Olympiakos – Leverkusen Tip Champions League, Matchday 7 on Tuesday, 20/01/2026 at 21:00 CET
On matchday 7 of the Champions League preliminary round, it could be quite unpleasant for Bayer Leverkusen. If the Bundesliga club loses at Olympiacos Piraeus, there is a risk of an early knockout in the Champions League.
In general, the game could come at a much better time for the Werkself. After all, Bayer have made a weak start to the winter break and have been in trouble with the defeats against Stuttgart (4-1) and Hoffenheim (1-0).
In my Olympiacos Leverkusen tip, I don’t assume that the Bundesliga club will actually act confidently and set my sights on the classic “Both teams to score” at odds of around 1.60 at Winamax.
With all possible betting options, it is important to remember that there is a lot at stake for the Greeks. With two matchdays remaining, the gap to the playoff zone is two points. A home win against Bayer is therefore almost mandatory.
In addition, the recent past shows that you don’t just beat Olympiakos in passing. Piraeus have lost just 2 of their last 17 games – including a narrow 4-3 defeat against Real Madrid. Bayer can therefore expect a very tricky Champions League evening.
Olympiakos – Leverkusen Prediction & Betting
Yes, Bayer is currently in a bit of a crisis. However, I didn’t expect the bookmakers to see the Werkself in the role of slight outsiders against Olympiakos. In terms of play, Bayer simply have more ability. The first tip alternative for me is therefore the “Double Chance X2” (odds at approx. 1.55).
Either way, I assume that a tight box will develop. The “draw at half-time” is therefore the right choice. In my view, the odds of about 2.15 justify the risk. And a 1-1 draw at half-time really wouldn’t surprise me given the starting position.
In my opinion, the bet “Over 2.5 goals” also makes sense. The bookmakers with PayPal rate the tip with odds around 1.75. I just can’t imagine that the fight for the first knockout phase is leisurely in the cauldron of Piraeus.
What you need to consider when betting on Olympiacos vs. Leverkusen
- After ten games without a win in the UEFA Champions League (D2 L8), Olympiakos celebrated a 1-0 win against Kairat on Matchday 6.
- In the games of the 4th, 5th and 6th rounds of this Champions League season, only three teams have conceded fewer goals than Bayer Leverkusen (2). However, their opponents remained 3.5 goals below their expected xG value (5.5 xG) in these games.
- Leverkusen have scored at least one goal in all six Champions League games this season, and the Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals markets have been successful in three of those matches.
- Based on the xG of shots on target (excluding own goals), Olympiakos’ Konstantinos Tzolakis is the worst-performing goalkeeper in the UEFA Champions League this season. He conceded four more goals (13) than expected (9).
Olympiakos – Leverkusen: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
When a Bundesliga team plays in the Champions League, our AI model naturally takes a very close look. In its Olympiakos Leverkusen AI prediction, the digital brain presents three additional prediction alternatives.
In fact, the AI is not intimidated by Leverkusen’s weak phase and goes for “away win Leverkusen”. The odds of around 2.75 are of course considerable, but also a greater risk. Bayer have won only three of their last eight games across all competitions.
In the second tip, the AI selects “Leverkusen over 1.5 goals”. The odds of around 2.20 are already a house number, but Bayer have only scored one goal in total in the last two games. After all, Olympiakos have conceded 13 goals after six CL games.
The AI has a result bet up its sleeve at the end. “2-1 for Leverkusen” fits in with the previous recommendations like a glove. As a risk selection, the tip for odds around 10.5 goes through all times – especially with regard to a Winamax Freebet.
The best odds for Olympiacos vs. Leverkusen
There are signs of a close game, and the 1X2 odds also reflect that. According to bookmakers, Olympiakos has around a 40% chance of a three-pointer, while Leverkusen’s chance of winning is around 37%.
The Asian handicap for this match is 0.0, which means that bets can be placed on both teams and the stake will be refunded in the event of a draw.
The Asian goal line is 2.5 to 3.0. If you bet on “Over”, you need four goals in the game for a direct hit. With three goals, there is only half a win.
According to odds, Ayeb El Kaabi is the most likely goalscorer, with an estimated probability of around 48%. The striker has scored two goals in the Champions League so far this season.
Olympiacos vs Leverkusen Match Analysis:
The match between Olympiakos and Leverkusen is de facto a deciding game between two teams that still have a chance of making the Champions League play-offs in February. Probably only the winner can still have justified hopes before the last matchday of the group stage.
The minimum score to qualify from 24th place is not expected to be less than 11 points. Leverkusen, who currently have nine points, are better positioned between the two teams.
Olympiakos, with only five points and a goal difference of -7, must rely on two wins without conceding a goal – first against the Germans, then next week against Ajax.
A draw in this game would play into the hands of Leverkusen, who host Villarreal on the last matchday.
Olympiakos are expected to play on attack from the start, strengthened by strong home performances against PSV and Real Madrid. On average, they have 4.7 shots on goal per game (28 in six games) – their best performance since the 2014/15 season (33 in six games, 5.5 per game).
Olympiakos Form Check
Olympiakos is currently in 29th place in the group stage of the Champions League, but is far from eliminated. With five points, they are only two points short of a place in the knockout phase.
On the eighth matchday, they travel to Amsterdam, who have already been eliminated. Realistically, they should aim for two wins in their last two games to maximize their chances of a playoff ticket.
Olympiakos is one of the most straightforward teams in the competition. They play the third fewest short passes and the sixth most long passes. In their own third, they have had fewer touches of the ball this season than any other team in the Champions League.
In the opponent’s third, they win possession an average of 6.8 times per game – the highest figure in the competition. It is to be expected that they will hit the ball forward for a long time and try to win duels and rebounds.
Leverkusen form check
It’s not easy to put the highs and lows of Leverkusen’s Champions League season into words.
The Bundesliga club got off to a weak start in the competition, did not get beyond disappointing draws against FC Copenhagen and PSV Eindhoven and then suffered a clear 7-2 defeat against Paris Saint-Germain.
Since then, however, the picture has changed: A 2-0 away win at Manchester City, a win against Benfica and a draw against a strong Newcastle underline the upward trend.
Due to the extreme tightness in the table, Leverkusen are currently three points behind the top eight, who qualify directly for the round of 16, and at the same time only three points ahead of 25th place, from which elimination threatens.
Leverkusen have been stable away from home so far. Seven of the nine points in this Champions League season have been taken away from home, which is encouraging for this away game.
However, problems are evident in the development of chances. Leverkusen have one of the highest pass completion rates in the competition at 85.7 per cent, but a large part of the ball action takes place in safe zones.
No team has had more touches of the ball in their own penalty area, and they are also one of the three teams with the most action in the defensive third. The result is low offensive penetration: In six games, they only had 64 shots on goal – the fourth-lowest figure of all participants.
