Nottingham Forrest – Liverpool FC Tip Premier League, Matchday 27 on Sunday, 22/02/2026 at 15:00 CET
The Nottingham Liverpool tip for the duel on Sunday (15:00 CEST) between a relegation candidate and the CL aspirant is a clear thing in itself, but still with a certain security.
I have decided on the bet “Win Liverpool with Asian Handicap -1” and get odds of 2.35 from our test winner bet365.
The starting position seems to be clear and this is also made clear by the Nottingham Liverpool betting odds. In the betting apps of our bookmakers, the home victory appears with odds around 4.00.
The victory of the Reds from Liverpool brings odds of around 1.80 on average. The reason for the slight skepticism is probably that Liverpool no longer has anything to do with defending the title and is rather fighting for a place in the next Champions League.
The most recent direct comparison with Forrest (2 losses, 1 draw) also leaves at least a certain residual doubt. However, the clear advantage in regeneration should tip the scales in favor of Arne Slot’s team.
Nottingham – Liverpool AI predictions
I once looked at a data-driven AI forecast for the game. Our AI tool calculates a 50.1% probability of Liverpool winning, while a home win for Forest is only 25.6%. This coincides with the bookmakers’ assessment.
The bookmakers even give Liverpool an implied chance of victory of 56%. This is remarkable when you consider that the Reds have not won the last three duels against Forest and even suffered a bitter 3-0 defeat in the first leg.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Nottingham |
Draw |
Victory Liverpool |
| 25.6% |
24.3% |
50.1% |
It gets interesting with the goal bet. The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is 2.75. This means that you need at least three goals for half the win and four or more for the full profit. Our tool predicts a total of 2.68 goals here.
That coincides with my assessment that we shouldn’t expect a goal festival here. The combination of Forest’s defensive focus and Liverpool’s solid but not outstanding away attack speaks more in favour of a low-scoring game, which makes the under-bet attractive.
What you need to know about Nottingham – Liverpool betting
- Nottingham Forest have only scored 13 goals at home, the second-weakest figure in the league. This corresponds to an average of only one goal per game.
- in the first half of the season, Forest beat Liverpool 3-0 despite having only 25% possession.
- In the last 5 direct duels, an average of only 2.0 goals per game were scored. Both teams have only scored in 1 of these 5 games.
- Mohamed Salah has drawn level with club legend Steven Gerrard with his 92nd assist in the Premier League.
