Oviedo – Atletico Madrid Tip La Liga, Matchday 26 on Saturday, 28/02/26 at 21:00
Ademola Lookman broke my heart when he recently left Bergamo to join the “Rojiblancos”. Nevertheless, in my eyes he is the ideal candidate to put an Oviedo Atletico Madrid tip to the test, which is really worth it.
For Saturday, I therefore quickly and directly select option 1 on the Oddset app. Goalscorer: Lookman, because the Nigerian usually performs superbly in his red and white jersey. After all, he has already scored four goals in his first seven appearances for his new employer!
And here is my thought: Alvarez and Sörloth were on the pitch from the start against Bruges during the week. So it’s quite possible that coach Simeone wants to rotate a bit and bring the winter signing from the start this time.
In this case, the chances of success on the odds of about 4.05 I have in mind would also be significantly higher.
Oviedo vs. Atletico Madrid AI Predictions:
Our internal data model has served me a useful Oviedo Atletico Madrid AI forecast as part of its own calculations, which I only have to complain about because it does not promise as much “value” as my own suggestion from the headline.
Atletico is likely to win, if only because Simeone has given his bench more depth thanks to his transfer activities in the winter to make it easier to deal with the small league players.
But with values of about 1.67 at every good German betting provider, you only get a “fair” odds offer in my eyes – unfortunately nothing more.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Oviedo |
Draw |
Win Atletico Madrid |
| 19.8% |
25.7% |
54.5% |
Since matchday 18, the newly promoted team has scored on every matchday except for the game against Barcelona – on the last one against Real Sociedad even three times (3-3).
The second computer-generated AI pick, a simple bet of the kind: Both teams score at odds of around 1.80, thus arouses my interest. Because unlike in the joint first half of the season, which went 2-0 to Atletico, Oviedo will come much more this time.
The desperate starting position finally fundamentally changes their approach – they now need the full three points and will be more open than usual in order to somehow avoid relegation.
That’s why I can also do something with the selection Over 3.5 goals at odds around 3.40 “in the meantime”. Until recently, it would have been difficult to imagine such an entertaining game at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
What you need to consider when betting on Oviedo vs. Atletico Madrid
- Cellar child with inhibition: Real Oviedo is at the bottom of the table with only 17 points and has the most harmless attack in the league; Guillermo Almada’s team scores an average of just 0.7 goals per game and has already failed to score 14 times this season.
- Despite an impressive record of 29 goals since the beginning of the year, the “Rojiblancos” have been waiting for a La Liga away win for three outings.
- Teething problems in the Tartiere: Spectators at the Estadio Carlos Tartiere need patience, as in seven of Oviedo’s last eight home games not a single goal has been scored in the first half – only against Athletic Bilbao there was a goal to celebrate before the break.
- Sörloth in goal mood: Alexander Sörloth is currently the fixed point in Atletico’s attack; after his brace against Espanyol, the Norwegian added a hat-trick in the Champions League during the week and now has 14 goals in all competitions this season.
