Nottingham – Manchester City Prediction Premier League, Matchday 18 on Saturday, 27/12/25 at 13:30 CET
The Citizens are less interested in Christmas and certainly not in attractive odds boosts. The latter are only available to mere mortals like us anyway.
Rather, Pep Guardiola’s team wants to use every opportunity that comes their way to further increase the pressure on the Gunners at the top of the table from week to week.
The fact that they will also succeed in doing so in the last competitive game of the year is an integral part of my Nottingham Manchester City prediction. If Erling Haaland also scores a goal, most German bookmakers offer a strong combined odd of 2.20 on average.
Nottingham vs. Manchester City AI Predictions:
The fact that the Citizens will not leave it at a meagre 1-0 win at the City Ground on Saturday is clear even to our independent data model. Accordingly, the Nottingham Manchester City AI forecast sets the bar much higher in this regard.
3+ goals: Manchester City at odds of around 2.65 is the first betting recommendation, which I rate as indeed “promising” at this point.
Guardiola’s team is currently winning one game after another, is in impressive form and also has both the most productive attack in the Premier League (38 goals) and the one with the highest xG value in the league.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Nottingham |
Draw |
Victory Manchester City |
| 17.9% |
20.7% |
61.4% |
Incidentally, our data model is confident about a convincing away win. Victory Man City with HC -1 at odds around 2.50 is finally the second betting recommendation.
Incidentally, this proposal is also statistically promising because the Citizens have curiously not lost a single game between Christmas and New Year in recent years (8 wins, 2 draws).
And in their current condition, a slip-up in the City Ground is not to be expected anyway.
On the other hand, I am critical of the third proposal. Because both score at odds around 1.67 is simply not worth mentioning. Especially since this selection cannot be combined with my personal desired result – namely a furious 3-0 victory of the guests.
What you need to know about Nottingham vs. Manchester City betting
- Since Sean Dyche has been coach of Nottingham Forest, the team has won four games at home, drawn once and lost once. In that time, Forest scored an average of 2.16 goals per game at the City Ground.
- Manchester City won seven games in a row in all competitions. In their five Premier League victories, they have scored at least three goals and have kept a clean sheet in their last three league games.
- The Asian Handicap line is -1.00 for Manchester City, which is an implied probability of around 50%. However, Pep Guardiola’s side have only won two games away from home this season by more than a goal (4-0 against Wolves and 3-0 against Crystal Palace).
- Erling Haaland (Manchester City) has already generated 16.08 xG (Expected Goals) this season. Nottingham Forest’s entire team is at 20.03 xG – the second-worst value in the Premier League (worse only Wolves with 14.88 xG).
