Premier League, Tuesday, 14.01.2025 at 21:00
There is a very confident leader in the Premier League – but also a team of the hour that is doing everything right now! On Tuesday, we can look forward to a clash on the island that couldn’t be more exciting.
The game will be played at the City Ground, and although the home side are in absolute gala form, they will have to cope with the clear underdog role. In my Nottingham Liverpool tip, I’m going to tell you exactly why I think this underdog has a lot to play for!
They were expected to have a strong season, the others not so much. When Liverpool and Nottingham meet on Tuesday evening, the competition will be sitting in front of the TV with bated breath.
It is fitting that I start my analysis with the league leaders. Liverpool FC started their first season without Jürgen Klopp a few months ago, and anyone expecting problems is so far so wrong.
The Reds lead the league with 14 wins, four draws and one defeat. As their rivals have been too inconsistent on the road for a long time, the lead is already six points – with one match less, mind you.
Although… I have to say that the cushion has been bigger in the past. Three wins and three draws, the last six games could certainly have been more successful – and that’s mainly down to the defense.
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The Reds have scored an impressive 21 goals of their own in this period and nobody can hold a candle to them offensively. However, they have also conceded eleven times, compared to just eight in their previous 13 games.
Or as I could also put it: Liverpool FC games are really spectacular at the moment. 3:3 against Newcastle, 2:2 against Fulham, 6:3 against Tottenham, 3:1 against Leicester, 5:0 against West Ham and 2:2 against Manchester United, you can do that!
The Reds then went into the FA Cup, where they beat Accrington 4:0. Of course, the opponents in the league are much tougher to assess, so I can easily disregard this result.
For a team that has won the Champions League six times and conceded just one goal, does it make a difference whether they play at home or away? 7-2-1 at Anfield, 7-2-0 away from home – I don’t see any!
Away from home, seven more goals have been scored, on average Liverpool score exactly three times per match and have scored at least three times in four games. Therefore, it would be a good idea to bet that this will also be the case on Tuesday.
After successful Oddset registration, you could secure odds of 3.00 for the “Over 2.5 goals”. But: Since these four encounters, it always hits at least twice in the own box.
So we turn the tables and look at what the bet “Over 1.5 goals” brings on the side of Nottingham. The odds: 2.95, so this value is almost identical to the one just mentioned.
What about Nottingham Forest in general, are they a favorite opponent? The duel in the first half of the season went 1-0 to the Tricky Trees, who inflicted LFC’s first and so far only defeat of the season
With a total of four wins and two defeats, the record still reads quite well, as the two did not meet at all between 1999 and 2022. According to our bookmakers, the winner on Tuesday is likely to be Liverpool anyway.
The odds show you 1.70 to 4.40. Nottingham shouldn’t care, as they are rightly proud of the last few weeks where the Robin Hood saga began.
Nottingham have conquered third place and are level on points with second-placed Arsenal FC. They have won all of their last six games, the most they had won in total before this period.
The most recent four wins have come without even conceding a goal, with the club dispatching Luton 2-0 in the FA Cup. Are the Tricky Trees stronger at home, which would be a significant advantage on Tuesday?
Five of their last six home games have ended victoriously, with three 1-0 wins, although it is interesting to note that the 2.5 goal threshold has only been exceeded three times. Exactly two goals are scored on average when Nottingham play at home.
Liverpool are convincing, Nottingham are convincing – but they can’t both win! The Reds, who play away on Tuesday, are known for absolute spectacle, especially away from home.
Nottingham, on the other hand, tend to play defensively at home and get efficient results. Well, it was all the more difficult for me to recommend a bet. Both are strong, someone will have the decisive advantage on their side.
In the end, I actually dared to speak out against the leaders, at least halfway. Nottingham are so much in the flow that I believe:
The Reds will not lose!
