Portsmouth – Arsenal Tip FA Cup, 3rd round on Sunday, 11.01.2026 at 15:00
In the FA Cup, duels between unequal teams are the order of the day and accordingly my Portsmouth Arsenal tip for the game on Saturday afternoon (15:00 CET) is also the order of the day.
But I still decided to win away with the relatively low handicap -1, because I don’t know how much emphasis the Gunners are pursuing this competition in view of the great chance of winning the PL title. In this case, the bet-at-home odds of 1.63 are sufficient.
Portsmouth vs Arsenal AI Predictions:
The omens are clear! On the one hand, Portsmouth is fighting against relegation in the Championship, on the other hand, Arsenal is at the top of the Premier League table and wants to win the first league title in 22 years.
In view of this big goal in mind, it may very well be that Gunners coach Mikel Arteta will let the FA Cup be the FA Cup and rotate heavily with a view to the championship.
This is exactly what our AI’s tip speculates on. With Double Chance 1X, i.e. a Portsmouth Arsenal bet on a win in the second list or a draw after regular time, you can get odds of 4.50.
From my point of view, it’s just too risky, because the second or third suit of the Londoners is also quite capable of beating Portsmouth.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Portsmouth |
Draw |
Victory Arsenal |
| 7% |
15% |
78% |
Arsenal scores almost two goals per game in the Premier League (1.90), while Pompey has only the second-weakest attack in the Championship.
So it’s not surprising that Gemini, ChatGPT and Co. have just spat out my Portsmouth Arsenal tip as a low-risk bet. I see the odds of 1.60 as more than acceptable, especially since Arteta could start the rotary machine.
According to our AI tools, a medium risk is a bet on a goal by Gunners youngster Noni Madueke, who could get his chance in the cup. At Betano, a betting provider with PayPal, you can expect odds just below 2.30.
What you need to know about Portsmouth – Arsenal betting
- Portsmouth have not won against Arsenal since 1958. In the 20 meetings since then, there have been 13 Gunners wins and seven draws.
- The last duel was in the 2020 FA Cup, with Arsenal winning 2-0 away.
- With 40 goals, the Gunners are the leaders of the Premier League and have the second strongest attack in the league.
- Portsmouth is battling relegation in the Championship and has scored just 21 goals in 24 games.
- The xG forecast for Portsmouth reaches values between 0.25 and 0.55, while the Gunners are expected to have an xG value between 2.85 and 3.40.
