goals” also went into five of Newcastle’s six European games this season.
- PSV midfielder Joey Veerman ranks sixth in the competition for the average number of passes in the final third per game (28.0).
Newcastle – PSV: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our AI model has a very special eye on Newcastle United, not least because of Nick Woltemade, and provides you with additional tip recommendations in its Newcastle PSV AI prediction.
And in fact, it’s about Woltemade. If the national striker scores for the Magpies, the bookmakers use PayPal to make odds around 2.10. The first contender for a goal, however, is Yoane Wissa at odds of about 1.80.
In the second tip, the digital brain relies on the English without any frills. As a single tip, however, “Win Newcastle” at about 1.50 is a bit too low for me. That’s another reason why I personally switched to a station wagon.
Finally, the AI gets creative and recommends “Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half”. Why? Because Newcastle have prevented their respective opponents from scoring before the break in 14 of their last 16 games. Statistically, the selection makes perfect sense. The odds are also okay at around 1.75.
The best odds for Newcastle vs. PSV
Newcastle’s strong home record makes them the clear favourites in the 1X2 market. The odds indicate that their chance of victory is around 70 percent.
The Asian Handicap is set at -1.0/-1.5 for Newcastle. This means that a win by at least two goals is needed for bets on the English team to win fully in this market. A win with only a one-goal difference would result in a half loss.
The Asian goal line is 3.5 goals, which indicates a high-scoring game. If you want to bet on goals, you need at least four goals in the game to be profitable with this bet.
Newcastle’s attacking players are not in impressive form, but both Nick Woltemade and Yoane Wissa are considered clear favourites to score according to the odds.
Newcastle vs PSV Match Analysis:
Newcastle have a strong home record in Europe and have won two of their three home games so far to nil.
However, they now face PSV, who are unbeaten on the road this season – with one win and two draws, including a remarkable 4-1 win in England against Liverpool.
In view of the table constellation, with Newcastle on ten points and PSV only two points behind, there are many indications of a game in which both teams will play for a win.
A draw would probably mean a place in the play-offs in February for both sides – a scenario that is quite realistic, as Newcastle have to play Paris Saint-Germain on matchday eight and PSV host FC Bayern at the same time.
Eddie Howe’s side have led for almost half of the entire Champions League season so far (49 per cent) and will be looking to make the most of their home advantage at St James’ Park.
PSV, however, are much more mature in Europe than they were last season, when they lost three away games and kept only one clean sheet in the entire competition.
Newcastle Form Check
After three consecutive league wins, Newcastle have gone 90 minutes winless in their last three games, scoring just three goals – all in the 3-3 draw with Bournemouth in the FA Cup.
Last Sunday, Newcastle missed a great opportunity to make up ground in the fight for fourth place in the 0-0 draw at the bottom of the Premier League, Wolves.
Against Wolverhampton, Newcastle revealed clear problems in attack and only had 0.88 expected goals.
The attacking weakness is also reflected in the situation of centre-forward Nick Woltemade, whose lack of goals could put a strain on the club’s Champions League ambitions.
After a promising goal on his debut against Wolves in September, he scored only three goals in the following 19 games.
Newcastle, however, present themselves in their own stadium: This year, the team scored 39 goals in 19 games at home, which corresponds to an average of 2.05 goals per game.
The 2-0 defeat to Manchester City in the first leg of the EFL Cup semi-finals last week was the first home game without a goal since 25 May 2025, when Newcastle lost 1-0 to Everton.
PSV Form Check
PSV is on a strong course towards the Dutch championship. They have won 17 of their 19 league games, most recently in the 2-1 away win against Fortuna Sittard.
The Dutch have won all of their last six games and have scored at least one goal in every game this year.
In the Eredivisie, PSV averages 3.10 goals per game, and in the Champions League they score 15 goals from six games, which corresponds to a strong average of 2.5 goals per game.
PSV deliberately takes risks, which is reflected in the fact that they have conceded at least one goal in all their European games. In four of the six matches, a total of at least four goals were scored.
PSV is by no means only a counter-attacking team, but also convinces in possession play. It is striking that two of the three longest passing sequences that have led to goals in this Champions League season come from PSV.
The longest sequence with 46 passes in Dennis Man’s goal against Napoli and another attack over 27 passes, completed by Ismael Saibari against Bayer Leverkusen.
