World Cup Qualifiers, Saturday, 07.09.2024 at 03:30 PM
In my Peru Colombia prediction on matchday 7 of the CONMEBOL qualifying group, the only undefeated nation will face the only one that has not yet suffered a defeat.
In my opinion, the match should be correspondingly one-sided. The home side simply have far too little offensively to pose a serious threat to the “Cafeteros”
Let’s take a look at Colombia’s form first. The “Cafeteros” have simply developed really strongly in recent years. Since the start of 2023, Colombia have not lost a single international match in the regular 90 minutes.
That is really impressive and speaks for great stability. With an unblemished record of three wins and three draws after six games in World Cup qualifying, the Colombians are also well on their way to their first appearance at the finals since Russia 2018.
So it’s no wonder that they are the favorites in the various bookmakers’ schedules on Saturday.
And the “Cafeteros” are not letting themselves down – they are not only a force in South America, but are also on the rise on the international stage.
Their defensive stability paired with a solid offense makes them a serious opponent for any top nation, no matter how strong they are.
By the way: If you want to check out the latest odds and tips for the numerous international matches that are being played during this short break from club soccer, take a look at the Oddset app. There you will always find the latest information and exciting betting opportunities.
In contrast, Peru are currently in a considerable slump in form. The “Blanquirroja” have yet to record a win after six games. Two draws and four defeats are not the kind of record that would put them on the world stage.
Even if the defense is not quite as full of holes as Bolivia’s, a single goal so far in the 1-1 draw against Venezuela is not enough to give them legitimate hopes of reaching the 2026 World Cup. Much more needs to happen offensively to qualify.
Colombia are the clear favorites for the next matches. Peru, on the other hand, urgently need to wake up and improve their performance to keep their remaining mini-chance of reaching the finals
The betting markets also look very clear: Colombia will start from pole position on Saturday. The bookmakers are trading the “Cafeteros” as favorites with odds of just 1.70 to win.
That is a strong signal that they are firmly planning to win. The mathematical probability of Colombia winning is around 59% – although I would put the actual probability at 75%.
In comparison, Peru’s chances are rather slim. The odds for a victory for the “Blanquirroja” are 5.00. This means that the bookmakers are only pricing in Peru’s victory with a probability of around 20%.
If you believe in a miracle, you can hope for high odds here, but there is a high risk of being disappointed.
Finally, the draw is priced at odds of 3.50, which corresponds to an approximate probability of 28%
If you’re wondering which betting offers you should take advantage of for the Colombia v Peru match, then I have a few really hot tips for you at this point.
First of all: “Colombia to win by zero”. After all, Peru have only scored one goal in their last ten international matches.
This weak offense clearly suggests that Colombia could actually win without conceding a goal on Saturday. The to-nil win odds are around 2.60 and are a solid choice for anyone who would call themselves a value hunter
Another attractive betting scenario is the “half-time/final score 2/2” offer. Colombia have won 12 of their last 14 international matches and are in top form (2 draws).
If you look at the Colombia Peru odds from this perspective, it becomes clear that a win after leading at half-time has been priced particularly generously at odds of 2.65.
For all those who want to place a promising bet without too much risk, this offer is therefore perfect.
COL is the clear favorite in the eyes of many experts, and with these odds offers you can make really good profits
In the last 23 years, Peru has only won international matches against Colombia in 2001, 2021 and 2022.
This is despite the fact that over two dozen duels have been played in this period, most of which ended in favor of the “cafeteros”.
It is particularly striking that Peru have only scored one goal in their last five home matches against Colombia. That could be taken as a further indication that the visitors could actually win without conceding a goal on Saturday …
Conclusion: In my Colombia Peru prediction, there is a clear qualitative difference between the two teams.
Colombia can currently compete with the best teams in North and South America and is also on a really good course towards the World Cup. Peru, on the other hand, are more on a par with Bolivia and face many challenges.
That’s why my tip “COL wins to zero” is particularly appealing. After all, the “cafeteros” have a solid defense, while the home side are currently barely able to get over the halfway line in an orderly fashion …
The visiting team are therefore likely to take control of the game early on Saturday and then win the game without conceding a goal
My tip: Colombia win to zero
