PSG – Tottenham Tip Champions League, Matchday 5 on Wednesday, 26.11.2025 at 21:00 CET
Almost nostalgically, I think back to my last PSG Tottenham tip, with which I indirectly rang in the new 2025/26 season for us bettors.
On the day of the Super Cup final, however, the odds boosts were nowhere near as attractive as this time – although I still remember that first exchange of blows from a few months ago and Mickey van de Ven’s goal very well!
My guess with regard to the new edition: The Londoners feel like they are missing half the squad, but they still usually find ways to keep games close and convert chances.
In my PSG Tottenham tip, I focus primarily on the number of goals, but there are some good reasons to assume that Tottenham could stand up to the Parisians until the end.
In fact, Spurs have only lost twice in the last 13 games against French teams (6 wins, 5 draws). On the road, they recently drew 0-0 against Monaco in the Champions League.
The two opponents have only met once in European competition so far: The French turned around a 0-2 deficit and won the aforementioned 2025/26 Supercup in August in the end!
PSG – Tottenham Prediction & Betting
If my personal PSG Tottenham prediction needed a slogan, it would be very clear: “Goals, goals, goals.” Because I expect a game on Wednesday in which the result could easily swing towards half a dozen goals.
Over 4.5 goals is at the top of my list of risky but extremely attractive suggestions – especially for odds of around 3.65 at practically every good German betting provider.
Over 1.5 goals at an almost identical odds of 3.70 is also interesting, especially if you trust the Londoners more than the bookmakers!
In the UEFA Super Cup final, the English have already proven to me how efficient they can be: an xG value of only 1.38 with only 26% possession – and still two goals? Impressive!
What you need to know about PSG vs. Tottenham betting
- PSG and Tottenham have only met once in Europe: In the 2025/26 Super Cup, PSG won on penalties after being 2-0 down.
- Tottenham have lost just 2 of their last 13 European matches against French teams. The last away game ended 0-0 against Monaco.
- PSG have lost only one of their last six Champions League home games against English opponents. The only defeat was a 1-0 defeat against Liverpool in March 2025.
- Tottenham are unbeaten in five Champions League games, keeping four clean sheets. The last longer series was in 2018/19 (seven games).
- PSG have won six of their last seven Champions League preliminary round games, scoring an average of 3.6 goals in the process. The only defeat was the last game against Bayern in the Parc des Princes.
PSG – Tottenham: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our PSG Tottenham AI prediction expects a similarly entertaining game as I do. Because even according to our model, there should be plenty of hits on Wednesday.
The difference is only in focus: My digital betting friend directs his gaze to markets that I would indeed have had on my radar if I hadn’t specifically pounced on more profitable alternatives!
Both meet at odds around 1.75 is a good example of this – solid, plausible and statistically substantiated.
Micky van de Ven scores – meanwhile, that’s the player bet that our AI recommends to you and has been carefully selected.
The Spurs are extremely dangerous at set-pieces, and their defender (!), who is strong in the air, is probably not coincidentally the current top scorer of the Londoners in this competition with two goals on Matchday 4.
The fact that he could strike again therefore seems far less far-fetched than the first glance at this betting suggestion suggests.
Last but not least, PSG is also recommended to you, but I would be much more cautious here.
While you get an attractive 7.00 for a goal by the defender, the 1.40 traded for the home win is hardly worth mentioning – too little value for too much risk.
The best odds for PSG vs. Tottenham
For the new edition of the Super Cup final, the bookmakers have visibly put a lot of fine-tuning into their PSG Tottenham odds – and the result is a market that clearly swings in the direction of the Parisians, but still leaves room for interpretation.
A PSG victory is currently priced at 1.39. The bookmakers are thus clearly signalling that they consider Paris to be more stable, deeper and more dominant in the overall package despite individual phases of weakness. Home advantage, squad depth and individual class obviously play a strong role here.
The draw is 5.25 – an odds that indicate that the bookies do not completely rule out a tactically longer probing or an open game scenario, but also do not seriously expect it.
For an away win of the Spurs there is 7.25. Tottenham is therefore clearly listed as an outsider, which is hardly surprising given the current form and the personnel absences.
At the same time, these high values are exactly the area in which some tipsters are specifically looking for value.
The PSG Tottenham odds thus give an overall picture in which the markets see the French in the lead – but especially in a new edition of a major final, emotional and tactical imponderables remain that can tip a game at any time.
PSG vs Tottenham Match Analysis:
The two teams are clearly pursuing different ideas: While the French prefer to attack through depth, the English prefer to shift the game to the flanks to create dynamics and one-on-one situations.
Particularly striking: Tottenham have only played nine line-breaking passes so far this Champions League season that led directly to a goal – only Pafos recorded less.
On the other hand, Paris is almost at the top of the competition in this category, only Real Madrid have had more such actions.
So you can see where the journey is going: Paris is constantly looking for the gaps, Tottenham is trying to make the game big.
This often leads to a clear rhythm in the match, which can change in a flash if one of the two approaches falters.
In addition, PSG creates outstanding pressure over the full-backs – at least when the ideal line-up is on the field.
Nuno Mendes and Achraf Hakimi were the two full-backs with the most sequences that led to shots in the first four matchdays; both were also involved in seven actions each that ended in goals. It is precisely this force that makes Paris so elusive.
The only catch: Hakimi is likely to be out, and Zaire-Emery will probably move into the system for him. This changes the profile of this right side somewhat, but not the basic idea.
PSG Form Check
Despite the defeat against Bayern, PSG still looks like a serious defending champion. Sure, the 2-1 defeat on the last matchday hurt, but the boys immediately found their groove again.
Two clear league wins in a row, most recently a relaxed 3-0 win over Le Havre, show you that the engine is running smoothly again.
And in the Champions League, they are almost untouchable anyway – six wins from the last seven league games speak for themselves. Above all, the offense is simply sick: 3.6 goals on average in this phase is an announcement.
When PSG gets rolling, you usually just stand by and marvel. Bayern was a slip-up, not a turnaround – the Parisians know exactly where they want to go.
In terms of personnel, however, things don’t look completely worry-free at PSG. Dembele and the aforementioned Hakimi have to be checked shortly before kick-off, which would of course have an impact on the entire tempo and wing game.
But Joao Neves is mega hot right now, four goals in his last five appearances – and always after the 60th minute. So the guy is reliably turning up the heat in the final phase.
In general, the squad remains so strong and broad that even short-term absences rarely cause panic. PSG can almost always add quality, whether from the start or from the bench.
Tottenham form check
Tottenham comes in with a completely different energy. On the one hand, they are still unbeaten in the Champions League phase – two wins, two draws, plus three clean sheets.
That shows you how stable this team was over long stretches. On the other hand, the 4-1 defeat against Arsenal at the weekend was of course a real damper.
When you concede a derby thrashing, you almost always carry it in a bit mentally. It fits in with the fact that Spurs have won only one of their last seven away games in the Champions League.
The defence, which has actually been the foundation of late, doesn’t seem quite so solid at the moment. Against PSG away, this is the worst possible preparation.
There are lights and shadows in player status. Dominic Solanke and Radu Dragusin, like their PSG counterparts, have to be checked at short notice, which of course leaves a few question marks open for the starting eleven.
Brennan Johnson is suspended – especially offensively that is annoying. On the other hand, Micky van de Ven has suddenly developed as a goalscorer out of nowhere.
If the man actually scores his third Champions League goal, he will also write English football history at the same time – the last Premier League defender to do so was John Stones in the 2017/18 season.
