Newcastle vs Sunderland Tip Premier League, Matchday 31 on Sunday, 22/03/26 at 13:00
The wait is over! When the legendary Tyne Wear derby kicks off shortly after noon on Sunday, the English northeast will stand still for 90 minutes.
For my Newcastle Sunderland tip, I took a closer look at the first league duel at St. James Park in a decade. This is about much more than three points – it is about local supremacy and pure honor.
I expect a game with an open visor and after successful, I bet on both teams to score. Newcastle is a real force in front of their home crowd, but the Magpies’ defence has looked anything but solid recently – Hansi Flick sends his regards!
Newcastle vs Sunderland AI Predictions:
Another exciting option for this derby is our computer-aided Newcastle Sunderland AI forecast in the form of a recommendation for a home win bet at odds of around 1.70 – depending on which betting provider with PayPal you ultimately choose.
Newcastle are in a solid ninth place in the home table and have already scored 28 times in front of their own fans – this underlines their offensive power in familiar surroundings.
Sunderland, on the other hand, often struggles away from home and has usually acted rather harmlessly with only eight away goals so far.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Newcastle |
Draw |
Victory Sunderland |
| 57.2% |
23.2% |
19.6% |
The Magpies are a force at home, but defensively they always allow gaps. Even for Sunderland’s often hapless away offense, there should be enough space in the emotional heat of a derby to stab at least once. Barca recently managed to do this 7 times!
A look at the number of goals also promises a lot of value. The Asian handicap line for overgoals is 2.5 and should be played in my opinion.
In view of the offensive spirit of the NUFC and its vulnerable backline, I think it is very likely, as well as our data model, that we will see more than just two goals at St. James Park on Sunday.
What you need to know about Newcastle vs. Sunderland betting
- Home complex against the Black Cats: Newcastle have been waiting for a win against arch-rivals Sunderland in five Premier League home games – a run that the Magpies are looking to end at home at St. James’ Park.
- Sunderland in a dip in form: The guests are in 18th place in the form table with only four points from the last six games, which illustrates the precarious situation in the relegation battle.
- Expected lack of goals: The first leg was characterized by tactical caution and delivered an extremely low xG value of only 0.54, which also indicates few clear scoring chances for the second leg.
- Lack of offensive penetration: Sunderland lacks a real goalscorer; no player in the Black Cats squad has scored more than five goals so far this Premier League season.
