Champions League, Wednesday, 06.11.2024 at 21:00
The situation for Atletico Madrid is tense, as the Rojiblancos are in a tight spot and desperately need points! They face PSG’s starting eleven next matchday and the question is: can they conquer the Parc des Princes?
In my PSG Atletico Madrid prediction, I analyze whether the Spaniards can muster the necessary determination to score in the city of love. The Parisians, on the other hand, will do everything in their power to maintain their dominance.
If you want to bet on this exciting encounter, you should use the Oddset free bet to bet on the outcome without risk. It promises to be a thrilling duel that will keep spectators on the edge of their seats!
The Parisians have a lot of individual class, but Atletico know how to control such games.
I expect an intense duel with lots of duels and few clear-cut opportunities to score. My tip is a hard-fought draw or a narrow win for Atletico if they consistently take their chances.
The season is not exactly going according to plan for the “Rojiblancos” – but this is when Diego Simeone’s men usually put in their best performances. Based on this expectation, I have also formed my PSG Atletico Madrid betting tip.
The bookmaker forecast
Most PSG Atletico Madrid betting odds indicate that Paris Saint-Germain will start the match as favorites. With odds of 1.75, they are in a good position, while Atletico Madrid are the underdogs at around 4.20.
The draw is offered at around 3.50 and could also be an interesting betting option for you in an exciting duel. The bookmakers expect an intense match in which every mistake could be decisive.
KI prediction PSG vs Atletico Madrid: This is what ChatGPT
Here is my assessment of the PSG Atletico Madrid AI prediction tips from ChatGPT.
The first tip is for a draw at odds of around 4.50. This bet is classified as very risky, but I think ChatGPT’s prediction here is really strong.
A 0:0 or 1:1 is absolutely possible in my eyes. Atletico have the ability to control the game and cause PSG a lot of problems.
This bet has a lot of potential and could turn out to be extremely lucrative, especially if the defensive lines actually dominate the game.
The middle tip refers to the betting offer “Under 2.5 goals” at odds of 2.29. I don’t think this is too risky either, as Atletico are known for making an opposing offense desperate.
They often play very defensively and know how to keep their games tight. This bet is therefore also attractive for me.
Finally, the last betting tip says at approximate odds of 1.44 that PSG will score the first goal. However, I see some uncertainties here.
It is not set in stone that PSG will score the first goal. It was no different against PSV and if they’re not careful, they’ll be caught out again!
I would therefore be cautious with this bet and prefer to avoid it.
Analysis: PSG vs Atletico Madrid
Both clubs won their respective home games in their respective league competitions last weekend without conceding a goal.
Atletico Madrid scored one more goal in their 2-0 win over Las Palmas, but had one less day to recover.
PSG had already won their home game against RC Lens the day before thanks to a goal from Ousmane Dembele in the fourth minute of the game.
Personally, I attach a lot of importance to the keyword “experience” on Wednesday.
Although the Rojiblancos have put in some mixed performances of late, they have a battle-hardened squad that has already fought many Champions League battles in this formation.
The Parisians, on the other hand, have visibly rejuvenated at the start of the season and brought in more youngsters such as Barcola, Lee Kang-In and Zaire-Emery. However, this aspect could pay off in tricky games like this one.
Odds Analysis
In the top match between PSG and Atletico Madrid, betting on a 0:0 at half-time at odds of 2.87 could be interesting – there’s a lot of value here!
Alternatively, there is the double chance X2 option at 2.45. PSV have already shown how to snatch points from the Parc des Princes – and the “Rojiblancos” could easily do the same on Wednesday.
In my opinion, this bet offers a lucrative alternative if you are unsure whether you should bet on a draw or an away win for the Madrilenians.
PSG vs Atletico Madrid odds: No guarantee of a home win!
A Parisian victory is by no means set in stone – the data speaks for itself! Luis Enrique has won just six of his 15 UEFA Champions League games as coach of Paris SG, which equates to a meagre 40% win rate.
This gives him the lowest win rate of any coach who has led PSG from the touchline ten or more times in this competition.
This raises doubts about the Parisians’ form and stability. So a win could be anything but certain!
PSG: Lots of possession, few goals!
The problem with PSG is that they mostly show bread-and-butter art. They have a lot of possession, but often squander their chances carelessly. The opposite is true of Atlético Madrid, who are highly efficient.
The figures speak for themselves: since the start of last season, Paris SG have the largest negative difference between their goals scored (21) and their expected goals (29.8) in the UEFA Champions League (-8.8).
In addition, seven other teams have scored more goals, including Atletico Madrid with 26.
I expect the Spanish defense to remain solid, but they will have to be wary of a late French attack. After all, 12 of Paris SG’s last 14 goals in the UEFA Champions League have come in the second half.
In that period, since November 28, 2023, they have taken just 81 shots in the first half, compared to 137 shots in the second half.
Who could score for the Madrilenians? One candidate is undoubtedly Atlético star Julián Alvarez. His impressive statistics in the UEFA Champions League show what a dangerous player he is.
In just 20 appearances, Alvarez has been directly involved in 13 goals – scoring nine times himself and setting up four. And what’s special: He only needs an average of 50 minutes per game to do so.
My PSG Atletico Madrid tip:
Atletico will approach this game with the mentality of a semi-final – and it is in situations like this that they excel.
PSG have already proven against PSV Eindhoven that they are not guaranteed to win at the Parc des Princes, even with plenty of possession.
In view of the PSG Atletico Madrid odds offered by the betting providers with Apple Pay, I would therefore stick with the “Rojiblancos” if in doubt.
Therefore, my PSG Atletico Madrid betting tip is: The Madrilenians will not leave the pitch as losers
