Northern Ireland – Germany Prediction World Cup Qualifiers, Group A, Matchday 4, 10/13/2025 at 8:45 p.m.
Yes, the Northern Irish should not be underestimated! Not only do they sense their chance to make history by qualifying for the World Cup, but they have also conceded only one goal in a home game since 2024.
That’s a run of eight consecutive international games – seven of which they have won – that the DFB team will have to put an end to on Monday.
My Northern Ireland vs. Germany prediction selected in the Oddset app is nevertheless optimistic that this will be achieved. Because Nagelsmann’s team, blessed with plenty of talent, has now recognized the seriousness of the situation!
Looking back at the annals, there seems to be no real alternative to betting on a win for the DFB team anyway.
After all, Germany has won all of the last ten direct duels and has been unbeaten since November 1983 (10 wins, 3 draws).
Particularly interesting in view of my chosen Northern Ireland vs. Germany prediction: In four of the last five encounters, the German team won by exactly two goals – including both of their most recent away games at Windsor Park.
Northern Ireland – Germany prediction & bets
I have tested promising Northern Ireland vs. Germany predictions from reputable betting providers – for example, goals in both halves at odds of around 1.50 in the Betano app.
Especially since there has not been a goalless half in any of the DFB team’s last four international matches. But could the home team also score on Monday? That is entirely possible!
That is precisely why I have also selected Both Teams to Score at odds of around 1.82. After all, this condition has been met time and again in 6 of the last 8 international matches played by the always combative Northern Irish.
And after their convincing 2-0 win over Slovakia, I simply can’t see them losing without scoring in the big match against Germany.
What you need to know about betting on Northern Ireland vs. Germany
- Before the Luxembourg game, Germany’s win rate under Julian Nagelsmann was only 52% after 25 games.
- Isaac Price scored the equalizer in the 1-3 defeat to Germany – his tenth goal in 24 international appearances.
- Four of the six group games so far have ended in a two-goal victory for one team.
- Six of Northern Ireland’s last eight international games have ended with goals from both sides.
- In each of Germany’s last four games, goals were scored in both halves.
- Germany has scored exactly four goals in three of its last four away games in World Cup qualifying.
Northern Ireland – Germany: AI tip & odds analysis
Germany to win & both teams to score at 2.65 has a probability of over 50% and is therefore good value for a bet. Our Northern Ireland Slovakia AI prediction is absolutely right on this point.
Although the DFB team didn’t allow Luxembourg a single noteworthy scoring opportunity a few days ago, it was also their first international match in the 2024 calendar year without conceding a goal!
Against a slightly more capable opponent like Northern Ireland, the ball should find the back of the net again on Monday – at least once!
The selection Joshua Kimmich to score has an extremely positive expected value, hovering around 6.50. I also wholeheartedly agree with this AI assessment – especially since the Munich player already scored twice against Luxembourg!
A Germany win is ultimately the safe bet, but with betting odds that don’t break the 1.40 mark on average across the markets, it’s only suitable for a combination bet at best.
The best odds for Northern Ireland vs. Germany
Northern Ireland welcomes Germany – a classic duel in which the roles seem clearly defined, but the unpredictable can never be ruled out.
Oddset and Bet365 stand out with the best odds: 9.00 for a sensational home win for Northern Ireland, 5.25 for a draw, and 1.30 if the DFB team confirms its role as favorite.
Northern Ireland can rely on their fighting spirit and home crowd, while Germany can count on individual class, possession, and offensive pressure.
For bettors, this means that those looking for thrills will find opportunities for value bets, especially on the underdog.
It’s a mix of risk, strategy, and soccer potential that makes betting really exciting.
Northern Ireland vs. Germany match analysis:
Despite home advantage, Northern Ireland is unlikely to have much possession here. Germany’s intense pressing is likely to force the hosts to play long, direct balls, so much of the game will boil down to an “attack versus defense” scenario.
Julian Nagelsmann has high hopes for Florian Wirtz, who, after a rather cautious start in the Premier League, is now called upon to be the playmaker.
With Jamal Musiala out for the long term, the creative responsibility rests almost entirely on Wirtz’s shoulders – his passes must be precise to break down the compact Northern Irish defense.
Michael O’Neill’s team will have to make the most of their few chances. In the first leg, they only had 20% possession, and their only goal came from a corner – and this time too, set pieces are likely to pose the greatest threat to Germany.
Northern Ireland form check
Northern Ireland are in increasingly strong form under Michael O’Neill – especially at their home ground, Windsor Park.
Before their 2-0 win over Slovakia a few days ago, Northern Ireland had already celebrated four consecutive competitive wins on home soil without conceding a single goal.
Although they suffered a 3-1 defeat in Germany recently, Isaac Price’s equalizer briefly brought calm to the stadium in Frankfurt and showed that the team can make an impact even against big opponents.
The young team is growing noticeably closer under O’Neill’s leadership. If they can maintain their defensive stability and capitalize on their home strength, Northern Ireland could make the battle for the playoff spots in Group A exciting once again.
Germany Form check
Germany was considered the clear favorite in Group A of the World Cup qualifiers, but the campaign took an unexpected turn early on: The DFB team suffered their first ever away defeat in a World Cup qualifying match, losing 2-0 in Slovakia.
Under pressure, Julian Nagelsmann’s team responded with a 3-1 win over Northern Ireland in Cologne – but only after a hard-fought game.
After the score was tied at 1-1, Nadiem Amiri and Florian Wirtz provided relief with late goals and prevented another embarrassment.
Nevertheless, Germany’s form under Nagelsmann remains inconsistent: with a win rate of only 52% after 25 games, the team does not yet appear to be consistent.
Since only the qualifying group winners will qualify directly in the newly expanded World Cup finals with 48 teams, the DFB team remains under enormous pressure in the return match against Northern Ireland – a win is a must to avoid the playoffs.
