Nigeria – Morocco Tip Africa Cup of Nations, semi-finals on Wednesday, 14.01.26 at 21:00
And in the end, I was actually right with my quarter-final tip! Because the “Super Eagles” actually shot their way into the round of the last four at the expense of the strong Algerians thanks to their hammer offensive!
Who can stop them now? Probably no one anymore. In my eyes, the situation on the bookmaker’s front is meanwhile favorable enough to quickly venture a Nigeria-Morocco bet on the Central Africans with another double pack guarantee.
Because Osimhen and Co. have always let it rip at least twice at this tournament so far, and almost every old and new sports betting provider favors the perceived weaker side on Tuesday in Rabat anyway, in my opinion.
Nigeria vs. Morocco AI Predictions:
I’ll tell you something that doesn’t seem to have escaped our Nigeria Morocco AI prediction either: Algeria, with its own xG value of 0.13, can be happy not to have been eliminated in the quarterfinals with an even higher result than 0:2.
The unstoppable Super Eagles, for their part, finally came up with a huge xG value of 3.36, from which our data model also derives its courageous, but by no means hopeless semi-final proposal for you – namely Nigeria over 2.5 goals.
Yes, I know: A hat-trick against Morocco is quite a lot. But that also applies to the odds of around 7.30 in the event of success as well as to the multitude of chances that the West Africans are able to create at any time thanks to their hammer offensive.
In addition, you can also conveniently fall back on an attractive Interwetten Freebet!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Nigeria | Draw |
Victory Morocco |
| 27.6% |
30.3% |
42.1% |
Need an AI-powered player bet suggestion? Then the selection Osimhen meets at odds around 3.20 – or even 7.10 if he strikes first – is without a doubt worth at least one serious consideration.
And what can I say: The Galatasaray Istanbul man has collected at least two scorer points in three of his last four appearances at this tournament. He’s practically a one-man offensive up front!
Last but not least, Nigeria is not my preferred Nigeria Morocco tip that my digital betting friend is making.
You are missing out on a lot of “value” with this rather risk-averse type of bet, but the bottom line is that it still makes sense. I see the Super Eagles reaching the final with a probability of about 70%.
What you need to know about Nigeria vs. Morocco betting
- In 3 of his last 4 appearances for Nigeria, Victor Osimhen has collected at least 2 scorer points.
- The nominal home side have won this pairing in eight of their last nine cross-competitive editions.
- Algeria’s xg value in the semi-final against Nigeria was only 0.13.
- In 14 of Nigeria’s last 15 international matches, it has not ended in a draw.



